European governments must quickly absorb the economic shock of the coronavirus crisis, even at the cost of high debt, as the alternative is permanent economic destruction, former European Central Bank (ECB) president Mario Draghi wrote in a newspaper opinion piece on Wednesday.
Considered the savior of the euro amid Europe’s debt crisis, Draghi said that governments must protect jobs and production capacity, taking over and canceling private-sector debt to protect jobs and maintain income to families that are innocent bystanders in the crisis.
“The alternative — a permanent destruction of productive capacity and therefore of the fiscal base — would be much more damaging to the economy and eventually to government credit,” Draghi, who stepped down in October last year, wrote in the Financial Times.
Arguing that the crisis was of “biblical proportions,” Draghi said banks must quickly lend to firms at zero cost and the capital needed for this lending must be provided by governments in the form of guarantees so jobs are maintained.
“The cost of these guarantees should not be based on the credit risk of the company that receives them, but should be zero regardless of the cost of funding of the government that issues them,” said Draghi, who has spoken rarely since leaving office.
Liquidity must also be provided through debt markets or even the postal system, if that reaches people the quickest, he said. “And it has to be done immediately, avoiding bureaucratic delays.”
While some fear the cost of a surge in debt levels, Draghi said that low interest rates are here to stay, so this would not add to government’s debt service costs.
Meanwhile, Germany and the Netherlands were to lead opposition to issuing joint bonds to help revive the EU’s economy from a deep slump caused by the coronavirus when the bloc’s national leaders discuss emergency assistance yesterday.
Nine EU countries, including France, Italy and Spain, have called for mutualized debt as the continent, seeking to limit the spread of the disease, goes into a lockdown that is hammering its economic outlook.
“We need to work on a common debt instrument issued by a European institution to raise funds on the market,” the nine leaders said ahead of a video call of all the bloc’s 27 national leaders yesterday.
Germany, the Netherlands, Austria and Finland — the fiscally conservative “Frugals” — are opposed, although there are signs that the subject may not always be as off-limits for them as it is now, especially if the havoc wrought by the virus deepens.
A draft joint statement prepared ahead of the EU leaders’ conference, seen by reporters, would ask the bloc’s finance ministers to work out details of the latter in a week. It did not mention issuing joint debt.
“A real ‘euro-bond’ is the Loch Ness monster — it has never been seen and is not on the table now,” an EU official preparing the summit said. “Which is not to say we may not get there eventually, but for now we are discussing ESM [European Stability Mechanism] mechanisms.”
Berlin and its “Frugal” allies are at pains to stress that all EU countries can still finance themselves on the debt market — in sharp contrast to the debt crisis.
The ECB has also announced emergency bond purchases intended to put 750 billion euros (US$820 billion) into circulation to help the eurozone through the crisis.
However, ECB President Christine Lagarde has urged the bloc to seriously consider a one-off joint debt issue of “corona bonds.”
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to