The white-knuckle bitcoin ride yesterday took another twist as the worst two-day tumble in the digital currency since March last year stoked concern that the polarizing cryptocurrency boom might run out of steam.
Bitcoin slid as much as 21 percent over Sunday and yesterday to as low as US$32,389. That is the biggest two-day slide since global markets were first roiled by the COVID-19 pandemic last year and follows a record high of almost US$42,000 on Friday.
“It’s to be determined whether this is the start of a larger correction, but we have now seen this parabola break so it might just be,” said Vijay Ayyar, head of business development with crypto exchange Luno in Singapore.
Bitcoin’s price has more than quadrupled in the past year, evoking memories of the 2017 mania that first made cryptocurrencies a household name before prices collapsed just as quickly.
“Time to take some money off the table,” Guggenheim Investments chief investment officer Scott Minerd wrote on his verified Twitter account. “Bitcoin’s parabolic rise is unsustainable in the near term.”
Minerd late last month predicted bitcoin could eventually reach US$400,000.
True believers in bitcoin argue the rally this time is different from past boom-bust cycles because the asset has matured with the entry of institutional investors and is increasingly seen as a legitimate hedge against US dollar weakness and inflation risk.
Others worry that the rally is untethered from reason and fueled by vast swathes of fiscal and monetary stimulus, with bitcoin unlikely to ever serve as a viable currency alternative.
“Bitcoin is almost certainly in another bubble and its current growth rate is not sustainable,” Convoy Investments LLC cofounder Howard Wang (王昊昊) wrote in a note on Sunday. “While it may mature in the future, Bitcoin as it exists is largely a speculative asset.”
Bitcoin has shrugged off recent dips and might do so again, potentially recovering to as much as US$44,000 “before the actual correction,” Ayyar said.
Bitcoin was holding near session lows at about US$33,200 as of 7:08am in London. Rival digital assets are also slumping, with second-largest coin ether tumbling as much as 21 percent.
HORMUZ ISSUE: The US president said he expected crude prices to drop at the end of the war, which he called a ‘minor excursion’ that could continue ‘for a little while’ The United Arab Emirates (UAE) and Kuwait started reducing oil production, as the near-closure of the crucial Strait of Hormuz ripples through energy markets and affects global supply. Abu Dhabi National Oil Co (ADNOC) is “managing offshore production levels to address storage requirements,” the company said in a statement, without giving details. Kuwait Petroleum Corp said it was lowering production at its oil fields and refineries after “Iranian threats against safe passage of ships through the Strait of Hormuz.” The war in the Middle East has all but closed Hormuz, the narrow waterway linking the Persian Gulf to the open seas,
Apple Inc increased iPhone production in India by about 53 percent last year and now makes a quarter of its marquee devices there, reflecting the US company’s efforts to avoid tariffs on China. The company assembled about 55 million iPhones in India last year, up from 36 million a year earlier, people familiar with the matter said, asking not to be named because the numbers aren’t public. Apple makes about 220 million to 230 million iPhones a year globally, with India’s share of the total increasing rapidly. Apple has accelerated its expansion in the world’s most populous country in recent years, bolstered
HEADWINDS: The company said it expects its computer business, as well as consumer electronics and communications segments to see revenue declines due to seasonality Pegatron Corp (和碩) yesterday said it aims to grow its artificial intelligence (AI) server revenue more than 10-fold this year from last year, driven by orders from neocloud solutions clients and large cloud service providers. The electronics manufacturing service provider said AI server revenue growth would be driven primarily by the Nvidia Corp GB300 server platform. Server shipments are expected to increase each quarter this year, with the second half likely to outperform the first half, it said. The AI server market is expected to broaden this year as more inference applications emerge, which would drive demand for system-on-chip, application-specific integrated circuits
PROJECTION: TSMC said it expects strong growth this year, with revenue in US dollars projected to grow by about 30 percent, outperforming the industry Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) yesterday reported consolidated sales last month reached NT$317.66 billion (US$9.98 billion), the highest ever for the month of February, driven by robust demand for chips built using the company’s advanced 3-nanometer (3nm) process. Last month’s figure was up 22.2 percent from a year earlier, but fell 20.8 percent from January, the world’s largest contract chipmaker said in a statement. For the first two months of the year, TSMC posted cumulative sales of NT$718.91 billion, up 29.9 percent from a year earlier. Analysts attributed the growth to sustained global demand for artificial intelligence (AI) products