Standard & Poor's analysts see signs of stability returning to distressed global credit markets, which were jolted in August by fears over the US mortgage market, a report showed on Thursday.
The S&P analysts said the credit markets appeared to have been soothed somewhat by the resilience of major banks to weather the financial storm that recently rocked global markets.
"At the root of Standard & Poor's belief that the credit markets may be calming down is the continued strength of diversified financial conglomerates," S&P credit analyst Diane Hinton said in the report.
Financial firms often advise investors not to stuff all their eggs in one basket and the S&P report suggested some banks had weathered the credit downturn because they had diversified their holdings.
The report noted that four US broker-dealers -- Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley, Bear Stearns and Lehman Brothers -- had unveiled better-than-expected third quarter results last month despite their exposures to troubled loans and ailing mortgage-backed securities.
Concerns about the US' stricken mortgage market exploded in August as several large banks and financial firms revealed large losses tied to mortgage-backed securities.
The subsequent fallout, which triggered sharp falls on global stock markets, forced many banks to tighten their lending standards, which in turn sparked a credit crunch.
Some voiced fears that a major bank or hedge fund would collapse amid the turmoil, but that has yet to happen despite losses of billions of dollars related to mortgage-backed securities.
The credit squeeze was exacerbated as banks found they could not sell the mortgage securities they were holding, and the Federal Reserve was forced to intervene in the banking system to stop the US credit market from gumming up.
The S&P report said access to central bank funding helps large financial institutions survive such market shocks, as well as other credit facilities they operate.
S&P analyst Tanya Azarchs said if the perceived "fragile stability" holds, it will increase the odds of a so-called soft landing for the economy from the credit freeze.
The credit crunch nonetheless has bruised major banks.
Citigroup Inc, the US' largest banking group by market value, warned on Monday that it foresaw a sharp fall of around 60 percent in third quarter profit due in part to failed mortgage investments.
And Swiss banking giant UBS warned on Monday of asset write-downs of 4.0 billion Swiss francs (US$3.4 billion), largely due to hedge fund losses, but also stemming from its investments in mortgage-backed securities.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to