The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday said that exposure to derivatives linked to yuan volatility has continued to decline as the Chinese currency fell to a new six-year low of 6.7 yuan against the US dollar.
In terms of total notional amounts and refundable deposits against client defaults, domestic banks’ exposure to yuan-linked target redemption forward (TRF) and double knock-outs (DKO) have continued to decline in the first eight months of this year, the commission said.
As of the end of August, the outstanding notional amount of TRF was NT$30.6 billion (US$967,960), down from NT$37 billion at the end of the first quarter, with the figure continuing to trend lower to NT$35.4 billion at the end of the first half, the commission said.
Total refundable deposits for TRF and DKO on a mark to market basis have fallen to NT$34.3 billion, compared with NT$100 billion at the end of last year and NT$34.2 billion and NT$42.7 billion at the end of the first and second quarter this year respectively, the commission said.
At the same time, banks have raised their provision against TRF defaults to NT$10.6 billion as of the end of August, with the figure jumping from NT$8.8 billion and NT$4.27 billion at the end of March and June respectively.
The commission said that the yuan-linked derivatives weathered a crisis in early January, when the yuan fell as low as 6.5 against the greenback, and that the markets would be more resilient against the latest bout of volatility.
Amid ongoing negotiations between investors and banks regarding settlement of massive losses triggered by the yuan’s weakening in the past two years, a local media report published yesterday pointed to another flareup as a local medium-sized industrial company has racked up as much as NT$20 billion in TRF-related losses.
“We found the amount listed in the report to be unlikely, and our investigation into the matter with banks did not uncover a company fitting the description,” an FSC official who declined to be identified said.
Regarding questions of whether clients were not fully informed of the derivative’s risks, the commission has ordered banks and affected investors who are in talks to move forward with the settlement timetable and begin either arbitration or mediation with third party institutions to two weeks.
The majority of larger-sized businesses utilize TRF as part of their foreign-exchange risk hedging strategy, but continued fallout from the troubled instrument has made the option less viable, leading to higher hedging costs, the official said.
He added that while many businesses view themselves as victims who were misled by banks, most are willing to shoulder their losses and preserve long-running relations with their lenders.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
Hong Kong authorities ramped up sales of the local dollar as the greenback’s slide threatened the foreign-exchange peg. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) sold a record HK$60.5 billion (US$7.8 billion) of the city’s currency, according to an alert sent on its Bloomberg page yesterday in Asia, after it tested the upper end of its trading band. That added to the HK$56.1 billion of sales versus the greenback since Friday. The rapid intervention signals efforts from the city’s authorities to limit the local currency’s moves within its HK$7.75 to HK$7.85 per US dollar trading band. Heavy sales of the local dollar by
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to