This year marks the centenary of the Russo-Japanese War of 1905, and on Aug. 15 many countries will commemorate the 60th anniversary of the end of World War II in the Pacific. Of course, Japan's military dominance in East Asia -- which began with the Russo-Japanese War and led to World War II -- is no more. But the ghosts of this history still hang over East Asia, with each country struggling to find ways to deal with the past.
China is a benchmark. Over the centuries, Japan and China have taken turns dominating East Asia and both now seek to assert regional hegemony. Historically, the Korean Peninsula was the playground for this rivalry, but, with North and South Korea appearing to make peace with each other, South Korea is also staking a claim to regional influence.
Resentment over past wrongs buttresses all of these rival claims for influence.
During his visit to the US in June, South Korean President Roh Moo-hyun told US President George W. Bush that China had invaded Korea more than 100 times. His remarks shocked China, which views itself as the victim of invasions (most humiliatingly, by the Japanese) and has forgotten its own history of bullying its neighbors.
Roh also openly criticizes Japan for its cowardice in not facing up to its war crimes, saying that it does not deserve a seat on the UN Security Council. Japan long colonized Korea, and during World War II, Koreans were forced to join the Japanese Imperial Army -- a situation similar to that of Taiwan. But whereas the struggle between China and Japan for dominance over Korea was the focal point of the East Asian drama, Taiwan was but a sideshow, a mere outpost of the imperial Qing Dynasty, while Korea was a vassal paying tribute to China.
After defeating both the Qing Dynasty and Russia, Japan not only gained control over the Korean Peninsula, but also extended its reach deep into Northeast China. As East Asia's "Big Brother," Japan's Kwantung Army founded Manchukuo in northeast China in 1932. Japan wanted Manchukuo to become what India was to Britain or what Algeria was to France -- a crown jewel of the empire -- and sent a million immigrants (800,000 of whom died after postwar Manchukuo was taken over by Russia) while investing huge sums to develop heavy industry.
Japan's government in Nanking under Wang Jingwei (汪精衛) was like Germany's Vichy government in France under Henri-Philippe Petain. Both were treated as traitors after the war ended. By contrast, as a result of long colonization, Taiwan and Korea had developed both resistance toward and reliance on their rulers. With only a few exceptions, the local elite was assimilated into the colonial system.
But the outcome was similar throughout the region following Japan's defeat. Civil war broke out in China, the Korean Peninsula was divided and the other Southeast Asian colonies, with the sole exception of Thailand, resorted to military force to achieve independence.
China has still failed to face up to the history of Manchukuo and its civil war, not to mention opening the secret files concerning Mao Zedong's (毛澤東) decision to send almost 1 million soldiers into the Korean War. South Korea initiated talks with the Japanese government only recently on retrieving the remains of Korean slave workers. More than 20,000 Taiwanese and about the same number of Korean soldiers who died for Japan are worshipped at Japan's Yasukuni shrine.
Taiwan's delayed re-awakening reflects the early reliance of its Nationalist government on protection from the US and assistance from Japan. Former president Chiang Kai-shek (蔣介石) had no choice but to return good for evil by abjuring compensation claims against Japan, as well as by secretly arranging for the Kwantung Army's ex-chief of staff to join Taiwan's efforts in confronting the communists. Japan has never apologized for its colonization of Taiwan, and Taiwanese had no opportunity for historical reflection during 30 years of martial law.
This spring, anti-Japanese demonstrations broke out almost simultaneously in China and South Korea, with both countries seeking to place the memory of Japanese dominance in the service of building a new national identity and strategic position. So, we can expect that, like the events in May marking 60 years since the end of World War II in Europe, Asia's commemoration on Aug. 15 of the end of the war in the Pacific will expose lingering -- and still raw -- historical sensitivities. Unlike in Europe, however, historical memory in Asia continues to be wedded to current strategic ambition.
One hundred years ago, the rise of Japanese military power changed the fate of Asia. Sixty years ago, the demise of Japanese power changed Asia's fate again. Today, as China rises in wealth and power to rival Japan, Asia holds its breath, waiting for the ghosts of history to disappear.
Antonio Chiang is a former deputy secretary-general of the National Security Council.
Copyright: Project Syndicate
Two sets of economic data released last week by the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics (DGBAS) have drawn mixed reactions from the public: One on the nation’s economic performance in the first quarter of the year and the other on Taiwan’s household wealth distribution in 2021. GDP growth for the first quarter was faster than expected, at 6.51 percent year-on-year, an acceleration from the previous quarter’s 4.93 percent and higher than the agency’s February estimate of 5.92 percent. It was also the highest growth since the second quarter of 2021, when the economy expanded 8.07 percent, DGBAS data showed. The growth
In the intricate ballet of geopolitics, names signify more than mere identification: They embody history, culture and sovereignty. The recent decision by China to refer to Arunachal Pradesh as “Tsang Nan” or South Tibet, and to rename Tibet as “Xizang,” is a strategic move that extends beyond cartography into the realm of diplomatic signaling. This op-ed explores the implications of these actions and India’s potential response. Names are potent symbols in international relations, encapsulating the essence of a nation’s stance on territorial disputes. China’s choice to rename regions within Indian territory is not merely a linguistic exercise, but a symbolic assertion
More than seven months into the armed conflict in Gaza, the International Court of Justice ordered Israel to take “immediate and effective measures” to protect Palestinians in Gaza from the risk of genocide following a case brought by South Africa regarding Israel’s breaches of the 1948 Genocide Convention. The international community, including Amnesty International, called for an immediate ceasefire by all parties to prevent further loss of civilian lives and to ensure access to life-saving aid. Several protests have been organized around the world, including at the University of California Los Angeles (UCLA) and many other universities in the US.
In the 2022 book Danger Zone: The Coming Conflict with China, academics Hal Brands and Michael Beckley warned, against conventional wisdom, that it was not a rising China that the US and its allies had to fear, but a declining China. This is because “peaking powers” — nations at the peak of their relative power and staring over the precipice of decline — are particularly dangerous, as they might believe they only have a narrow window of opportunity to grab what they can before decline sets in, they said. The tailwinds that propelled China’s spectacular economic rise over the past