Sun, Jul 15, 2007 - Page 10 News List

Oil prices push closer to all-time highs

COMMODITIES Amid a speculative assault, light, sweet crude climbed to US$73.93 in new York, as Brent North Sea oil leapt US$1.17 to settle at US$77.57 in London


Workers clean up fuel oil on the Talamanca beach in Ibiza, Spain, on Friday. A third beach on the Spanish resort island was closed on Friday after the coast was hit by a fuel spill from a sunken freighter. Two beaches were closed to the public on Thursday as a result of the pollution seeping from the Don Pedro, a 145m ship transporting trucks and cargo that went down a day earlier after hitting a rocky outcrop just off the island.


Crude oil futures raced closer to all-time record highs on Friday as speculative buying picked up amid tight US fuel supplies, analysts said.

New York's main oil futures contract, light sweet crude for delivery in August, climbed US$1.43 to close at US$73.93 a barrel, and briefly topped US$74 for the first time since Aug. 11 last year.

The market action came exactly one year after New York crude hit its all-time high of US$78.40 a barrel.

In London, Brent North Sea crude for August delivery leapt US$1.17 to settle at US$77.57 -- the highest point since Aug. 10 last year and about US$1 away from the record of US$78.64 hit three days earlier.

"The speculative assault on crude remains very impressive," Petromatrix analyst Olivier Jakob said.

Prices were also lifted by news that the International Energy Agency (IEA) has lifted its forecast for oil product demand for next year to 88.2 million barrels a day.

Eric Wittenauer at AG Edwards said that even though demand for this year was revised down slightly by the IEA after methodological revisions, "2008 demand estimates suggest growth of 2.5 percent, which is very robust."

Prices over the week have risen more than US$1 a barrel in New York and US$2 in London.

"We have been endlessly cataloguing the supportive influences all week: a strong Brent, North Sea production problems, a decline in August loadings, a weaker dollar and OPEC keeping the global supply outlook tight," Mike Fitzpatrick at Man Financial said.

"Additionally, a push to a new record high in the stock market gives a bullish macroeconomic outlook that points to strong energy demand ahead, and endorsed by the latest IEA report," he said.

"Throw rising political risks into the mix, which yesterday's vote in the [US] House to pull troops out of Iraq by April 1, and the drafting of a third round of sanctions against Iran clearly are, and it becomes increasingly difficult to parse a scenario that has oil prices falling," Fitzpatrick said.

It also emerged on Wednesday that US gasoline reserves had climbed by 1.2 million barrels to 205.6 million in the week ending July 6. That beat analysts' forecasts of a gain of 825,000 barrels.

But gasoline stocks were 3.8 percent lower than at the same stage last year.

Traders also assessed the IEA report. The IEA predicted on Friday that tightness on the global oil market would ease next year, forecasting that supplies would exceed robust demand.

"Overall, both in terms of spare upstream capacity and refinery flexibility, 2008 looks at this stage to be slightly more comfortable than 2006 and 2007," the IEA said.

The IEA suggested again that the OPEC producers' cartel should pump more crude, notably during the ongoing US summer driving season when many Americans take to the highways for their holidays.

Earlier this week OPEC Secretary-General Abdullah al-Badri said OPEC did not plan to raise its oil output to ease the pressure on crude prices.

Analysts said that recent gains in Brent prices followed the closure of a number of North Sea oilfields for maintenance and because of a pipeline problem.

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