China's military capability is not sufficient to allow it to take over Taiwan by force, the former commander-in-chief of the US Pacific Command Admiral Dennis Blair said yesterday.
He made the remarks in a speech delivered at a forum on national defense hosted by the Institute for Taiwan Defense and Strategic Studies, a private think tank.
Blair said that US officials, including himself, had repeatedly told Chinese officials that it was impossible for Beijing to force unification on Taiwan because of the limited capabilities of China's military, and that the US would not shrink from a cross-strait military conflict.
PHOTO: CNA
In no one's interests
If a military conflict occurred in the Taiwan Strait, China, Taiwan and the US would all suffer huge losses, and nobody wants to see that happen, Blair said.
Blair said that the US had also asked the Taiwanese government not to provoke China, adding that moves toward formal independence are not in the country's best interests.
Blair added that he had told the Chinese government that if China made more social, political and economic progress, he believed Taiwan would be happy to negotiate some issues with China.
The former US official lead a US delegation that observed the Han Kuang No. 22 wargames, which took place last week in Taipei.
Blair said that the Taiwanese military had made some progress in its joint operation capabilities.
Every country has their own security concerns, he said, adding that Taiwan should develop its own joint operations model that is appropriate for its own military capabilities in light of the military threat from China.
Other modes of attack
He said China could wage unconventional warfare, such as information warfare, against Taiwan.
The Taiwanese military should develop various scenarios to counter any possible attacks from China, he said.
When asked what he would do in the face of China's military threat against Taiwan if he were Taiwan's defense minister, Blair said he had spoken with Minister of National Defense Lee Jye (
He added: "I didn't come [to Taiwan] to teach [Lee] what to do."
Blair has observed Taiwanese military exercises several times, and said he believes Taiwan's military is becoming more flexible and more creative than the Chinese military in terms of problem-solving.
But he said that Taiwan needs to boost its national defense not just through military means, but also by all government bureaus and the public.
Taiwan has received more than US$70 million in royalties as of the end of last year from developing the F-16V jet as countries worldwide purchase or upgrade to this popular model, government and military officials said on Saturday. Taiwan funded the development of the F-16V jet and ended up the sole investor as other countries withdrew from the program. Now the F-16V is increasingly popular and countries must pay Taiwan a percentage in royalties when they purchase new F-16V aircraft or upgrade older F-16 models. The next five years are expected to be the peak for these royalties, with Taiwan potentially earning
STAY IN YOUR LANE: As the US and Israel attack Iran, the ministry has warned China not to overstep by including Taiwanese citizens in its evacuation orders The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) yesterday rebuked a statement by China’s embassy in Israel that it would evacuate Taiwanese holders of Chinese travel documents from Israel amid the latter’s escalating conflict with Iran. Tensions have risen across the Middle East in the wake of US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran beginning Saturday. China subsequently issued an evacuation notice for its citizens. In a news release, the Chinese embassy in Israel said holders of “Taiwan compatriot permits (台胞證)” issued to Taiwanese nationals by Chinese authorities for travel to China — could register for evacuation to Egypt. In Taipei, the ministry yesterday said Taiwan
Taiwan is awaiting official notification from the US regarding the status of the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) after the US Supreme Court ruled US President Donald Trump's global tariffs unconstitutional. Speaking to reporters before a legislative hearing today, Premier Cho Jung-tai (卓榮泰) said that Taiwan's negotiation team remains focused on ensuring that the bilateral trade deal remains intact despite the legal challenge to Trump's tariff policy. "The US has pledged to notify its trade partners once the subsequent administrative and legal processes are finalized, and that certainly includes Taiwan," Cho said when asked about opposition parties’ doubts that the ART was
If China chose to invade Taiwan tomorrow, it would only have to sever three undersea fiber-optic cable clusters to cause a data blackout, Jason Hsu (許毓仁), a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute and former Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) legislator, told a US security panel yesterday. In a Taiwan contingency, cable disruption would be one of the earliest preinvasion actions and the signal that escalation had begun, he said, adding that Taiwan’s current cable repair capabilities are insufficient. The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) yesterday held a hearing on US-China Competition Under the Sea, with Hsu speaking on