Ukraine and Russia on Sunday stood on the verge of resolving their latest battle over gas supplies in time to keep Ukraine and EU clients warm through the winter months.
Ukrainian President Petro Poroshenko said he and Russian President Vladimir Putin had reached a price deal at high-stakes talks in Milan, Italy, on Friday that otherwise focused on the six-month pro-Kremlin revolt convulsing the ex-Soviet state’s separatist east.
Two meetings mediated by German Chancellor Angela Merkel and French President Francois Hollande — as well as a brief exchange on their own — marked the two leaders’ most in-depth dialogue since Poroshenko’s May election win.
The tense day broke up without Putin meeting EU hopes that he would denounce the separatist leadership election that pro-Russian militants intend to stage on Nov. 2, a week after parliamentary polls in Ukraine.
However, Poroshenko said the meetings produced the broad outlines of a deal that could see Russia halt the gas supply cutoff it began in June — the third time it has done so in less than 10 years.
Kiev had branded the cut a form of “economic aggression” aimed at punishing the new pro-Western leaders for their February ouster of a Kremlin-backed president and a decision to sign a landmark EU trade and political association pact.
Poroshenko told the nation late on Saturday that he had made sure in Milan that their homes would stay warm through the bitter winter season — a crucial promise to make ahead of Sunday’s crunch general election.
“Ukraine will have gas. Ukraine will have heat,” Poroshenko said in a prerecorded television interview.
He said a more detailed protocol agreement due to be completed by today will see Ukraine meet Russia’s demand and pay US$385 per 1,000 cubic meters of gas for deliveries guaranteed through the end of March.
Poroshenko said he and the two European leaders had pressed Russia to lower that rate to US$325 per 1,000 cubic meters for summer months when energy demand drops.
“The Russian side insists on [US]$385 for the whole year,” Poroshenko said.
The head spokesman for Russia’s state-held gas giant Gazprom confirmed that the two sides had found an interim price solution.
However, he added that Ukraine still disputed the amount of money it owed Moscow for unpaid deliveries and that no formal agreement had yet been reached.
A new deal’s signing “depends on other factors — including the payment of debts,” spokesman Sergei Kuprianov told reporters. “These will be discussed in Brussels on Tuesday [today].”
Ukrainian Prime Minister Arseniy Yatsenyuk was also cautious, saying it was “premature” to speak about an accord.
“These were just discussions. I have no reason to trust Putin,” he told television channel ICTV.
Russian Energy Minister Alexander Novak said last week one compromise could see Moscow lower the amount of debt repayments it expected to see this year from US$3.1 billion to US$1.45 billion.
The new price is 20 percent lower than the figure Moscow began charging Ukraine after it canceled a special rebate it offered former Ukrainian president Viktor Yanukovych for his decision last year to reject the fateful EU pact.
Ukraine paid Russia an average price last year of US$413.5 per 1,000 cubic meters after agreeing to tough terms under the pressure of a previous Gazprom supply cut in 2009.
Economists said the rate was the highest in Europe and largely responsible for the budget shortfalls that had forced Kiev to rely on Western financial assistance.
The discount for Yanukovych was meant to bring the rate closer in line with the one paid by Gazprom’s main EU clients.
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