Guerrilla attacks in Iraq have forced the cancelation of more than 60 percent of water and sanitation projects, in part because US intelligence failed to predict the brutal insurgency, a US government audit said.
US goals to fix Iraq's infrastructure will never be reached, mainly because insurgents have chased away contractors and forced the diversion of repair funds into security, according to an audit of the Iraqi Relief and Reconstruction Program released last week. It is the latest in a series of auditing reports being issued by the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction.
The rise of Iraq's insurgency was never envisioned by US officials, who originally budgeted about 9 percent of reconstruction aid for project security, the audit said.
As kidnappings, killings and sabotage drove local laborers and foreign technicians from the reconstruction program, US administrators were forced to step up protection for workers.
New measures like armored vehicles, security teams and blast walls absorbed as much as 22 percent of costs, according to the audit by the Special Inspector General for Iraq Reconstruction.
"The whole purpose of those attacks was to drive those contractors out," said Wayne White, head of the State Department's Iraq intelligence team until last year. "Lots of them had to leave. They were terrified."
Planners "envisioned a much more permissive security environment than that experienced in 2004 and last year. The Iraq insurgency has directly affected the cost of the reconstruction projects, increased the cost of materials and created project delays," the audit found.
Pre-invasion US intelligence reports said guerrilla attacks were likely, White said.
"But nobody predicted anything of this magnitude in terms of resistance," said White, now an analyst with the Middle East Institute in Washington. "And in part, the magnitude of the resistance was spurred by our failures in reconstruction."
US officials coped with the gathering insurgency by diverting US$5.6 billion of the US$18.4 billion US aid package into Iraq's security sector, while slashing projects aimed at restoring the country's water and electricity infrastructure, the report said.
Funds earmarked for Iraq's military and law enforcement jumped 55 percent, funding training and weapons for Iraqi police and troops, prison construction and additional border guards.
US occupation authority planners assumed incorrectly that rebuilding projects could proceed without interference from Iraqi insurgents, according to the audit, titled Challenges Faced in Carrying Out Iraq Relief and Reconstruction Fund Activities.
The insurgency has had "a very significant impact" on reconstruction efforts, said Greg Sullivan, a spokesman for the State Department. But he said the US rebuilding goals have always been to give Iraq a head start.
"This is an incredibly oil-rich country, and eventually money and resources are not going to be a problem," Sullivan said. "The long-term goals we're pretty confident Iraq can meet as long as it gets enough of a head start."
The spending diversions forced the cancellation of 60 percent of the 136 planned water and sanitation projects, including sewage, irrigation and dams. Just 49 water projects are expected to be completed, the audit says.
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