A survey by the Chicago Council on Global Affairs and the Ministry of National Defense-run Institute of National Defense showed overwhelming support among Taiwanese and Americans for maintaining the “status quo” across the Taiwan Strait.
However, the poll also showed that Taiwanese and Americans differ in their stances on US military intervention in case of a Chinese attack on Taiwan, with support for such an action relatively lower among the latter.
The survey showed that 62 percent of Taiwanese and US nationals believe bilateral relations enhance national security. Additionally, a majority of Taiwanese expect the US to supply Taiwan with food, medical aid and military aid, should China attempt an armed takeover of Taiwan.
Photo: I-Hwa Cheng, AFP
A majority of US citizens also support sending aid to Taiwan in case of a Chinese attack, the survey showed.
Sixty percent of Taiwanese support maintaining the “status quo,” with 34 backing it “indefinitely,” and 26 percent favoring either declaring independence or unifying with China at a later date, depending on the conditions.
The poll showed that 51 percent of Americans support maintaining the “status quo” across the Taiwan Strait and do not favor Taiwanese independence or unification with China.
Only 27 percent of Taiwanese support declaring independence and 7 percent back unification with China, it said.
In addition, 51 percent of Americans believe the US should encourage Taiwan to maintain the “status quo” instead of promoting independence or unification, while 36 percent support promoting Taiwanese independence even if it increases the risks of conflict with China.
The joint report showed that while Taiwanese and Americans recognize that cross-strait relations affect national security, they differ on potential US response in case of a Taiwan Strait crisis.
The majority of Taiwanese respondents, or 53 percent, believe that the US would dispatch military forces to assist Taiwan, but only 36 percent of US respondents support such measures.
The joint report showed that, in general, Taiwanese respondents are more worried about China using military drills and “gray area” tactics to threaten Taiwan’s safety and sovereignty, instead of the possibility of a full-blown military invasion over a short period.
Maintaining the “status quo” is the foundation for deepening US-Taiwan diplomatic, economic and military collaborations, said the report’s authors: Craig Kafura, Chicago Council on Global Affairs assistant director for public opinion and foreign policy; Dina Smeltz, senior public opinion and foreign policy fellow at the council; , and Lee Kuan-chen (李冠成) and Christina Chen (方琮嬿), assistant researchers at the National Defense and Security Research Division of Chinese Politics, Military and Warfighting Concepts.
The discrepancy between Taiwanese expectations of a US military intervention and US nationals’ support for such an act highlights the need for both sides to step up mutual strategic communications to avoid discord or a misinterpretation of intentions during a crisis, the report said.
Taiwan and the US should continue their dialogue through non-official channels and establish a consensus on the reality of the situation on the ground and tactical limitations to facilitate effective joint responses in times of crisis, it said.
The analysis was based on the 2024 Chicago Council Survey of the US public on foreign policy, an annual project of the Lester Crown Center on US Foreign Policy, conducted from June 21 to July 1, and the institute’s Taiwan National Defense Surveys, conducted from Sept. 11 to 16.
The US survey interviewed 2,106 adults, with a margin of error of 2.3 percent, while the Taiwanese survey, conducted via telephone, gathered 1,214 valid samples, with a margin of error of 2.81 percent.
A year-long renovation of Taipei’s Bangka Park (艋舺公園) began yesterday, as city workers fenced off the site and cleared out belongings left by homeless residents who had been living there. Despite protests from displaced residents, a city official defended the government’s relocation efforts, saying transitional housing has been offered. The renovation of the park in Taipei’s Wanhua District (萬華), near Longshan Temple (龍山寺), began at 9am yesterday, as about 20 homeless people packed their belongings and left after being asked to move by city personnel. Among them was a 90-year-old woman surnamed Wang (王), who last week said that she had no plans
China might accelerate its strategic actions toward Taiwan, the South China Sea and across the first island chain, after the US officially entered a military conflict with Iran, as Beijing would perceive Washington as incapable of fighting a two-front war, a military expert said yesterday. The US’ ongoing conflict with Iran is not merely an act of retaliation or a “delaying tactic,” but a strategic military campaign aimed at dismantling Tehran’s nuclear capabilities and reshaping the regional order in the Middle East, said National Defense University distinguished adjunct lecturer Holmes Liao (廖宏祥), former McDonnell Douglas Aerospace representative in Taiwan. If
TO BE APPEALED: The environment ministry said coal reduction goals had to be reached within two months, which was against the principle of legitimate expectation The Taipei High Administrative Court on Thursday ruled in favor of the Taichung Environmental Protection Bureau in its administrative litigation against the Ministry of Environment for the rescission of a NT$18 million fine (US$609,570) imposed by the bureau on the Taichung Power Plant in 2019 for alleged excess coal power generation. The bureau in November 2019 revised what it said was a “slip of the pen” in the text of the operating permit granted to the plant — which is run by Taiwan Power Co (Taipower) — in October 2017. The permit originally read: “reduce coal use by 40 percent from Jan.
‘SPEY’ REACTION: Beijing said its Eastern Theater Command ‘organized troops to monitor and guard the entire process’ of a Taiwan Strait transit China sent 74 warplanes toward Taiwan between late Thursday and early yesterday, 61 of which crossed the median line in the Taiwan Strait. It was not clear why so many planes were scrambled, said the Ministry of National Defense, which tabulated the flights. The aircraft were sent in two separate tranches, the ministry said. The Ministry of Foreign Affairs on Thursday “confirmed and welcomed” a transit by the British Royal Navy’s HMS Spey, a River-class offshore patrol vessel, through the Taiwan Strait a day earlier. The ship’s transit “once again [reaffirmed the Strait’s] status as international waters,” the foreign ministry said. “Such transits by
RSS