It has been a rough couple of months for Ksenia Pakhomova, a bright-eyed, garrulous 23-year-old from the Siberian mining town of Kemerovo, Russia. Her boyfriend was kicked out of university, her mother was fired from her teaching job at an arts school and her grandmother was threatened with dismissal from her job at a gallery.
To top it off, someone plastered notices with her photograph in public places near her home, complete with her mobile number and an offer of sexual services.
All of this appears to be linked to Pakhomova’s job: She is the regional coordinator for the presidential campaign of Alexei Navalny, an opposition politician who wants to challenge Russian President Vladimir Putin for the presidency in elections in March.
Illustration: Yusha
Putin on Wednesday last week finally declared his candidacy in a long-expected announcement and is likely to win comfortably. Standing against him are a familiar cast of political has-beens and a few spoiler candidates whom few Russians are taking seriously.
Navalny will most likely be barred from standing due to a criminal conviction in a case that was widely seen as politically motivated, but the 41-year-old anti-corruption campaigner is ignoring this.
Instead, he has chosen to engage in the kind of enthusiastic, grassroots campaigning that has been absent from Russia in recent years: real politics, in short. He has embarked on a marathon of trips across the nation’s vast expanse, holding rallies and setting up campaign headquarters.
The liberal opposition has traditionally made few inroads in places like Kemerovo, a tough, working-class region four hours by plane from Moscow.
Here, Navalny is attracting the support of a different kind of Russian from the chattering, Moscow intellectual class that many see as the natural supporters of the democratic opposition.
Navalny’s supporters are mainly young Russians who have known little in their lifetimes except a Putin presidency.
Pakhomova, who studied law at university, said she was not particularly political until earlier this year, when she started watching Navalny’s videos.
She was particularly horrified by a video alleging staggering corruption on the part of Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev, which led to major protests in Moscow and other cities earlier this year.
In Kemerovo, she began volunteering for the local Navalny campaign and in time she was appointed head of the local office.
“Everyone in Russia knows that officials are corrupt, but when you see the details, how openly they think they can do it, it’s shocking,” she said.
Ksenia’s mother, 46-year-old Natalia Pakhomova, said she was warned in September that she should prevent her daughter from working for Navalny, but refused.
At the end of October, she was removed from her job on the pretext that anonymous parents had called the local administration and complained that teachers at her school were soliciting bribes. She had worked at the school for 26 years and in April had received a medal from the local governor for her service.
Natalia’s 67-year-old mother, who works as a gallery attendant in the local art museum, was asked by her boss to talk her granddaughter out of working for Navalny and was also threatened with dismissal. She is on sick leave, which Natalia said was due to frayed nerves from the incident.
Ksenia’s boyfriend was kicked out of university, although he has since been reinstated after an online campaign.
Navalny has said that if he is not allowed on the ballot, he will call for an “active boycott” of the elections.
“No other candidate has opened regional offices, no other candidate is properly campaigning,” he said in an interview in Moscow. “How can you have real elections without the only candidate who is campaigning?”
Navalny said that since the beginning of the year, campaign staff had between them spent more than 2,000 days in jail and been fined more than 10 million roubles (US$168,600).
“What’s happening in Kemerovo is extreme, but it’s a pattern across Russia and it’s clearly directed from the top,” he said.
In nearly every region, activists have found it hard to rent office space from which to run the campaign. In Kemerovo, Pakhomova’s team is looking to move office after its landlord said the local administration called him and warned him not to rent to the Navalny campaign.
Whenever Navalny travels, authorities also create problems, and he has been jailed or assaulted on numerous occasions this year. When he visited Kemerovo earlier this autumn, local authorities canceled public transport to the area on the outskirts of town where they had given Navalny permission to speak.
Despite all this, more than 2,000 people attended the rally, making it one of the biggest demonstrations in Kemerovo since the miners’ strikes in the late 1980s and early 1990s that heralded the collapse of the Soviet Union.
Views on how much damage Navalny can cause with his message that Putin’s inner circle are “crooks and thieves” vary. In Kemerovo, many people have still not heard of Navalny and among those who have, views are mixed.
Kemerovo Navalny campaign deputy head Boris Pavlov holds frequent solo pickets — gatherings of more than one person require permission — with a Navalny sign in the center of Kemerovo.
“Sometimes people come to shake my hand, but other times I’ve had people spit at me and call me a traitor,” he said.
State television has long denied Navalny access to the airwaves and claimed the opposition is working to promote foreign interests in Russia. Kremlin insiders portray him as a marginal figure who poses no serious electoral threat.
“His limit would be 5 to 10 percent in big cities and 2 to 3 percent overall,” one source close to the Kremlin said, adding that the only reason to keep him off the ballot was to prevent “negative vibes” around the election.
“He’d have three months of telling everyone that the government is lying and corrupt, and nobody wants to listen to that,” the source said.
However, there are signs that Navalny’s message could potentially resonate among a new audience in a nation where up to now, Putin has managed to remain above widespread anger at corruption.
Natalia, Ksenia’s mother, was always a Putin fan. She voted for him in the last election in 2012 and even bought Ksenia a Putin-themed calendar as a present that year, because her daughter was too young to vote, with the election falling a few days before her 18th birthday.
However, recent events have led to a recalibration of her views.
“Ksenia made me listen to the Navalny videos and I’ll be honest, I’ve realized he’s really saying the right things. It has completely changed my views on politics,” she said.
Hers is not the only case of children changing the minds of their parents. At a training session run by Ksenia on how to deal with the police last week, all but one of the eight attendees was under 18.
Dima, 14, was initially scolded by his mother for attending Navalny-backed protests in Kemerovo earlier this year, after the child support agency showed up at his house to complain.
However, she is now helping to collect signatures for the campaign and proudly took a selfie with Navalny when he came to Kemerovo.
“My mother had some problems with her politics,” Dima said with the tone of a parent indulging an errant child, rather than vice versa. “But afterward she started watching Navalny’s videos and her political understanding is now more developed.”
Because much of what former US president Donald Trump says is unhinged and histrionic, it is tempting to dismiss all of it as bunk. Yet the potential future president has a populist knack for sounding alarums that resonate with the zeitgeist — for example, with growing anxiety about World War III and nuclear Armageddon. “We’re a failing nation,” Trump ranted during his US presidential debate against US Vice President Kamala Harris in one particularly meandering answer (the one that also recycled urban myths about immigrants eating cats). “And what, what’s going on here, you’re going to end up in World War
Earlier this month in Newsweek, President William Lai (賴清德) challenged the People’s Republic of China (PRC) to retake the territories lost to Russia in the 19th century rather than invade Taiwan. He stated: “If it is for the sake of territorial integrity, why doesn’t [the PRC] take back the lands occupied by Russia that were signed over in the treaty of Aigun?” This was a brilliant political move to finally state openly what many Chinese in both China and Taiwan have long been thinking about the lost territories in the Russian far east: The Russian far east should be “theirs.” Granted, Lai issued
On Tuesday, President William Lai (賴清德) met with a delegation from the Hoover Institution, a think tank based at Stanford University in California, to discuss strengthening US-Taiwan relations and enhancing peace and stability in the region. The delegation was led by James Ellis Jr, co-chair of the institution’s Taiwan in the Indo-Pacific Region project and former commander of the US Strategic Command. It also included former Australian minister for foreign affairs Marise Payne, influential US academics and other former policymakers. Think tank diplomacy is an important component of Taiwan’s efforts to maintain high-level dialogue with other nations with which it does
On Sept. 2, Elbridge Colby, former deputy assistant secretary of defense for strategy and force development, wrote an article for the Wall Street Journal called “The US and Taiwan Must Change Course” that defends his position that the US and Taiwan are not doing enough to deter the People’s Republic of China (PRC) from taking Taiwan. Colby is correct, of course: the US and Taiwan need to do a lot more or the PRC will invade Taiwan like Russia did against Ukraine. The US and Taiwan have failed to prepare properly to deter war. The blame must fall on politicians and policymakers