Business activity in China’s services sector grew at its slowest pace in 21 months last month, as the pace of new business cooled, a private survey showed.
The survey was in sharp contrast to an official gauge of the non-manufacturing sector, which showed the services sector expanding at the fastest clip since 2014, blurring the picture on how a key part of the economy is performing.
The Caixin/Markit services purchasing managers’ index (PMI) fell to 50.6 last month, the lowest reading since December 2015 and one of the weakest since the survey began in 2005.
Photo: AFP
A reading above 50 indicates growth and any lower than that signals contraction. The index hit a three-month high of 52.7 in August.
New business last month grew at a slower pace than in the previous month, but was still relatively solid with a reading of 52, while backlogs of work declined for the first time in five months and hiring slowed.
The survey also showed that the services sector continued to see much less inflation than the manufacturing industry, in line with the view that price pressures in China are concentrated in upstream raw materials industries and are not yet percolating through to the consumer level.
Input price inflation for services firms picked up slightly from August, but was just barely in expansion territory, while prices charged also rose only marginally after falling in August.
China is counting on growth in services, particularly high value-added services in finance and technology, to reduce the economy’s reliance on heavy industry and investment.
A separate Caixin/Markit survey last week also showed that growth in the manufacturing sector slowed last month, but factory activity still grew faster than services.
Caixin’s composite manufacturing and services PMI, also released yesterday, fell to 51.4 last month from 52.4 in August and was the lowest since June.
“The Chinese economy generally held up well in the third quarter,” Zhong Zhengsheng (鍾正生), director of macroeconomic analysis at CEBM Group, said in a note accompanying the data release.
“However, the expansion in both manufacturing and services cooled in September, suggesting downward pressure on economic growth may re-emerge in the fourth quarter,” Zhong said.
Official measures on both the manufacturing and services industries for last month showed growth in both sectors at multiyear highs.
The private survey covers fewer companies and focuses more on small and medium-sized firms, which have struggled more than their larger, state-owned peers that enjoy easier access to cheap credit.
The Chinese central bank on Sept. 30 announced cuts to the amount of cash that some banks must hold as reserves for the first time since February 2016 in a bid to encourage more lending to smaller firms and energize the lackluster private sector.
Economic data to be released over the next few weeks are expected to show economic growth remains robust and resilient despite tighter monetary policy, welcome news for leadership ahead of a twice-a-decade party congress that starts on Wednesday next week.
The Chinese economy grew by a stronger-than-forecast 6.9 percent in the first half of the year and is expected to easily beat the government’s full-year target of about 6.5 percent, even if growth fades a bit in coming months.
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