German companies doing business in China are worried the Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 would trigger more strict lockdown measures from Beijing that could exacerbate supply chain problems, the Association of German Chambers of Commerce and Industry (DIHK) said yesterday.
“The Chinese strategy with targeted lockdowns has been very efficient so far,” DIHK China executive board member Jens Hildebrandt said in an interview.
However, the more contagious Omicron variant could challenge the zero-COVID approach by Chinese authorities, especially as more Chinese citizens travel across the country during the Lunar New Year holiday, Hildebrandt said.
“There will be a lot of travel, despite warnings,” he said.
The IMF on Friday called on China to reassess its zero-COVID approach given the emergence of the highly contagious Omicron variant.
IMF managing director Kristalina Georgieva said the strategy, which has included sealing off entire cities with millions of citizens, had increasingly proved to be a burden for the domestic and global economy.
“The criticism of the IMF is not entirely unjustified,” Hildebrandt said.
However, he added that Beijing would probably stick to its zero-COVID strategy, in part because scientific studies suggested Chinese vaccines were not as effective against Omicron as mRNA vaccines from Western countries.
The DIHK’s concerns were echoed by the Federation of German Industries (BDI).
“Should the Omicron variant also be transmitted more quickly and easily in China, this could again become a bottleneck for global supply chains and fuel a recession in certain sectors of German industry,” BDI said in its Global Growth Outlook published on Monday.
With the Olympic Games starting in Beijing next week, thousands of foreigners would enter the country and increase the infection risk from Omicron, potentially leading to more strict lockdowns, BDI said.
This could pose new challenges for producers and exporters, as well as companies at the end of the supply chain, it said.
“The bottlenecks would probably also be accompanied by higher prices, which would continue to affect inflation,” BDI said. “The development of the coronavirus pandemic in China thus poses a risk for the recovery process of the German industry.”
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