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Probe to track impact of warming

A 315 million euro (US$465 million) satellite that will gauge the impact of climate change on the movement of water across land, air and sea was hoisted into space early yesterday, the European Space Agency (ESA) said.

The Soil Moisture and Ocean Salinity (SMOS) probe was lifted into space on a Russian Rockot launcher from the Plesetsk cosmodrome in northern Russia. By providing the first space-based measures of Earth’s surface soil moisture and ocean salinity, SMOS will fill important gaps in scientific knowledge about our planet’s life-giving water cycle.

It will also help meteorologists predict extreme weather events and make more accurate forecasts in near-real time, say experts.

“Climate change is a fact, but its impact on precipitation, evaporation, surface runoff and flood risks is still uncertain,” said Yann Kerr, a research at the Center for the Study of the Biosphere from Space and scientific director for the SMOS mission.

“The availability of water plays a more important role on these impacts than temperature itself,” he told journalists earlier this month.

Scientists rely heavily on computer models to project weather and climate patterns, and having additional data based on concrete observations will make those models more accurate, he said.

SMOS has two closely intertwined missions.

One is to measure the water content of soil across the planet every three days to a depth of 1m to 2m, which will improve weather forecasting and monitoring photosynthesis and plant growth. It is also critical for calculating Earth’s carbon cycle, the process by which heat-trapping carbon dioxide is released and absorbed, especially by plants and the oceans.

Climate change, scientists agree, is largely caused by carbon dioxide pollution that has upset that natural balance.

Global estimates of soil moisture will also help forecast drought and flood risk. When a storm breaks, for example, the ability of rainwater to percolate down depends on the type of soil and how much water it is already holding.

Its second job is to measure changes in the salt content of sea waters, data that will enhance our understanding of what drives global ocean circulation patterns.

Ocean circulation moderates climate, especially by transporting heat from the equator to the poles. Some studies have suggested that global warming could disrupt these cycles in ways that could dramatically alter regional weather patterns.

Variations in the salinity of ocean waters depend on the addition or removal of fresh water through evaporation and precipitation and, in polar regions, on the freezing and melting of ice.

Both sets of data will be collected by a single instrument called MIRAS, the large Microwave Imaging Radiometer with Aperture Synthesis.
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