The nation’s industrial production index last month fell 8.68 percent from a year earlier to the lowest level in about three years at 106.78, dragged by flagging chip demand as customers digested inventory, the Ministry of Economic Affairs said yesterday.
Inventory adjustments led the manufacturing production index to drop 9.15 percent annually to 108.27 last month, hitting the lowest since March 2020, the ministry said.
The semiconductor sub-index fell 13.74 percent to 155.4, the lowest since 2020.
Photo courtesy of the Kaohsiung Economic Development Bureau via CNA
“Inventory correction in the semiconductor sector started later than other sectors. As customers stepped up inventory digestion last month, capacity utilization of mature process technologies declined,” Department of Statistics Deputy Director-General Huang Wei-jie (黃偉傑) said by telephone.
As the macroeconomic uncertainty persists, the ministry expects industrial production to shrink by between 19.1 percent and 21.9 percent this month, extending a six-month downtrend, Huang said.
Manufacturing output would stay in the doldrums this month, as consumers remain cautious about spending on non-essential items as a result of high inflationary pressure and rising interest rates, Huang said.
Moreover, as borrowing costs rise, firms are reluctant to make new investments, he said.
“A reduction in inventory would not be enough to give local manufacturing production a boost. Only a solid pickup in end demand would work,” Huang said.
This month’s performance would be critical, he said.
If it turns out better than expected, that could be a sign the electronics industry’s inventory correction has come to an end, Huang added.
The ministry’s latest statistics showed that electronic component output slumped 19.6 percent annually in the first two months of this year, as flat-panel production plunged 52.68 percent due to sluggish demand for consumer electronics, while demand for memory chips and foundry services also sank.
The production of computers and optical components dropped 1.17 percent in the January-to-
February period, as steady demand for cloud-based servers, networking devices and computers failed to offset sagging demand for data storage, TVs and semiconductor equipment, the ministry said.
The petrochemicals sector saw production plunge 20.46 percent in the first two months due to slow orders from electronics and semiconductor companies, while the production of basic metals shrank 15.77 percent and the machinery sector fell 20.59 percent, the ministry said.
The production of vehicles and auto components fell 2.33 percent in the first two months, as US and European customers continued to deplete their inventories, it said.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
Hong Kong authorities ramped up sales of the local dollar as the greenback’s slide threatened the foreign-exchange peg. The Hong Kong Monetary Authority (HKMA) sold a record HK$60.5 billion (US$7.8 billion) of the city’s currency, according to an alert sent on its Bloomberg page yesterday in Asia, after it tested the upper end of its trading band. That added to the HK$56.1 billion of sales versus the greenback since Friday. The rapid intervention signals efforts from the city’s authorities to limit the local currency’s moves within its HK$7.75 to HK$7.85 per US dollar trading band. Heavy sales of the local dollar by
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to