A key jobs report will be at the center of market action in the coming week as Wall Street stocks posted their fourth straight weekly gain in the penultimate trading week of the month.
Concerns over the Greek fiscal crisis kept the market gripped the past week when European leaders set aside weeks of bickering and agreed on a joint plan with the IMF to tackle the country's mountain of debt.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average added 1 percent over the week to finish Friday at 10,850.36, its highest weekly finish in 18 months.
The broader S&P 500 index was up 0.6 percent to 1,166.59, while the tech-rich NASDAQ composite gained 0.9 percent to 2,395.13, its highest weekly close in 19 months.
Among the US economic indicators expected the coming week is the nonfarm payroll employment report on Friday, which many analysts expect to be positive even as unemployment remained a key impediment to economic recovery.
Most analysts forecast the nonfarm payroll to add 200,000 jobs this month — compared with 36,000 job losses last month — partly due to temporary hiring for the US Census Bureau to conduct a massive census exercise.
Despite the expected job additions, analysts expect the unemployment rate to remain at 9.7 percent this month.
"After a downturn of breathtaking severity, the labor market is on the verge of growth once again," said Aaron Smith, a senior economist for Moody's Economy.com., in anticipation of the Census hirings.
"The employment report ... should be positive" for the market, Wells Fargo Advisors chief market strategist Al Goldman said.
Goldman said the Dow index could find support at 10,800 to 10,700 and the S&P 500 at 1,160 to 1,150 levels.
"The good news remains a recovering economy, low interest rates and little inflation," he said.
However, some analysts believe the market may face some consolidation after massive gains.
"The market has enjoyed a nice 10 percent rally coming off the February lows and appears ripe for some modest profit taking," said Frederic Dickson, chief market strategist at D.A. Davidson & Co.
"We do not see a near-term pullback extending much more than two to three percent as investors with cash appear anxious to pounce on even small rallies," he said.
Analysts at IHS Global Insight said aside from improving job numbers, consumer confidence, a key barometer for the economy, also showed improvement prospects.
"Preliminary signs of an upturn in labor markets, along with further gains in stock prices, will be the main drivers of an expected strong bounce back from what looks like a rogue downshift in February," IHS economists Brian Bethune and Nigel Gault said in a report.
"Consumers are also reporting some improvement in personal finances. Reports of rising light vehicle sales in March are another indication that the consumer markets recovery is gaining momentum," they said.
WAITING GAME: The US has so far only offered a ‘best rate tariff,’ which officials assume is about 15 percent, the same as Japan, a person familiar with the matter said Taiwan and the US have completed “technical consultations” regarding tariffs and a finalized rate is expected to be released soon, Executive Yuan spokeswoman Michelle Lee (李慧芝) told a news conference yesterday, as a 90-day pause on US President Donald Trump’s “reciprocal” tariffs is set to expire today. The two countries have reached a “certain degree of consensus” on issues such as tariffs, nontariff trade barriers, trade facilitation, supply chain resilience and economic security, Lee said. They also discussed opportunities for cooperation, investment and procurement, she said. A joint statement is still being negotiated and would be released once the US government has made
NEW GEAR: On top of the new Tien Kung IV air defense missiles, the military is expected to place orders for a new combat vehicle next year for delivery in 2028 Mass production of Tien Kung IV (Sky Bow IV) missiles is expected to start next year, with plans to order 122 pods, the Ministry of National Defense’s (MND) latest list of regulated military material showed. The document said that the armed forces would obtain 46 pods of the air defense missiles next year and 76 pods the year after that. The Tien Kung IV is designed to intercept cruise missiles and ballistic missiles to an altitude of 70km, compared with the 60km maximum altitude achieved by the Missile Segment Enhancement variant of PAC-3 systems. A defense source said yesterday that the number of
Taiwanese exports to the US are to be subject to a 20 percent tariff starting on Thursday next week, according to an executive order signed by US President Donald Trump yesterday. The 20 percent levy was the same as the tariffs imposed on Vietnam, Sri Lanka and Bangladesh by Trump. It was higher than the tariffs imposed on Japan, South Korea and the EU (15 percent), as well as those on the Philippines (19 percent). A Taiwan official with knowledge of the matter said it is a "phased" tariff rate, and negotiations would continue. "Once negotiations conclude, Taiwan will obtain a better
FLOOD RECOVERY: “Post-Typhoon Danas reconstruction special act” is expected to be approved on Thursday, the premier said, adding the flood control in affected areas would be prioritized About 200cm of rainfall fell in parts of southern Taiwan from Monday last week to 9am yesterday, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said. Kaohsiung’s Taoyuan District (桃源) saw total rainfall of 2,205mm, while Pingtung County’s Sandimen Township (三地門) had 2,060.5mm and Tainan’s Nanhua District (南化) 1,833mm, according to CWA data. Meanwhile, Alishan (阿里山) in Chiayi County saw 1,688mm of accumulated rain and Yunlin County’s Caoling (草嶺) had 1,025mm. The Pingtung County Government said that 831 local residents have been pre-emptively evacuated from mountainous areas. A total of 576 are staying with relatives in low-lying areas, while the other 255 are in shelters. CWA forecaster