UNITED KINGDOM
Moody’s raises EU issue
An early referendum on the UK’s membership of the EU carries risks that could threaten its credit rating, according to Moody’s Investors Service. While a vote next year would reduce the period of uncertainty surrounding the issue, it also “increases the risk that the UK government will not manage to secure the changes that it is seeking, which in turn may negatively influence the government’s willingness to support remaining in the EU,” Moody’s said yesterday. “A withdrawal from the EU would have negative implications for the UK’s growth prospects and — in the absence of an alternative trade arrangement with the EU that at least partly replicates the current access to the EU’s single market — would likely put pressure on the UK’s sovereign rating.”
MACROECONOMICS
German trade surplus rises
Germany’s trade surplus widened in April from the previous month as exports grew 1.9 percent, official data showed yesterday. At the same time imports fell by 1.3 percent, pushing the trade surplus up to 22.3 billion euros (US$24.8 billion) in April, according to seasonally adjusted figures published by the federal statistics office, Destatis. In unadjusted terms, the trade surplus contracted slightly from March to 22.1 billion euros. On a year-to-year comparison, exports from Europe’s top economy to non-European countries increased by nearly 12 percent in April, while imports grew about five percent. Its export and import flows with other European nations were also up, by 4.5 percent and 1.7 percent respectively, with the biggest jumps seen with non-eurozone members.
ACQUISITIONS
IRM increases Recall bid
Iron Mountain Inc (IRM) increased its bid for Recall Holdings Ltd a second time, adding a cash component to a deal that would value the data storage company at A$3.4 billion (US$2.6 billion) including debt. The Boston-based company would offer US$0.50 in addition to 0.1722 Iron Mountain shares for each Recall share, it said in a statement yesterday. Recall investors would also have a choice of accepting A$8.50 per share in cash, subject to a cap of A$225 million, with preferential access to the cash pool for the first 5,000 shares owned by each shareholder. Recall had been seeking improved terms after a fall in Iron Mountain’s shares cut the value of its offer for the Atlanta-based company, people with knowledge of the matter said last week. Iron Mountain offered investors the same equity ratio, which was equal to about A$7.86 when the takeover was announced on April 28, after its original bid was rejected in December last year.
STOCKS
Japan wins investors
While China’s world-beating stock market rally is generating headlines, some of the biggest Asia-focused hedge funds are looking further east for profits. Hutchin Hill, Indus Capital Partners and Oasis Management (Hong Kong) are among firms touting winning trades among Japanese power producers, makers of foods and beverages and semiconductor parts. A push by Japanese Prime Minister Shinzo Abe to improve corporate governance has made the market a favorite of hedge funds at the same time as fears that Chinese markets are entering bubble territory mount, following gains of as much as 150 percent in the country’s two best-performing stock market indices during the past year. “Global investors are increasingly viewing the country favorably,” Bank of America-Merrill Lynch Hong Kong-based analyst Ben Williams said.
DAMAGE REPORT: Global central banks are assessing war-driven inflation risks as the law of unintended consequences careens around the world, spiking oil prices Central banks from Washington to London and from Jakarta to Taipei are about to make their first assessments of economic damage after more than two weeks of conflict between the US and Iran. Decisions this week encompassing every member of the G7 and eight of the world’s 10 most-traded currency jurisdictions are likely to confirm to investors that the specter of a new inflation shock is already worrying enough to prompt heightened caution. The US Federal Reserve is widely expected to do exactly what everyone anticipated weeks ahead of its March 17-18 policy gathering: hold rates steady. The narrative surrounding that
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co’s (TSMC, 台積電) share of the global foundry market rose to almost 70 percent last year amid booming demand for artificial intelligence (AI), market information advisory firm TrendForce Corp (集邦科技) said on Thursday. The contract chipmaker posted US$122.54 billion in revenue, up 36.1 percent from a year earlier, accounting for 69.9 percent of the global market, TrendForce said. Its share was up from 64.4 percent in 2024, it said. TSMC’s closest rival, Samsung Electronics, was a distant second, posting US$12.63 billion in sales, down 3.9 percent from a year earlier, for a 7.2 percent share of the global market. In the
At a massive shipyard in North Vancouver, Canadian workers grind metal beams for a powerful new icebreaker crucial to cementing the country’s presence in the increasingly contested arctic. Icebreakers are specialized, expensive vessels able to navigate in the frozen far north. And “this is the crown jewel,” said Eddie Schehr, vice president of production at the Seaspan shipyard. For Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who heads to Norway next Friday to observe arctic defense drills involving troops from 14 NATO states, Canada’s extreme north has emerged as a strategic priority. “Canada is and forever will be an Arctic nation,” he said ahead of
Chinese entrepreneur Frank Gao used to spend long hours running his social media accounts but now outsources the chore to artificial intelligence (AI) agent tool OpenClaw, which is taking China by storm despite official warnings over cybersecurity. OpenClaw, created in November by an Austrian coder, differs from bots such as ChatGPT because it can execute real-life tasks such as sending e-mails, organizing files or even booking flight tickets. “Since January, I’ve spent hours on the lobster every day,” Gao said in an interview, referring to OpenClaw’s red crustacean mascot. “We’re family.” After downloading OpenClaw, users connect it to artificial intelligence models of their
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