German Chancellor Angela Merkel looks all but certain to sail to a second term in Sunday’s general election but suspense is growing as to whether she can link up with her preferred partners.
Merkel, the first woman to lead Europe’s biggest nation and its most powerful economy, has won praise at home and abroad over the last four years for steady leadership, particularly through Germany’s worst postwar recession.
And as Europe prepares to mark the 20th anniversary of the Berlin Wall’s fall in November, Merkel’s rise as the first German leader from the former communist east reflects a growing degree of unity in the long-divided country.
Merkel’s conservative Christian Union bloc (CDU/CSU) enjoys a sizeable albeit shrinking lead in the polls and her victory on election night looks virtually assured.
But the real question will be whether she can form a center-right coalition with the pro-business Free Democrats (FDP), or whether she will be forced into another unwieldy “grand coalition” with her chief rivals, the Social Democrats (SPD).
“The grand coalition has done good work but now it is time, in the worst crisis of the last 60 years, to use everything at our disposal to assure fresh economic growth,” she told yesterday’s issue of the daily Frankfurter Rundschau, explaining her preference for the FDP.
A poll released on Wednesday showed the CDU/CSU at about 35 percent, with the FDP at about 13 percent.
That means Merkel will be on tenterhooks to see whether the conservatives’ score can, under Germany’s complex electoral arithmetic, give her a ruling majority in parliament.
If not, the most likely alternative is another left-right coalition with the SPD, Germany’s oldest political outfit and one of two “people’s parties” that has led coalitions in the postwar era.
But the SPD, with Merkel’s foreign minister and vice-chancellor Frank-Walter Steinmeier as its candidate, has been embroiled in a bitter internal struggle between centrist reformers and leftists and is scoring a meager 27 percent.
They have next to no chance of forming a coalition with their favored partners, the Greens, who are drawing 11 percent.
But with more than one-quarter of the 62-million-strong electorate reportedly still undecided, there is still plenty of room for surprises.
“The number [of undecided voters] has been growing from election to election, in every social category, but it has never been this high so close to the election,” said political scientist Richard Stoess at Berlin’s Free University, citing the blurring differences between the top parties.
Steinmeier sees that factor as his chance on Sunday.
“Without a strong SPD in Angela Merkel’s government, things would have been very different,” he told a recent rally in the southwestern city of Stuttgart. “Tell that to your friends who are undecided!”
Merkel has moved her conservative party steadily to the left in her first term in power but the next kingmaker will have a significant say in which tack the government takes.
The FDP would pressure her to push through deep tax cuts to kickstart the still sluggish economy, sign off on her plans to extend the life of the country’s 17 nuclear reactors and likely resist efforts by Merkel, a former environment minister, to slash greenhouse gas emissions.
There are indications that Merkel would find distinct advantages in another grand coalition.
She has gone out of her way in recent weeks to praise SPD Finance Minister Peer Steinbrueck, with whom she was jetting off to the G20 summit in Pittsburgh yesterday, over his handling of the economic crisis.
Another grand coalition would see clashes over nuclear power, with the SPD demanding the country continue on a course to mothball the reactors by 2020, as well as its calls for a national minimum wage, which the conservatives oppose.
But the parties largely agree on climate protection and both Merkel and Steinmeier have issued ringing calls for Germany to stay the course in war-ravaged Afghanistan, where the country has the third biggest foreign contingent with some 4,200 troops.
In the sweltering streets of Jakarta, buskers carry towering, hollow puppets and pass around a bucket for donations. Now, they fear becoming outlaws. City authorities said they would crack down on use of the sacred ondel-ondel puppets, which can stand as tall as a truck, and they are drafting legislation to remove what they view as a street nuisance. Performances featuring the puppets — originally used by Jakarta’s Betawi people to ward off evil spirits — would be allowed only at set events. The ban could leave many ondel-ondel buskers in Jakarta jobless. “I am confused and anxious. I fear getting raided or even
Kemal Ozdemir looked up at the bare peaks of Mount Cilo in Turkey’s Kurdish majority southeast. “There were glaciers 10 years ago,” he recalled under a cloudless sky. A mountain guide for 15 years, Ozdemir then turned toward the torrent carrying dozens of blocks of ice below a slope covered with grass and rocks — a sign of glacier loss being exacerbated by global warming. “You can see that there are quite a few pieces of glacier in the water right now ... the reason why the waterfalls flow lushly actually shows us how fast the ice is melting,” he said.
RISING RACISM: A Japanese group called on China to assure safety in the country, while the Chinese embassy in Tokyo urged action against a ‘surge in xenophobia’ A Japanese woman living in China was attacked and injured by a man in a subway station in Suzhou, China, Japanese media said, hours after two Chinese men were seriously injured in violence in Tokyo. The attacks on Thursday raised concern about xenophobic sentiment in China and Japan that have been blamed for assaults in both countries. It was the third attack involving Japanese living in China since last year. In the two previous cases in China, Chinese authorities have insisted they were isolated incidents. Japanese broadcaster NHK did not identify the woman injured in Suzhou by name, but, citing the Japanese
RESTRUCTURE: Myanmar’s military has ended emergency rule and announced plans for elections in December, but critics said the move aims to entrench junta control Myanmar’s military government announced on Thursday that it was ending the state of emergency declared after it seized power in 2021 and would restructure administrative bodies to prepare for the new election at the end of the year. However, the polls planned for an unspecified date in December face serious obstacles, including a civil war raging over most of the country and pledges by opponents of the military rule to derail the election because they believe it can be neither free nor fair. Under the restructuring, Myanmar’s junta chief Min Aung Hlaing is giving up two posts, but would stay at the
RSS