The nation’s telecoms are not aligning with the government’s eagerness to put Taiwan on the world’s 5G map as they balk at splurging on the expensive wireless technology that has no guarantees for quick returns.
The nation’s five wireless carriers have clearly said that they would not scramble to roll out 5G services, as they face big challenges ahead, including the absence of a profitable business model to sell the revolutionary technology, in spite of all the use cases that have been suggested.
A 5G use case and adoption survey released last week by Gartner Inc found that Internet of Things applications remain the most popular target use case for 5G, followed by video.
About two-thirds of organizations intend to deploy 5G by 2020, it said.
“We know enterprise clients will be early adopters of 5G technology. We also know the benefits of the technology, but people rarely talk about what will be the potential business models,” Chunghwa Telecom Co (中華電信) president Sheih Chi-mau (謝繼茂) said at a Taiwan Communications Society forum on Dec. 14.
“How to make profits from 5G technology is a real challenge for us,” Sheih said. “Whether 5G can create a blue ocean [for telecoms] remains a question mark.”
Local telecoms each burned up to NT$60 billion (US$1.95 billion) to obtain 4G spectrum and build 4G networks. Four years after the launches in 2014, carriers are still struggling to recover those investments.
Stiff price competition has been blamed for telecoms’ plight.
Over the past two years, 4G average revenue per user has dipped 32 percent to NT$555 in the second quarter of this year, government statistics showed.
Taiwan Star Telecom Corp (台灣之星) president Cliff Lai (賴弦五) made a bold forecast, saying that “5G technology will not be a profitable business by 2025.”
“We cannot even find a business case that would allow us to recover 5G investments in the short term,” Lai said at the forum.
Deploying a 5G network remains two to three times more expensive than the rollout of 4G, as telecoms would have to install many more base stations to ensure Internet connectivity to a massive amount of end devices that is 10 to 100 times faster and has a lower latency than 4G, Taiwan Star Telecom said.
Taiwan Mobile Co (台灣大哥大) is also conservative about jumping into capital-intensive 5G technology.
Company president James Jeng (鄭俊卿) said that the firm would not invest heavily in 5G within three years after the release of the 5G spectrum.
“Within the next three years we do not see any scalable business opportunities that are strong enough to support telecoms’ heavy investments on extensive 5G coverage like we did for 2G, 3G and 4G,” Jeng said.
The National Communications Commission has pushed back the issuance of 5G licenses from next year to 2020 due to technological hurdles and expensive telecommunications equipment in the initial phase.
Local telecoms are likely to commercially launch 5G services in the second half of 2020 or in the first half of 2021, about six months after the release of spectrum, Far EasTone Telecommunications Co (遠傳電信) president Yvonne Li (李彬) said.
In other words, Taiwanese telecoms would lag their global peers such as US telecom giants AT&T Inc and Verizon Communications Inc by about two years in offering 5G services. In the US, major wireless service providers have already begun providing 5G services.
Other markets where significant 5G subscriber volume is expected include South Korea, Japan and China, Telefonaktiebolaget L.M. Ericsson said in an annual mobility report released last month.
Flawed government policy has stalled local telecoms’ investment in 5G and they also learned a harsh lesson during the migration to 4G.
WiMAX service providers, the strongest supporters of a government drive to build a local WiMAX ecosystem, were all forced out of the market in 2015 after admitting defeat in a battle for 4G supremacy with LTE technology.
On the cusp of entering the 5G era, the government aims to build a new 5G supply chain in Taiwan by teaming up with global 5G pioneers like Qualcomm Inc, with the ultimate goal of transforming the nation into a “digital economy.”
The Ministry of Economic Affairs has created a 5G Technology Program Office tasked with spurring collaboration to lead local chipmakers, base station suppliers and networking equipment manufacturers into the global 5G market.
The domestic market could serve as a testing ground for the local 5G supply chain if telecoms spearhead the rollout of 5G services, the ministry said.
However, telecoms have not shown interest in the proposition.
“The ministry has built a bad reputation,” Lai said, citing the WiMAX fiasco. “Taiwan should seek to be a smart follower, rather than a 5G leader.”
ELECTRIC FARMLAND: TSMC’s proposal to clear 230 hectares of reforested land for what would become Taiwan’s largest photovoltaic solar farm has generated concerns New rules curbing solar farms built on agricultural land sparked fierce debate at a packed public hearing at the Legislative Yuan yesterday, with industry representatives saying that the new restrictions would endanger President Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) green energy goals, while agricultural officials emphasized the importance of protecting farmers and the environment. The Tsai administration has set a target to generate 20 percent of the nation’s power from renewable sources by 2025, by which time it also aims to install 20 gigawatts (GW) of solar power, including 6GW from rooftop solar systems and 14GW from ground-mounted solar farms. Although rooftop solar systems are
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) yesterday posted monthly revenue that suggested second-quarter sales surpassed analysts’ estimates, underscoring how its technological lead is helping the chipmaker weather the COVID-19 pandemic and US sanctions on its second-biggest customer Huawei Technologies Co (華為). Apple Inc’s main iPhone chipmaker posted sales of NT$120.88 billion (US$4.08 billion) for last month, up 40.8 percent year-on-year and bringing its revenue for the second quarter to NT$310.7 billion, beating the NT$308.8 billion analysts expected on average. TSMC, a barometer for the industry thanks to its heft in the global supply chain, had previously lowered its revenue outlook for this
‘SENSITIVE MARKETS’: The previously unannounced project would involve the company handing over control of data to a third party to sidestep privacy concerns Google has abandoned plans to offer a major new cloud service in China and other politically sensitive countries due in part to concerns over geopolitical tensions and the COVID-19 pandemic, two employees familiar with the matter said, revealing the challenges for US tech giants to secure business in those markets. In May, the search giant shut down the initiative, known as “Isolated Region” and which sought to address nations’ desires to control data within their borders, the employees said. The action was considered a “massive strategy shift,” said one of the employees, who added that Isolated Region had involved hundreds of employees
BIODEGRADABLE POLYMER: The bank said that its iPass credit card, the first such card issued by a foreign bank, gives it access to stores that do not accept its credit cards DBS Bank Taiwan (星展台灣) yesterday launched its first co-branded credit card with iPass Corp (一卡通票證), and said it expects its credit card business to fully recover in the second half of this year. The new “DBS eco card” is made of polylactic acid — a bio-based biodegradable polymer that can be produced from renewable resources — and is the bank’s first credit card to have the iPass electronic payment function, it said. The partnership would give the bank new business momentum, DBS Bank Taiwan general manager Lim Him-chuan (林鑫川) told a news conference in Taipei. That is because some stores and supermarkets in