Taiwan might see one or two typhoons this fall, along with above-average temperatures and rainfall, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said.
While the forecast number of typhoons is about average, they are more likely to form closer to Taiwan and could bring heavier rainfall in combination with seasonal northeasternly winds, CWA Weather Forecast Center deputy director Huang Chun-hsi (黃椿喜) said.
The prediction is based data on La Nina weather patterns, which the bureau expects would develop by fall due to cooler Eastern Pacific sea temperatures, he said on Friday, adding that based on experience, autumn typhoons generally track west or northwest.
Photo courtesy of the Central Weather Administration
However, central and southern Taiwan are still likely to see a dry spell in fall, so the public should conserve water and monitor the CWA’s weekly and monthly forecasts, Huang said.
This year’s summer was marked by “more rainfall, less sunshine and slightly lower temperatures,” he said.
Five typhoons, low-pressure systems and southwest currents combined to bring “prolonged heavy rainfall” last month, averaging 767mm nationwide — the highest for that month since 1951, the CWA said.
As a result, only 333.4 hours of sunshine were recorded last month and this month, the second-lowest since 1951, CWA data showed.
The average temperature for the two months was 28.6°C, 0.2°C below the average in from 1991 to 2020, which suggests that global warming continues to influence Taiwan’s climate.
Seven typhoons formed last month, the third-highest number since 1958, it added.
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