The news from China these days is mostly depressing, owing to the government’s escalating crackdown on its critics.
However, what few observers — particularly economic analysts — seem to understand is that the Chinese leadership’s fight against liberalism and “Western values” is directly undermining its efforts to root out official corruption, promote innovation and entrepreneurship, and deepen engagement with the outside world. The regime’s retrograde politics will have serious consequences for China’s continued economic development.
For starters, the government has intensified its censorship of the Internet, rendering popular portals and sites — including Google, Facebook and the New York Times’ Web site — all but inaccessible. Moreover, prominent human-rights lawyers have been jailed; the well-known free-speech advocate Pu Zhiqiang (蒲志強), for one, has already been held for more than six months, while prosecutors attempt to build a case against him.
Meanwhile, senior Chinese officials have taken to enforcing political discipline within the Chinese Communist Party (CCP).
In June last year, Zhang Yingwei (張英偉), head of the party’s discipline inspection office at the Chinese Academy of Social Sciences (CASS), said that the institution — China’s most prestigious government-run think tank — had been “infiltrated by foreign forces” and “was conducting illegal collusion at politically sensitive times.”
Zhao Shengxuan (趙勝軒), CASS vice president and deputy party boss, responded by pledging that the academy would “treat political discipline as a criterion of the utmost importance in the assessment of academics.”
Soon after, CASS president Wang Weiguang (王偉光) thundered in an essay that class struggle would never be extinguished in China.
Chinese academia more broadly has been the regime’s chief target in its search for enemies, with universities dismissing professors for espousing “seditious” ideas like constitutionalism. In a particularly egregious case, an official newspaper in Liaoning province dispatched reporters disguised as students to college classrooms to catch professors criticizing the regime.
A recent pronouncement by Chinese Minister of Education Yuan Guiren (袁貴仁) threatens to do damage on a far larger scale. Yuan has vowed never to allow textbooks “promoting Western values” — especially those who “attack or defame the leadership of the Party or smear socialism” — into Chinese classrooms.
Given Yuan’s position, this pledge could effectively amount to official policy. One hopes, for China’s sake, that it does not.
The recent onslaught against free speech and Western values reflects the central political challenge facing Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平), who must transform a one-party system enfeebled by greed and mistrust into a well-ordered, ideologically united regime capable of carrying out market-based reforms and sustaining its own long-term survival. A crackdown on liberalism, he seems to believe, will work alongside his anti-corruption campaign to advance this goal.
This vision is as intellectually flawed as it is impractical. However hard one tries, it is virtually impossible to root out corruption in a one-party system without press freedom, a robust civil society or the rule of law. Yet these are precisely the “Western values” that CCP apparatchiks are attempting to eliminate.
China will pay dearly for this mistake. Consider the impact of Yuan’s textbook campaign on China’s 28 million college undergraduates, who would be left with substandard course materials. How could these students be expected to compete in the global economy, when their education has been compromised?
The current trend implies deteriorating conditions for their teachers as well, particularly in the social sciences and humanities, as academics face tighter restrictions on academic exchanges with the West. With fewer opportunities to attend conferences abroad, publish papers in Western academic journals or spend time teaching or conducting research outside of China, their professional development and careers could be severely impaired.
As a result, the government’s suppression of “Western values” — not to mention its relentless war on the Internet — is likely to spur an exodus of the country’s best and brightest. In 2013, an unprecedented 413,900 Chinese studied abroad — and the figure is expected to be even higher for last year. Of those, 90 percent chose to study in Western countries (plus Japan).
To be sure, only a small fraction of college-age Chinese students attend universities overseas. Indeed, the number of students who went abroad in 2013 was equivalent to only 6 percent of the students admitted to Chinese universities.
However, China’s ruling elite, far from writing off this group as the price of its long-term survival, is leading the rush to the exits — largely sending its children to the Ivy League and Oxbridge. One wonders whether CCP leaders worry that their offspring will be brainwashed by Western values; they evidently already are reluctant to send their children to local universities. And, if Yuan has his way, China’s universities would increasingly look like their North Korean counterparts, rather than world-class Western institutions.
That would have far-reaching — and devastating — consequences. The tens of millions of students who remain in China would not gain the knowledge and skills needed to maintain, much less improve, the economy’s global competitiveness. Indeed, given that innovation is critical to China’s continued economic development — a point that Xi has repeatedly emphasized — a war against Western influence in Chinese education is downright irrational.
Unless the government’s crackdown ends soon, Xi’s “Chinese dream” of national greatness and prosperity will turn into a nightmare of accelerating decline and increasing backwardness. One way or the other, the war on Western values is a war that China can only lose.
Minxin Pei is a professor of government at Claremont McKenna College and a non-resident senior fellow at the German Marshall Fund of the US.
Copyright: Project Syndicate
In the US’ National Security Strategy (NSS) report released last month, US President Donald Trump offered his interpretation of the Monroe Doctrine. The “Trump Corollary,” presented on page 15, is a distinctly aggressive rebranding of the more than 200-year-old foreign policy position. Beyond reasserting the sovereignty of the western hemisphere against foreign intervention, the document centers on energy and strategic assets, and attempts to redraw the map of the geopolitical landscape more broadly. It is clear that Trump no longer sees the western hemisphere as a peaceful backyard, but rather as the frontier of a new Cold War. In particular,
When it became clear that the world was entering a new era with a radical change in the US’ global stance in US President Donald Trump’s second term, many in Taiwan were concerned about what this meant for the nation’s defense against China. Instability and disruption are dangerous. Chaos introduces unknowns. There was a sense that the Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) might have a point with its tendency not to trust the US. The world order is certainly changing, but concerns about the implications for Taiwan of this disruption left many blind to how the same forces might also weaken
As the Chinese People’s Liberation Army (PLA) races toward its 2027 modernization goals, most analysts fixate on ship counts, missile ranges and artificial intelligence. Those metrics matter — but they obscure a deeper vulnerability. The true future of the PLA, and by extension Taiwan’s security, might hinge less on hardware than on whether the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) can preserve ideological loyalty inside its own armed forces. Iran’s 1979 revolution demonstrated how even a technologically advanced military can collapse when the social environment surrounding it shifts. That lesson has renewed relevance as fresh unrest shakes Iran today — and it should
As the new year dawns, Taiwan faces a range of external uncertainties that could impact the safety and prosperity of its people and reverberate in its politics. Here are a few key questions that could spill over into Taiwan in the year ahead. WILL THE AI BUBBLE POP? The global AI boom supported Taiwan’s significant economic expansion in 2025. Taiwan’s economy grew over 7 percent and set records for exports, imports, and trade surplus. There is a brewing debate among investors about whether the AI boom will carry forward into 2026. Skeptics warn that AI-led global equity markets are overvalued and overleveraged