After US President George W. Bush's successful re-election, Taiwan-US relations are likely to further prosper in light of his friendly attitude in the past. Washington will continue the unified and consistent cross-strait policy within the basic framework of "structural realism" adopted by 11 Republican and Democratic presidents over more than half a century: Maintaining security in the Taiwan Strait while pushing for a peaceful resolution to the cross-strait issue.
In fact, the US decided to give up Taiwan in early 1950. But it dramatically changed its stance and started to protect Taiwan after the Korean War broke out in June of the same year. On June 27, two days after the Korean War began, then-president Harry Truman officially announced that the US would prevent a Chinese attack on Taiwan, and also told Taiwan not to attack China. This established the policy of "peaceful resolution."
During the 823 Artillery Bombardment in August 1958 through Octber 1958, the US sent a total of six aircraft carriers from Hawaii, Japan, the Philippines and the Mediterranean Sea to the Taiwan Strait in an effort to demonstrate its determination to protect Taiwan. But Generalissimo Chiang Kai-shek's (
The US later switched its diplomatic recognition from Taiwan to China on Jan. 1, 1979, and terminated the mutual defense treaty between the US and Taiwan on Dec. 31 of the same year, instead establishing the Taiwan Relations Act in the same year to continue its protection of Taiwan. During the missile crisis right before Taiwan's 1996 presidential election, Washington immediately sent two aircraft carriers to the Taiwan Strait to back Taipei, and quickly resolved the crisis.
Today, the Taiwan issue is no longer about the military problem of returning to China. Rather, it is about the political problem of departing from China triggered by Taiwan's growing democratization. For example, former president Lee Teng-hui (李登輝) proposed the "special state-to-state relationship" during his presidency, and President Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) announced that there is "one country on each side [of the Taiwan Strait]." I believe that the US is willing to protect Taiwan, as it did during the missile crisis. But just as it did before, the US tries not to become involved in a war with China. As a result, US officials take action whenever Taiwan makes them feel uneasy.
In the 1950s and 1960s, the US had to deal with an authoritarian Taiwanese government. It was able to control the main direction through its control of a few leaders. Besides, since the US request of not using force tallied with mankind's longing for peace, Washington did not contradict its fundamental principles. But since the 1990s, the US is facing a democratic Taiwan. Because of their democratic development, the Taiwanese people's demand for the right to decide their own future has constantly grown, while the US is trapped in a dilemma of realism and idealism. After Taiwan successfully realized the core value promoted by the US across the world, the US is ironically restricting Taiwan from upholding this value.
Democracy endows people with the right to decide their own future. However, in reality, the US is worried that once Taiwan really chooses to declare de jure independence, there is risk of China taking extreme action, which might implicate the US. Compared to the 1950s and 1960s, when Washington requested that Taiwan control itself militarily, the US is now, after the 1990s, requesting Taiwan to restrict itself politically in order to achieve a peaceful resolution.
Hsieh Min-chieh is an associate professor in the Graduate Institute of Political Science at National Chung Cheng University.
Translated by Eddy Chang
On April 19, former president Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) gave a public speech, his first in about 17 years. During the address at the Ketagalan Institute in Taipei, Chen’s words were vague and his tone was sour. He said that democracy should not be used as an echo chamber for a single politician, that people must be tolerant of other views, that the president should not act as a dictator and that the judiciary should not get involved in politics. He then went on to say that others with different opinions should not be criticized as “XX fellow travelers,” in reference to
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s
During the “426 rally” organized by the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party under the slogan “fight green communism, resist dictatorship,” leaders from the two opposition parties framed it as a battle against an allegedly authoritarian administration led by President William Lai (賴清德). While criticism of the government can be a healthy expression of a vibrant, pluralistic society, and protests are quite common in Taiwan, the discourse of the 426 rally nonetheless betrayed troubling signs of collective amnesia. Specifically, the KMT, which imposed 38 years of martial law in Taiwan from 1949 to 1987, has never fully faced its