The local stock markets’ lackluster turnover is putting pressure on the profitability of local securities houses, and smaller brokers might exit the market as poor investment prospects might further dampen the appetite of retail investors, Fitch Ratings Inc said.
“Taiwanese securities firms are facing challenges to stay viable as retail investors increasingly avoid the domestic stock market,” the international ratings agency said in a recent report.
Growing competition from online brokers could accelerate the demise of unprofitable brokers, the report said. Retail investors make up more than 90 percent of Taiwanese securities firms’ customers, while institutional investors are mainly served by foreign brokers operating locally, Fitch said.
From 2011 to last year, average daily turnover on the local bourses was NT$111 billion (US$3.4 billion), down 20 percent from five years earlier, Fitch said.
The agency attributed the fall mainly to lower retail activity, with retail investors accounting for only 59 percent of overall transactions last year, down from 71 percent in 2010 and 86 percent in 2000.
The decline of retail investor interest is set to continue, because investment returns are low, including returns from conventional wealth management products distributed by brokers, while alternative investment tools, such as real estate and offshore investments, generate higher returns, the report said.
The Financial Supervisory Commission has allowed a broader range of wealth management and insurance products to be sold to help securities houses improve earnings and diversify income sources.
In addition, the commission has eased trading rules to invigorate the markets, but has achieved little success.
Against this backdrop, consolidation is taking place and companies are making efforts to cut costs, while online brokers are squeezing and often undercutting fees, Fitch said.
Mega Securities Co (兆豐證券), the brokerage arm of state-run Mega Financial Holding Co (兆豐金控), has made public plans to shut down two branches by the end of July and strengthen Internet banking instead. Other state-run peers might follow suit.
Earnings pressure will build up on securities houses, especially on small ones, as they depend heavily on simple brokerage activity and proprietary trading, Fitch said.
The risk of unprofitable business has increased, accounting for their credit ratings in the “BB” category, the agency said.
Last year, 10 small securities companies incurred losses, even though they were moderate thanks to a well-controlled risk appetite and conservative stop-loss limits, Fitch said.
Large brokers might seek to expand through acquisitions to boost their client base and economies of scale to offset fixed costs, Fitch said.
Acquisition targets might fall outside Taiwan, allowing brokers to raise earnings and allocate capital to areas with higher growth prospects, Fitch said.
Hong Kong authorities ramped up sales of the local dollar as the greenback’s slide threatened the foreign-exchange peg. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) sold a record HK$60.5 billion (US$7.8 billion) of the city’s currency, according to an alert sent on its Bloomberg page yesterday in Asia, after it tested the upper end of its trading band. That added to the HK$56.1 billion of sales versus the greenback since Friday. The rapid intervention signals efforts from the city’s authorities to limit the local currency’s moves within its HK$7.75 to HK$7.85 per US dollar trading band. Heavy sales of the local dollar by
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC, 台積電) revenue jumped 48 percent last month, underscoring how electronics firms scrambled to acquire essential components before global tariffs took effect. The main chipmaker for Apple Inc and Nvidia Corp reported monthly sales of NT$349.6 billion (US$11.6 billion). That compares with the average analysts’ estimate for a 38 percent rise in second-quarter revenue. US President Donald Trump’s trade war is prompting economists to retool GDP forecasts worldwide, casting doubt over the outlook for everything from iPhone demand to computing and datacenter construction. However, TSMC — a barometer for global tech spending given its central role in the
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to
PRESSURE EXPECTED: The appreciation of the NT dollar reflected expectations that Washington would press Taiwan to boost its currency against the US dollar, dealers said Taiwan’s export-oriented semiconductor and auto part manufacturers are expecting their margins to be affected by large foreign exchange losses as the New Taiwan dollar continued to appreciate sharply against the US dollar yesterday. Among major semiconductor manufacturers, ASE Technology Holding Co (日月光), the world’s largest integrated circuit (IC) packaging and testing services provider, said that whenever the NT dollar rises NT$1 against the greenback, its gross margin is cut by about 1.5 percent. The NT dollar traded as strong as NT$29.59 per US dollar before trimming gains to close NT$0.919, or 2.96 percent, higher at NT$30.145 yesterday in Taipei trading