Chinese Premier Wen Jiabao (溫家寶) said Beijing would “fine-tune” its economic policy this year, state media reported, raising hopes of monetary loosening as the world’s second-largest economy slows.
China’s economy expanded by an annual 9.2 percent last year, narrowing from 10.4 percent in 2010, and is widely expected to slow further this year, raising the specter of more social unrest as the contraction takes hold.
“It’s worth paying close attention to the economic situation in January and the first quarter,” Xinhua news agency quoted Wen on late Sunday as telling a government meeting.
ECONOMIC PLANS
He added the government would “pre-emptively adjust and fine-tune starting from the first quarter,” but gave no further details.
Analysts widely expect Beijing to further trim the amount of money that banks must keep in reserve, following a cut in December last year, to counter slower economic growth due to global turmoil.
“The most basic requirement is to maintain the continuity and flexibility of policy,” Wen said.
TRADE DOWN
The country’s trade activity fell last month from a year earlier, as the domestic slowdown and weaker overseas sales hit demand, though factory closures from a long holiday also played a role.
Exports fell 0.5 percent year-on-year last month to US$149.94 billion, while imports plunged 15.3 percent to US$122.66 billion, the government said, marking the worst performance since during the global financial crisis in 2009.
The slowdown has resulted in large-scale strikes in recent months, as workers resentful about low salaries or layoffs face off with employers juggling high costs and exports hit by lower demand from the debt-burdened West.
So far the policy fine-tuning has focused more on cutting taxes and red tape for the small businesses that provide about 75 percent of the jobs in China. Wen ruled out loosening the government’s grip over the property sector, citing the need for “reasonable” housing prices.
REAL ESTATE
China has introduced a range of measures aimed at curbing the real-estate market over the last year, such as bans on buying second homes, hiking minimum downpayments and introducing property taxes in select cities.
“For the purpose of promoting fairness and stability, the government’s controls cannot be relaxed,” he said.
One small city, Wuhu in the eastern province of Anhui, said last week it would offer subsidies for apartment purchases in a sign of easing, but it retreated from the policy over the weekend, state media reported.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to