UNITED KINGDOM
Moody’s raises EU issue
An early referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU carries risks that could threaten its credit rating, according to Moody’s Investors Service. While a vote next year would reduce the period of uncertainty surrounding the issue, it also “increases the risk that the UK government will not manage to secure the changes that it is seeking, which in turn may negatively influence the government’s willingness to support remaining in the EU,” Moody’s said yesterday. “A withdrawal from the EU would have negative implications for the UK’s growth prospects and — in the absence of an alternative trade arrangement with the EU that at least partly replicates the current access to the EU’s single market — would likely put pressure on the UK’s sovereign rating.”
MACROECONOMICS
German trade surplus rises
Germany’s trade surplus widened in April from the previous month as exports grew 1.9 percent, official data showed yesterday. At the same time imports fell by 1.3 percent, pushing the trade surplus up to 22.3 billion euros (US$24.8 billion) in April, according to seasonally adjusted figures published by the federal statistics office, Destatis. In unadjusted terms, the trade surplus contracted slightly from March to 22.1 billion euros. On a year-to-year comparison, exports from Europe’s top economy to non-European countries increased by nearly 12 percent in April, while imports grew about five percent. Its export and import flows with other European nations were also up, by 4.5 percent and 1.7 percent respectively, with the biggest jumps seen with non-eurozone members.
ACQUISITIONS
IRM increases Recall bid
Iron Mountain Inc (IRM) increased its bid for Recall Holdings Ltd a second time, adding a cash component to a deal that would value the data storage company at A$3.4 billion (US$2.6 billion) including debt. The Boston-based company would offer US$0.50 in addition to 0.1722 Iron Mountain shares for each Recall share, it said in a statement yesterday. Recall investors would also have a choice of accepting A$8.50 per share in cash, subject to a cap of A$225 million, with preferential access to the cash pool for the first 5,000 shares owned by each shareholder. Recall had been seeking improved terms after a fall in Iron Mountain’s shares cut the value of its offer for the Atlanta-based company, people with knowledge of the matter said last week. Iron Mountain offered investors the same equity ratio, which was equal to about A$7.86 when the takeover was announced on April 28, after its original bid was rejected in December last year.
STOCKS
Japan wins investors
While China’s world-beating stock market rally is generating headlines, some of the biggest Asia-focused hedge funds are looking further east for profits. Hutchin Hill, Indus Capital Partners and Oasis Management (Hong Kong) are among firms touting winning trades among Japanese power producers, makers of foods and beverages and semiconductor parts. A push by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to improve corporate governance has made the market a favorite of hedge funds at the same time as fears that Chinese markets are entering bubble territory mount, following gains of as much as 150 percent in the country’s two best-performing stock market indices during the past year. “Global investors are increasingly viewing the country favorably,” Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Hong Kong-based analyst Ben Williams said.
After several years flying high as Asia’s best Nvidia Corp proxy, Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co (TSMC, 台積電) is increasingly vying with other artificial intelligence (AI) stocks for investor attention. Stock traders are chasing a wider array of beneficiaries as mainstream usage of AI creates demand for hardware beyond the most-advanced chips TSMC makes for Nvidia. Subthemes from the deepening memory crunch to advances in robotics are also luring bids. At the same time, investment caps on single stocks are pushing funds to diversify, while retail investors long familiar with TSMC through its US depositary receipts are being offered a broader set of
UNDER MICROSCOPE: Taiwan detained three people who allegedly conspired to buy servers in Taiwan and export them using fraudulent documentation, prosecutors said Nvidia Corp chief executive officer Jensen Huang (黃仁勳) on Saturday urged Super Micro Computer Inc to tighten up on compliance after Taiwan detained three people this week for allegedly making fraudulent declarations about artificial intelligence (AI) servers made by its US partner. The development marked the nation’s first crackdown on semiconductor smuggling, which grew after the US slapped restrictions on exports of high-end chips such as Nvidia AI accelerators to China. Nvidia is “rigorous” in explaining regulations to all of its partners, Huang told reporters after arriving in Taipei. “Ultimately Super Micro has to run their own company,” he said in response to
TECH RELIANCE: Growth is increasingly reflecting an unequal K-shaped distribution, where technology sectors outperform and other industries struggle, an expert said Standard Chartered Bank has significantly raised its forecast for Taiwan’s economic growth to 9.5 percent this year, up from 7.6 percent previously, citing surging artificial intelligence (AI) demand driving exports, semiconductor production and investment. The upgrade reflects a sustained AI supercycle that continues to fuel demand for advanced chips and technology infrastructure, which form the backbone of Taiwan’s exports, the bank said in a report this week. “We raise our 2026 growth forecast to reflect a much stronger-than-expected first-quarter GDP figure,” Standard Chartered senior economist for greater China and Asia Tommy Wu (胡東安) said in the report. Driven largely by a 35.3 percent
Two of Taiwan’s international carriers, Starlux Airlines Co (星宇航空) and EVA Airways Corp (長榮航空), have retained the five-star airline rating awarded by international airline review organization Skytrax. Starlux was awarded the distinction for a second consecutive year, while EVA Air received it for the 11th straight year, Skytrax said in statements released yesterday and on Thursday last week, respectively. The five-star rating is considered one of the airline industry's highest honors and is awarded following professional audits of airline product and frontline service standards, Skytrax said. The ratings are based on in-depth assessments using unified global quality standards rather than customer review scores