Memorials and discussions have been held lately to mark the 30th anniversary of the Taiwan Relations Act (TRA) on Friday. The Chinese government did all it could do to stop the US Congress passing a resolution offering support for the TRA and democracy in Taiwan. China’s United Front strategy did cause some problems, but in the end a resolution was passed that included the word “cornerstone” in describing the importance of the TRA to US-Taiwan relations.
While looking at the TRA, we should not ignore the six assurances to Taiwan that former US president Ronald Reagan made a part of his cross-strait policy. The six assurances state that the US will not be a mediator between Taiwan and China; will not force negotiations; will not set a date for ending arms sales to Taiwan; will not hold prior consultations with China on arms sales to Taiwan; will not revise the TRA; and will not alter its stance on Taiwan’s sovereignty.
Reagan’s six assurances should be seen as reminders to each US president that neglecting them will be disastrous not only for Taiwan, but also for the US and the rest of the world.
Unfortunately, the US has made too many concessions on China’s hegemonic actions in the post-Reagan era, leading to the current state of relations between Taiwan, China and the US. Concessions to China imply a corresponding weakening of support for Taiwanese democracy. Regardless of what problems there may be in Taiwan’s policy toward the US, Taiwan remains a democracy, and regardless of what China does to curry favor with the US, it remains a dictatorship. Without this basic understanding, all policies will be biased.
Another unfortunate thing is that there are differences in policy between the State Department and the Pentagon, and at times this is as unfortunate as China’s declarations that the economy can be decoupled from political issues. It is impossible to examine China’s policy toward the US and detect any separation of military, economic and political issues.
In terms of the economy, there has been talk of Chinese “bottom fishing” in the US, which refers to acquiring companies and real estate at low prices. These actions would not be acquisitions based on market rules but politically motivated hostile takeovers. At the same time, China has blocked the attempts of companies like Coca-Cola to engage in regular friendly acquisitions in China.
China has also been challenging the position of the US currency and wants a new currency to replace the dollar as the primary international currency.
In terms of military affairs, Chinese vessels harassed the US surveillance ship USNS Impeccable in international waters in the South China Sea. China’s Ministry of Foreign Affairs has already declared that the US is distorting the facts on the incident, a response bound to appeal to nationalistic youth.
In political terms, Chinese leaders were quick to make use of US Secretary of State Hillary Rodham Clinton’s visit to China to convince the public that the US is begging China for help. China is also trying to get US President Barack Obama to visit Beijing as soon as possible to further cement the image of the US kowtowing to China. If Obama waits until the US economy is back on its feet, Beijing will not be able to “squeeze” as much out of the US.
Because China has more to ask of the US than the US has to ask of China, China uses a more passive policy toward the US. However, as soon as a fundamental change in the balance of power between the US and China occurs, China will adopt a more aggressive policy. China is using the economic crisis to attempt to establish a new international order that is headed by itself. Beijing is not trying to bring itself in line with the international community; it wants the world to bring itself in line with China.
In the face of this challenge, the US should more actively assist Taiwan in its defense instead of supporting President Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九), who uses “peace” to disguise surrender to China.
If cross-strait peace is the highest value of them all, the US should have stopped supporting Taiwan in the 1950s. So why would Washington allow Taiwan to lose its democracy after having just achieved it? Will things in Taiwan have to get as bad as Tibet for the US to stand up and say something?
As Obama reviews US strategy, he should undertake a comprehensive review of the cross-strait policies adopted by the US after Reagan and put an end to the threat to universal values posed by China.
Paul Lin is a political commentator.
TRANSLATED BY DREW CAMERON
When it became clear that the world was entering a new era with a radical change in the US’ global stance in US President Donald Trump’s second term, many in Taiwan were concerned about what this meant for the nation’s defense against China. Instability and disruption are dangerous. Chaos introduces unknowns. There was a sense that the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) might have a point with its tendency not to trust the US. The world order is certainly changing, but concerns about the implications for Taiwan of this disruption left many blind to how the same forces might also weaken
As the new year dawns, Taiwan faces a range of external uncertainties that could impact the safety and prosperity of its people and reverberate in its politics. Here are a few key questions that could spill over into Taiwan in the year ahead. WILL THE AI BUBBLE POP? The global AI boom supported Taiwan’s significant economic expansion in 2025. Taiwan’s economy grew over 7 percent and set records for exports, imports, and trade surplus. There is a brewing debate among investors about whether the AI boom will carry forward into 2026. Skeptics warn that AI-led global equity markets are overvalued and overleveraged
Japanese Prime Minister Sanae Takaichi on Monday announced that she would dissolve parliament on Friday. Although the snap election on Feb. 8 might appear to be a domestic affair, it would have real implications for Taiwan and regional security. Whether the Takaichi-led coalition can advance a stronger security policy lies in not just gaining enough seats in parliament to pass legislation, but also in a public mandate to push forward reforms to upgrade the Japanese military. As one of Taiwan’s closest neighbors, a boost in Japan’s defense capabilities would serve as a strong deterrent to China in acting unilaterally in the
Taiwan last week finally reached a trade agreement with the US, reducing tariffs on Taiwanese goods to 15 percent, without stacking them on existing levies, from the 20 percent rate announced by US President Donald Trump’s administration in August last year. Taiwan also became the first country to secure most-favored-nation treatment for semiconductor and related suppliers under Section 232 of the US Trade Expansion Act. In return, Taiwanese chipmakers, electronics manufacturing service providers and other technology companies would invest US$250 billion in the US, while the government would provide credit guarantees of up to US$250 billion to support Taiwanese firms