The financial crisis will have a significant influence on US President Barack Obama’s position on both China and Taiwan, and it will take months before the state of Taiwan-US relations under the new administration becomes clear, academics said yesterday.
At a forum in Taipei, Edward Chen (陳一新), professor at Tamkang University’s Institute of American Studies, said US sales of high-tech weapons to Taiwan might be shelved to appease China, which, as an economic heavyweight, could play a key role in reversing the global downturn.
Taiwan’s national security authorities should brace for tough challenges ahead in seeking to buy US arms and will need to pursue creative strategies that appeal to both the US and China in terms of military collaboration, Chen told the forum sponsored by the Taiwan Thinktank.
PHOTO: CNA
Beijing has long protested US arms sales to Taiwan. At a presentation of its 2008 national defense policy paper, the Chinese Defense Ministry said on Tuesday that “China is resolutely against the US sales of weapons to Taiwan.”
The Obama administration has not announced a new director for the American Institute in Taiwan or a new ambassador to China, but Richard Bush, who served as AIT Washington chairman under the administration of president Bill Clinton, has reportedly been tapped to take over the Taipei office later this year.
The academics at yesterday’s forum agreed that a paradigm shift was likely in US foreign policy, from pre-emptive action on crises under the administration of former president George W. Bush to strategies that seek to prevent problems from arising. However, US strategy in the Asia-Pacific region should go largely unchanged, they said.
“Washington will continue to keep a strong military presence and strive to fortify its relations with the countries in the region. One of the issues the US is very concerned about is the real motive and ultimate goal behind China’s rapid military build-up in recent years,” said Chen Wen-hsien (陳文賢), a National Chengchi University history professor.
He said Obama’s team was keenly aware of the delicate situation between China, Taiwan and the US and understood that any changes to relations must be predicated on the “one China” policy, the three Sino-US communiques and the Taiwan Relations Act.
Taiwan’s democracy is the key buttress in Taiwan-US ties, he said, because it is the biggest marker that sets Taiwan apart from China.
Obama appears more willing to listen to differing opinions on a given issue than the previous administration, he said, adding that the new president’s policies were difficult to predict at this point.
“We don’t know what kind of policy he will pursue in terms of ties with China: whether it will be a policy of engagement, containment or hedging,” said Loh Chih-cheng (羅致政), a professor of political science at Soochow University.
STAY AWAY: An official said people should avoid disturbing snakes, as most do not actively attack humans, but would react defensively if threatened Taitung County authorities yesterday urged the public to stay vigilant and avoid disturbing snakes in the wild, following five reported snakebite cases in the county so far this year. Taitung County Fire Department secretary Lin Chien-cheng (林建誠) said two of the cases were in Donghe Township (東河) and involved the Taiwan habus, one person was bit by a Chinese pit viper near the South Link Railway and the remaining two were caused by unidentified snakes. He advised residents near fields to be cautious of snakes hiding in shady indoor areas, especially when entering or leaving their homes at night. In case of a
A tropical disturbance off the southeastern coast of the Philippines might become the first typhoon of the western Pacific typhoon season, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said. The system lacks a visible center and how it would develop is only likely to become clear on Sunday or Monday, the CWA said, adding that it was not yet possible to forecast the potential typhoon's effect on Taiwan. The American Meteorological Society defines a tropical disturbance as a system made up of showers and thunderstorms that lasts for at least 24 hours and does not have closed wind circulation.
ENERGY RESILIENCE: Although Alaska is open for investments, Taiwan is sourcing its gas from the Middle East, and the sea routes carry risks, Ho Cheng-hui said US government officials’ high-profile reception of a Taiwanese representative at the Alaska Sustainable Energy Conference indicated the emergence of an Indo-Pacific energy resilience alliance, an academic said. Presidential Office Secretary-General Pan Men-an (潘孟安) attended the conference in Alaska on Thursday last week at the invitation of the US government. Pan visited oil and gas facilities with senior US officials, including US Secretary of the Interior Doug Burgum, US Secretary of Energy Chris Wright, Alaska Governor Mike Dunleavy and US Senator Daniel Sullivan. Pan attending the conference on behalf of President William Lai (賴清德) shows a significant elevation in diplomatic representation,
Credit departments of farmers’ and fishers’ associations blocked a total of more than NT$180 million (US$6.01 million) from being lost to scams last year, National Police Agency (NPA) data showed. The Agricultural Finance Agency (AFA) said last week that staff of farmers’ and fishers’ associations’ credit departments are required to implement fraud prevention measures when they serve clients at the counter. They would ask clients about personal financial management activities whenever they suspect there might be a fraud situation, and would immediately report the incident to local authorities, which would send police officers to the site to help, it said. NPA data showed