The nine-in-one local election results would bolster the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT), but are unlikely to have a major effect on the 2024 presidential election, when cross-strait issues are back in focus, political commentators said.
In Saturday’s elections, the KMT won 13 of the 21 cities and counties up for grabs, including four of the country’s six biggest metropolitan areas, where nearly 70 percent of the population lives.
The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) lost three of the seven cities and counties it held, although it gained Penghu County. Its poor results prompted President Tsai Ing-wen (蔡英文) to announce her resignation as party chairpersom.
Photo: Ann Wang, Reuters
Yoshiyuki Ogasawara, a professor at Tokyo University of Foreign Studies who correctly predicted that the DPP would win only five municipalities, told the Asahi Shimbun newspaper that the ruling party had chosen the wrong Taipei and Taoyuan mayoral candidates, and was unsuccessful in playing up the China issue before the election.
Ogasawara said he viewed it as a sign of the “maturity” of Taiwan’s democracy that voters are able to compartmentalize their thinking about local and national elections.
For this reason, the KMT’s win is unlikely to have a major impact on 2024, he said.
Kharis Templeman, a research fellow at US think tank the Hoover Institution, said that the KMT benefited from structural advantages in the local elections, such as the majority of cities and counties being more pro-KMT than the national average, and from having several popular incumbents on the ballot.
There might also have been “some fatigue” among the electorate regarding the DPP, particularly in terms of the candidates it put forward, he said.
While the KMT must craft a different message for its national election campaign, Saturday’s results showed that the party “has a future in Taiwan politics and [will probably] be competitive in 2024,” Templeman said.
Shelley Rigger, a professor of East Asian Politics at Davidson College in North Carolina, said that while the elections had a local focus, they showed that the KMT “has not been eliminated as a competitive player” in Taiwan’s politics, and should not be counted out in 2024.
If the KMT is to be competitive, it needs to continue working to overcome its portrayal as a “Beijing-leaning” party in the local media, she said.
“They need to finish adjusting their message to align with the mainstream Taiwanese preference for the status quo,” Rigger said.
Robert Tsao (曹興誠), founder and former chairman of contract chipmaker United Microelectronics Corp (聯電), yesterday wrote on Facebook that the local election results send a message to the world that Taiwan would compromise with and try to appease the Chinese Communist Party, “which is worrying.”
However, Wang Dan (王丹), a prominent student leader in the 1989 democracy movement in Beijing, said that the DPP’s major setback in the elections did not mean that voters were supporting the KMT or ditching the government’s “counter-Beijing” strategy.
There had been claims on the Internet prior to Saturday’s elections that voters wanted to “teach the DPP a lesson,” Wang said.
“I would say that voters should always teach any ruling party a lesson with their ballots, but I don’t think the outcome of Saturday elections means Taiwanese voters now prefer the KMT over the DPP,” Wang said.
Chen Shih-min (陳世民), an associate professor of political science at National Taiwan University, said many young voters did not vote.
This had a negative effect on the DPP’s fortunes, but the issue of Taiwan’s sovereignty, on which the DPP generally has a higher approval rating, did not play a deciding factor at the polls, which revolved around economic problems, Chen said.
Lin Tzu-li (林子立), an associate professor of political science at Tunghai University agreed, saying that voters in local elections care mostly about economic issues and their livelihoods, and COVID-19 had dealt a heavy blow to the service sector, in which a large number of people are employed.
The International Industrial Talents Education Special (INTENSE) Program to attract foreigners to study and work in Taiwan will provide scholarships and a living allowance of up to NT$440,000 per person for two years beginning in August, Minister of Education Pan Wen-chung (潘文忠) told a meeting of the legislature’s Education and Culture Committee yesterday. Pan was giving an update on the program’s implementation, a review of universities’ efforts to recruit international students and promotion of the Taiwan Huayu Bilingual Exchanges of Selected Talent (BEST) program. Each INTENSE Program student would be awarded a scholarship of up to NT$100,000 per year for up to
‘MONEY PIT’: The KMT’s more than NT$2 trillion infrastructure project proposals for eastern Taiwan lack professional input and financial transparency, the DPP said The Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) caucus yesterday said it would ask the Executive Yuan to raise a motion to oppose the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) caucus’ infrastructure proposals and prepare to file for a constitutional interpretation if the KMT-dominated legislature forces their passage. The DPP caucus described the three infrastructure plans for transportation links to eastern Taiwan proposed by the KMT as “three money pit projects” that would cost more than NT$2 trillion (US$61.72 billion). It would ask the Executive Yuan to oppose public projects that would drain state financial resources, DPP caucus secretary-general Rosalia Wu (吳思瑤) said. It would also file for
SELF-SUFFICIENCY: The project would only be the beginning, as Taiwan needs at least 120 satellites to ensure uninterrupted communication, Wu Tsung-tsong said The Taiwan Space Agency (TASA) yesterday said it plans to launch six low Earth orbit satellites starting in 2026 as part of the government’s plan to boost the resilience of the nation’s communications. The development of the technology gained attention after Ukrainians were able to access the Internet through Space Exploration Technologies Corp (SpaceX) CEO Elon Musk’s Starlink satellite service, despite their infrastructure being severely damaged in the war with Russia. Two of the satellites would be built by the government, while four would involve cooperation between TASA and private contractors. “Over the past 30 years, the satellite technology in Taiwan has
BASIC OPERATIONS: About half a dozen navy ships from both countries took part in the days-long exercise based on the Code for Unplanned Encounters at Sea An unpublicized joint military exercise between Taiwan and the US in the Pacific Ocean last month was carried out in accordance with an international code, the Ministry of National Defense (MND) said yesterday. According to a Reuters report citing four unnamed sources, the two nations’ navies last month conducted joint drills in the Western Pacific. The drills were not made public at the time, but “about half-a-dozen navy ships from both sides, including frigates and supply and support vessels, participated in the days-long exercises,” Reuters reported, citing the sources. The drills were designed to practice “basic” operations such as communications, refueling and resupplies,