The dollar fell for a fourth week against the euro, its longest slump since August, on concern the pace of the US economic rebound will fall short of previous expectations. It sank a second week against the yen.
Recent economic reports have suggested the recovery may lose steam in coming months, raising concern the 5.8 percent annualized first-quarter expansion reported today will prove unsustainable.
Expectations of flagging growth are decreasing the attractiveness of some US financial assets and demand for dollars.
The dollar's weakness is "a reaction to the fact that markets were pricing in a very aggressive economic recovery," said Lara Rhame, a currency economist at Brown Brothers Harriman & Co. Those projections were "a little bit overdone."
The dollar dropped to US$0.902 per euro, its weakest level since Jan. 3, from US$0.898 on Thursday. The US currency fell to ?127.89, reaching a six-week low, from ?128.66. It has lost 1.9 percent against the yen since last Friday, its fourth weekly drop in five. It shed 1 percent this week against the euro.
The currency fell after a University of Michigan survey showed consumer sentiment dropped to a two-month low in April.
Statistics this week showing an unexpected drop in March durable goods orders and a larger-than-forecast decline in existing home sales helped fueled concern the US economy may lose momentum.
Growth will likely cool to 3 percent this quarter, according to a Bloomberg News survey. Gross domestic product grew at a 1.7 percent rate in the fourth quarter after contracting in the third.
Some investors are concerned US growth won't outperform that of Europe by as much as previously expected. The German economy, Europe's largest, is forecast to expand 0.9 percent this year and 2.4 percent in 2003, according to the country's six top economic research institutes.
"Markets had believed the recovery was pretty much in the bag -- now the picture is mixed," said Simon Rubinsohn, who helps manage ?23 billion (US$33 billion) as chief economist at Gerrard Ltd. in London.
"Sentiment has turned against the US and there's an anti-dollar feel" in the market.
The dollar is also getting hurt because US stocks still appear too expensive relative to those in Europe, when looking at price-earnings ratios and dividend yields, said Peter Cera, a portfolio strategist at Mellon Financial Corp. in Boston.
One gauge of the higher appeal of European shares is that their dividend yield, an indication of the income generated by a share, tends to be higher, he said.
The dividend yield on the S&P 500 Index is 1.46, while the Bloomberg Europe index has a dividend yield of 2.34.
"A lot of the ingredients are there" for investors to start shifting funds out of the US, said Cera, adding that he expects the dollar to keep declining.
TECH PARTNERSHIP: The deal with Arizona-based Amkor would provide TSMC with advanced packing and test capacities, a requirement to serve US customers Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) is collaborating with Amkor Technology Inc to provide local advanced packaging and test capacities in Arizona to address customer requirements for geographical flexibility in chip manufacturing. As part of the agreement, TSMC, the world’s biggest contract chipmaker, would contract turnkey advanced packaging and test services from Amkor at their planned facility in Peoria, Arizona, a joint statement released yesterday said. TSMC would leverage these services to support its customers, particularly those using TSMC’s advanced wafer fabrication facilities in Phoenix, Arizona, it said. The companies would jointly define the specific packaging technologies, such as TSMC’s Integrated
China’s economic planning agency yesterday outlined details of measures aimed at boosting the economy, but refrained from major spending initiatives. The piecemeal nature of the plans announced yesterday appeared to disappoint investors who were hoping for bolder moves, and the Shanghai Composite Index gave up a 10 percent initial gain as markets reopened after a weeklong holiday to end 4.59 percent higher, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index dived 9.41 percent. Chinese National Development and Reform Commission Chairman Zheng Shanjie (鄭珊潔) said the government would frontload 100 billion yuan (US$14.2 billion) in spending from the government’s budget for next year in addition
Sales RecORD: Hon Hai’s consolidated sales rose by about 20 percent last quarter, while Largan, another Apple supplier, saw quarterly sales increase by 17 percent IPhone assembler Hon Hai Precision Industry Co (鴻海精密) on Saturday reported its highest-ever quarterly sales for the third quarter on the back of solid global demand for artificial intelligence (AI) servers. Hon Hai, also known as Foxconn Technology Group (富士康科技集團) globally, said it posted NT$1.85 trillion (US$57.93 billion) in consolidated sales in the July-to-September quarter, up 19.46 percent from the previous quarter and up 20.15 percent from a year earlier. The figure beat the previous third-quarter high of NT$1.74 trillion recorded in 2022, company data showed. Due to rising demand for AI, Hon Hai said its cloud and networking division enjoyed strong sales
Protectionism: US trade chief Katherine Tai said the hikes would help to counter unfair trade practices from China, while boosting domestic clean energy investments US Trade Representative Katherine Tai (戴琪) defended stiff tariff hikes against countries such as China, saying that paired with investment, they were a “legitimate and constructive” tool for reinvigorating domestic industries. Tai’s comments come a week after sharp tariff increases on Chinese electric vehicles (EVs), EV batteries and solar cells took effect — with levies down the line on other products also recently finalized. The latest moves targeting US$18 billion in Chinese goods come weeks before next month’s US presidential election, with Democrats and Republicans pushing a hard line on China as competition between Washington and Beijing intensifies. In an interview on Thursday