Crude oil prices plunged this week as traders fretted that a global economic slowdown could dent energy demand, but gold hit a one-month high as many investors sought a safe haven for their cash.
Elsewhere, wheat came off last week’s two-year highs reached following news that major exporter Russia had banned grain exports after a record drought ravaged crops.
OIL: Prices dived under US$76 as the market was slammed by growing pessimism over the economic outlook despite upbeat growth data in Europe.
“The ghosts of a global economic slowdown are back and haunting the oil market again,” Barclays Capital analyst Amrita Sen said in a note.
Data showed on Friday that the German economy grew 2.2 percent in the second quarter, the biggest quarterly expansion since reunification in 1990. In addition, economic growth across Europe’s core euro currency zone hit 1 percent in the second quarter.
Meanwhile, OPEC revised upward its world oil demand growth estimate for this year to 1.2 percent.
OPEC warned, however, that slower economic growth in the second half of the year, caused by a phasing out of fiscal stimulus, would likely affect demand.
By late Friday on the New York Mercantile Exchange, Texas light sweet crude for delivery in September tumbled to US$75.58 a barrel from US$81.91 the previous week.
On London’s Intercontinental Exchange, Brent North Sea crude for September nose-dived to US$75.28 compared with US$81.30.
GRAINS AND SOYA: Wheat prices steadied after striking a two-year peak late last week when Russia decided to ban exports until the end of the year.
Wheat soared to US$8.68 a bushel on Aug. 6 for the December contract — the highest level since August 2008.
By Friday on the Chicago Board of Trade, wheat for delivery in December had eased to US$7.48 a bushel from US$7.55 the previous week.
Maize for December rose to US$4.28 a bushel from US$4.20.
November-dated soyabean meal — used in animal feed — increased to US$10.42 from US$10.33.
PRECIOUS METALS: Gold struck a one-month high at US$1,217.65 per ounce, garnering support from its safe-haven status.
By late Friday on the London Bullion Market, gold advanced to US$1,214.25 an ounce from US$1,207.75.
Silver eased to US$18.06 an ounce from US$18.30.
On the London Platinum and Palladium Market, platinum dipped to US$1,527 an ounce from US$1,571. Palladium decreased to US$473 an ounce from US$491.
AGING: As of last month, people aged 65 or older accounted for 20.06 percent of the total population and the number of couples who got married fell by 18,685 from 2024 Taiwan has surpassed South Korea as the country least willing to have children, with an annual crude birthrate of 4.62 per 1,000 people, Ministry of the Interior data showed yesterday. The nation was previously ranked the second-lowest country in terms of total fertility rate, or the average number of children a woman has in her lifetime. However, South Korea’s fertility rate began to recover from 2023, with total fertility rate rising from 0.72 and estimated to reach 0.82 to 0.85 by last year, and the crude birthrate projected at 6.7 per 1,000 people. Japan’s crude birthrate was projected to fall below six,
Conflict with Taiwan could leave China with “massive economic disruption, catastrophic military losses, significant social unrest, and devastating sanctions,” a US think tank said in a report released on Monday. The German Marshall Fund released a report titled If China Attacks Taiwan: The Consequences for China of “Minor Conflict” and “Major War” Scenarios. The report details the “massive” economic, military, social and international costs to China in the event of a minor conflict or major war with Taiwan, estimating that the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) could sustain losses of more than half of its active-duty ground forces, including 100,000 troops. Understanding Chinese
US President Donald Trump in an interview with the New York Times published on Thursday said that “it’s up to” Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) what China does on Taiwan, but that he would be “very unhappy” with a change in the “status quo.” “He [Xi] considers it to be a part of China, and that’s up to him what he’s going to be doing, but I’ve expressed to him that I would be very unhappy if he did that, and I don’t think he’ll do that. I hope he doesn’t do that,” Trump said. Trump made the comments in the context
SELF-DEFENSE: Tokyo has accelerated its spending goal and its defense minister said the nation needs to discuss whether it should develop nuclear-powered submarines China is ramping up objections to what it sees as Japan’s desire to acquire nuclear weapons, despite Tokyo’s longstanding renunciation of such arms, deepening another fissure in the two neighbors’ increasingly tense ties. In what appears to be a concerted effort, China’s foreign and defense ministries issued statements on Thursday condemning alleged remilitarism efforts by Tokyo. The remarks came as two of the country’s top think tanks jointly issued a 29-page report framing actions by “right-wing forces” in Japan as posing a “serious threat” to world peace. While that report did not define “right-wing forces,” the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs was