China has been rapidly expanding its banking operations in the Asia-Pacific region, especially in the context of a gradual withdrawal by Western banks.
For example, after Australia’s Bendigo and Adelaide Bank announced its plan to withdraw from Nauru, Bank of China, which has opened offices across the region, signed a memorandum of understanding on cooperation with the Nauruan government. This quick reaction raises worries that China might have a broader hidden agenda.
The withdrawal of Western banks is partly due to increasingly stringent financial supervision requirements.
However, their withdrawal makes it more difficult to open US dollar-denominated bank accounts in Pacific island nations, which weakens those nations’ financial resilience. Over the past decade, correspondent banking relationships in the region have been declining twice as fast as the global average.
The US and Australia are taking steps to address this challenge. Speaking at the Pacific Banking Forum in Brisbane, Australia, which ran from July 8 to 9, Australian Assistant Treasurer Stephen Jones said that his nation wants to be the partner of choice in the Asia-Pacific region, in both banking and defense.
He said that Australia would be concerned if there were some nations operating in the region whose principal objective was advancing their own national interest rather than the interests of Pacific island nations.
US Department of the Treasury Undersecretary for Terrorism and Financial Intelligence Brian Nelson said that Washington recognizes the economic and strategic importance of the Asia-Pacific region, and is committed to deepening its engagement and cooperation with its allies and partners to bolster financial connectivity, investment and integration.
These US initiatives are no doubt aimed at countering China’s growing influence in the region.
The World Bank and the Asian Development Bank are working on improvement programs to resolve problems facing de-risking efforts in Pacific island nations. These efforts would require the cooperation and support of all stakeholders.
Taiwan, too, should play an active role. As a major economy in the Asia-Pacific region, Taiwan should use its financial strength and technical knowledge to help Pacific island nations boost their financial resilience.
Taiwan could provide them with technical support to help them build a sound financial system and work together using multilateral cooperative platforms to resist any penetration by outside forces.
Fang Kai-hung is an assistant professor at Taipei University of Maritime Technology.
Translated by Julian Clegg
US President Donald Trump and Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) were born under the sign of Gemini. Geminis are known for their intelligence, creativity, adaptability and flexibility. It is unlikely, then, that the trade conflict between the US and China would escalate into a catastrophic collision. It is more probable that both sides would seek a way to de-escalate, paving the way for a Trump-Xi summit that allows the global economy some breathing room. Practically speaking, China and the US have vulnerabilities, and a prolonged trade war would be damaging for both. In the US, the electoral system means that public opinion
In their recent op-ed “Trump Should Rein In Taiwan” in Foreign Policy magazine, Christopher Chivvis and Stephen Wertheim argued that the US should pressure President William Lai (賴清德) to “tone it down” to de-escalate tensions in the Taiwan Strait — as if Taiwan’s words are more of a threat to peace than Beijing’s actions. It is an old argument dressed up in new concern: that Washington must rein in Taipei to avoid war. However, this narrative gets it backward. Taiwan is not the problem; China is. Calls for a so-called “grand bargain” with Beijing — where the US pressures Taiwan into concessions
The term “assassin’s mace” originates from Chinese folklore, describing a concealed weapon used by a weaker hero to defeat a stronger adversary with an unexpected strike. In more general military parlance, the concept refers to an asymmetric capability that targets a critical vulnerability of an adversary. China has found its modern equivalent of the assassin’s mace with its high-altitude electromagnetic pulse (HEMP) weapons, which are nuclear warheads detonated at a high altitude, emitting intense electromagnetic radiation capable of disabling and destroying electronics. An assassin’s mace weapon possesses two essential characteristics: strategic surprise and the ability to neutralize a core dependency.
Chinese President and Chinese Communist Party (CCP) Chairman Xi Jinping (習近平) said in a politburo speech late last month that his party must protect the “bottom line” to prevent systemic threats. The tone of his address was grave, revealing deep anxieties about China’s current state of affairs. Essentially, what he worries most about is systemic threats to China’s normal development as a country. The US-China trade war has turned white hot: China’s export orders have plummeted, Chinese firms and enterprises are shutting up shop, and local debt risks are mounting daily, causing China’s economy to flag externally and hemorrhage internally. China’s