Shortages of empty containers and voyage cancelations could persist for several more months and drive up freight rates, with the arrival of the peak sales season and lingering congestion at ports in Europe, the US and China, said the local branch of DB Schenker, a leader in supply chain management and logistics solutions.
“Empty container shortages are worsened by port congestion in Europe and the US, and recently, by China’s Yantian port backlog,” Schenker Taiwan vice president Antoine Bouin told an online news conference on Monday.
Ongoing disruptions at ports in southern China would have a more serious effect on the market than the earlier Suez Canal incident in late March, as Yantian port in Guangdong Province’s Shenzhen handles 24 percent of China’s total exports, Bouin said.
Photo: AFP
A COVID-19 outbreak caused Yantian port to close for a week last month, and subsequent controls and access limits have seriously reduced operations, he said, adding that congestion at Yantian spilled over to other ports in Guangdong and Asia.
As of last week, more than 50 vessels were waiting to dock, and 300 vessels skipped Yantian between June 1 and 15, he said.
The port is back at normal capacity, but the backlog is likely to take several weeks to clear, Bouin said.
Significant flow imbalances also added to shipping chaos in light of high volumes moving from Asia to Europe and the US, but low volumes coming from Europe and the US to Asia, he said.
Port congestion, berthing delays, flow imbalances and the slow return of empty containers have caused shipping lines to skip some of their regular trips and pushed global shipping schedule reliability to a historic low, he said.
Freight rates are likely to remain high for the rest of this year, Bouin said.
For Taiwan, freight rates and the container situation would be slightly better, as the arrival of new megaships at Evergreen Marine Corp (長榮海運) would help, he said.
Bouin said that companies should draw up accurate forecasts of volume for next quarter, plan together with shipping lines and make capacity commitments to secure space.
Power supply and electronic components maker Delta Electronics Inc (台達電) yesterday said second-quarter revenue is expected to surpass the first quarter, which rose 30 percent year-on-year to NT$118.92 billion (US$3.71 billion). Revenue this quarter is likely to grow, as US clients have front-loaded orders ahead of US President Donald Trump’s planned tariffs on Taiwanese goods, Delta chairman Ping Cheng (鄭平) said at an earnings conference in Taipei, referring to the 90-day pause in tariff implementation Trump announced on April 9. While situations in the third and fourth quarters remain unclear, “We will not halt our long-term deployments and do not plan to
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar