Sat, Apr 04, 2009 - Page 12 News List

US unemployment at highest level since 1983

LONG WAIT FOR WORK? Economists say that the job market in the US may not get back to normal — meaning a 5 percent unemployment rate — until 2013


Job seekers line up to apply for positions at an American Apparel store in New York City on Thursday. A report has shown that weekly unemployment claims in the US have reached a 26-year high.


The US unemployment rate jumped to 8.5 percent last month, the highest since late 1983, as a wide range of employers eliminated a net total of 663,000 jobs.

The Labor Department’s report is fresh evidence of the toll the recession has inflicted on the US’ workers and companies. Most economists expect the job cuts will continue for much of this year.

The latest tally of job losses, released yesterday, was slightly higher than the 654,000 that economists expected. The rise in the unemployment rate matched expectations.

Since the recession began in December 2007, the economy has lost a net total of 5.1 million jobs, with almost two-thirds of the losses occurring in the last five months.

The number of unemployed people climbed to 13.2 million last month.

In addition, the number of people forced to work part time for “economic reasons” rose by 423,000 to 9 million. That’s people who would like to work full time but whose hours were cut back or were unable to find full-time work.

If part-time and discouraged workers are factored in, the unemployment rate would have been 15.6 percent last month, the highest on records dating to 1994.

Looking forward, economists expect monthly job losses continuing for most — if not all of — this year.

However, they are hoping that payroll reductions in the current quarter won’t be as deep as the roughly 685,000 average monthly job losses in the January-March period.

Even if the recession ends this year, the economy will remain frail, analysts said. Companies will have little appetite to ramp up hiring until they feel the economy is truly out of the woods and any recovery has staying power.

Given that, many economists predict the unemployment rate will reach 10 percent at the end of this year. The Fed says unemployment will remain elevated into 2011.

Economists say the job market may not get back to normal — meaning a 5 percent unemployment rate — until 2013.

“There’s going to be quite a long haul before you see the jobless rate head down,” said Bill Cheney, chief economist at John Hancock Financial Services.

This week, 3M Co, the maker of Scotch tape, Post-It Notes and other products, said it was cutting another 1,200 jobs, or 1.5 percent of its work force, because of the global economic slump.

Fewer than half the jobs will be in the US, but include hundreds in its home state of Minnesota. The 1,200 figure includes cuts made earlier in the first quarter.

Elsewhere, healthcare products distributor Cardinal Health Inc said it would eliminate 1,300 positions, or about 3 percent of its work force, and semiconductor equipment maker KLA-Tencor Corp said it would cut about 600 jobs, or 10 percent of its employees.

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