Jitters are growing in financial markets about the potential for failure of hedge funds, largely secretive and unregulated pools of capital, seven years after a spectacular collapse of one such fund.
A number of reports and market rumors circulated in recent days about potential problems with hedge funds, although there have been no confirmed instances of difficulties at any of the funds.
But because hedge funds operate largely in secret, with little or no government oversight, some analysts have been concerned about the possibility of a failure and a subsequent ripple effect on banks and financial markets.
"In the last five years you've had more and more hedge funds managing more and more assets with more and more borrowed money," said AG Edwards analyst Scott Wren.
"When you've borrowed a lot and the market goes against you, you increase your chances of major losses."
"One of the first things you learn about financial markets is that if there's smoke, there's fire," said Robert Brusca, chief economist at FAO Economics, who added that he had no knowledge of any specific hedge fund problems.
Hedge funds, generally operating with money from wealthy investors, can try to beat the overall market by placing risky bets, "short sales" that seek to capitalize on falling prices, and by borrowing money, which can magnify both gains and losses. They may invest in stocks, bonds, commodities or "derivatives" that seek to mimic the performance of another security.
Reports said some hedge fund managers may have been taken by surprise by the abrupt movements in some markets, including the downgrading of credit ratings of Ford and General Motors bonds to "junk" status, and an offer for a big stake in GM's equity by billionaire Kirk Kerkorian.
David DeRosa, president of DeRosa Research, which advises hedge funds and other investment managers, said he was unaware of any specific hedge fund difficulties.
"There are a lot of rumors around. I have no way of knowing if they're true," he said.
Stoking fears is the weak performance of hedge funds this year. Overall, hedge funds lost 1.8 percent in the first four months of the year, according to Hennessee's Hedge Fund Index, which tracks the performance of about 900 managers.
But hedge funds that trade convertible bonds lost 3.5 percent last month on average, leaving them down 6.3 percent so far this year, according to Hennessee.
DeRosa said: "It doesn't matter if the hedge funds' performance is good or bad, but if a hedge fund is forced into liquidation, it would imply a lot of buying and selling of securities," and the potential for destabilization.
The ripple effect of a hedge fund collapse could affect banks that lend money to the funds, and other securities if a hedge fund is forced to sell in a liquidity crisis.
The fear on financial markets is a repeat of the situation with US hedge fund Long Term Capital Management (LTCM) in 1998, which destabilized global financial markets already in turmoil over financial crises in Asia and Russia.
In his National Day Rally speech on Sunday, Singaporean Prime Minister Lawrence Wong (黃循財) quoted the Taiwanese song One Small Umbrella (一支小雨傘) to describe his nation’s situation. Wong’s use of such a song shows Singapore’s familiarity with Taiwan’s culture and is a perfect reflection of exchanges between the two nations, Representative to Singapore Tung Chen-yuan (童振源) said yesterday in a post on Facebook. Wong quoted the song, saying: “As the rain gets heavier, I will take care of you, and you,” in Mandarin, using it as a metaphor for Singaporeans coming together to face challenges. Other Singaporean politicians have also used Taiwanese songs
NORTHERN STRIKE: Taiwanese military personnel have been training ‘in strategic and tactical battle operations’ in Michigan, a former US diplomat said More than 500 Taiwanese troops participated in this year’s Northern Strike military exercise held at Lake Michigan by the US, a Pentagon-run news outlet reported yesterday. The Michigan National Guard-sponsored drill involved 7,500 military personnel from 36 nations and territories around the world, the Stars and Stripes said. This year’s edition of Northern Strike, which concluded on Sunday, simulated a war in the Indo-Pacific region in a departure from its traditional European focus, it said. The change indicated a greater shift in the US armed forces’ attention to a potential conflict in Asia, it added. Citing a briefing by a Michigan National Guard senior
CHIPMAKING INVESTMENT: J.W. Kuo told legislators that Department of Investment Review approval would be needed were Washington to seek a TSMC board seat Minister of Economic Affairs J.W. Kuo (郭智輝) yesterday said he received information about a possible US government investment in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) and an assessment of the possible effect on the firm requires further discussion. If the US were to invest in TSMC, the plan would need to be reviewed by the Department of Investment Review, Kuo told reporters ahead of a hearing of the legislature’s Economics Committee. Kuo’s remarks came after US Secretary of Commerce Howard Lutnick on Tuesday said that the US government is looking into the federal government taking equity stakes in computer chip manufacturers that
US President Donald Trump on Friday said that Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) told him China would not invade Taiwan while Trump is in office. Trump made the remarks in an interview with Fox News, ahead of talks with Russian President Vladimir Putin over Moscow’s invasion of Ukraine. “I will tell you, you know, you have a very similar thing with President Xi of China and Taiwan, but I don’t believe there’s any way it’s going to happen as long as I’m here. We’ll see,” Trump said during an interview on Fox News’ Special Report. “He told me: ‘I will never do
RSS