In an interview Sunday, President Chen Shui-bian (
China believes that the attempt to abolish the assembly and write referendums into the Constitution are part of a plot to achieve de jure independence. It hopes Washington and Taiwan's opposition parties can stop the elections. Through its invitations to opposition leaders, Beijing has them to oppose Taiwan's official policies and foment political chaos. At the same time, it is also trying to influence Taiwan's domestic affairs through international pressure. The use of this two-pronged strategy cannot be overlooked.
In inviting both Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairman Lien Chan (
There is also a rift between the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) and the Taiwan Solidarity Union due to Chen's flipflops in China policy and the DPP's stance on single-district, two-ballot electoral system. Opinion polls show a sharp decline in the DPP's popularity, creating a grave political crisis.
This crisis is the direct result of Chen's failure to maintain a clear line regarding "Taiwan awareness." He broke his campaign promise about changing the nation's name and drafting a new constitution, thereby splitting the green camp. His repeated U-turns on policy have left DPP members at a loss. This has led to internal pressure that could split the party. Chen must take the political responsibility for this.
In a bid to salvage the DPP's chances in Saturday's elections, Chen has been trying to clarify his positions -- even while making yet another U-turn to condemn both Lien and Soong. Whether his efforts at this late date will be enough to help the pan-greens overcome the pan-blue camp and their substantial relations with Beijing is anyone's guess.
Although the DPP and the TSU are divided over "single-member districts," they agree upon the need to abolish the National Assembly, the inclusion of the right of referendum in the Constitution and other major issues. This is relevant to Taiwan's constitutional development. Beijing is greatly concerned over the assembly elections and is using its considerable influence to affect it, so Taiwan's politicians must be wary of China's tricks.
After Chen has rallied his DPP colleagues, the party should engage in high level dialogue with the TSU and bring an end to its current self-destructive conflict. At all costs they must avoid letting constitutional reform collapse in the final stretch.
As strategic tensions escalate across the vast Indo-Pacific region, Taiwan has emerged as more than a potential flashpoint. It is the fulcrum upon which the credibility of the evolving American-led strategy of integrated deterrence now rests. How the US and regional powers like Japan respond to Taiwan’s defense, and how credible the deterrent against Chinese aggression proves to be, will profoundly shape the Indo-Pacific security architecture for years to come. A successful defense of Taiwan through strengthened deterrence in the Indo-Pacific would enhance the credibility of the US-led alliance system and underpin America’s global preeminence, while a failure of integrated deterrence would
The Executive Yuan recently revised a page of its Web site on ethnic groups in Taiwan, replacing the term “Han” (漢族) with “the rest of the population.” The page, which was updated on March 24, describes the composition of Taiwan’s registered households as indigenous (2.5 percent), foreign origin (1.2 percent) and the rest of the population (96.2 percent). The change was picked up by a social media user and amplified by local media, sparking heated discussion over the weekend. The pan-blue and pro-China camp called it a politically motivated desinicization attempt to obscure the Han Chinese ethnicity of most Taiwanese.
On Wednesday last week, the Rossiyskaya Gazeta published an article by Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) asserting the People’s Republic of China’s (PRC) territorial claim over Taiwan effective 1945, predicated upon instruments such as the 1943 Cairo Declaration and the 1945 Potsdam Proclamation. The article further contended that this de jure and de facto status was subsequently reaffirmed by UN General Assembly Resolution 2758 of 1971. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs promptly issued a statement categorically repudiating these assertions. In addition to the reasons put forward by the ministry, I believe that China’s assertions are open to questions in international
The Legislative Yuan passed an amendment on Friday last week to add four national holidays and make Workers’ Day a national holiday for all sectors — a move referred to as “four plus one.” The Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP), who used their combined legislative majority to push the bill through its third reading, claim the holidays were chosen based on their inherent significance and social relevance. However, in passing the amendment, they have stuck to the traditional mindset of taking a holiday just for the sake of it, failing to make good use of
RSS