This is the season for Asian gatherings. The ASEAN summit in Thailand late last month brought all the key players of Asia together. Later this month, almost all of them will meet again in Singapore at the APEC summit, which will include other Pacific leaders, plus US President Barack Obama.
Summits are a circus with many rings and acronyms. At the ASEAN summit, the 10 Southeast Asian leaders met counterparts from China, Japan and South Korea. These 13 countries then met again with India, Australia and New Zealand.
Some 42 agreements were reportedly penned at the meeting, on issues ranging from outstanding trade and economic matters to the launch of a human rights commission. Not bad for a summit that some feared would not happen at all: An earlier meeting planned for April in Bangkok was disrupted by protesters — “red shirts” who support ousted Thai prime minister Thaksin Shinawatra.
As for Obama, he will first visit Japan, and, while at APEC, will attend the first US-ASEAN Summit. Afterwards, he will go to China and South Korea. What additional dimension might the US president bring on his first visit to the region?
Obama is still fighting back home for his healthcare initiative and is hamstrung from acting on climate change in time for the Copenhagen summit, which is to agree on a successor treaty to the Kyoto Protocol. So there is a risk that he will come to Asia for just a star turn and photo opportunities while reserving his strength for other battles. But more is needed and should be expected of him.
Starting with Japan, Obama needs to ensure a good working relationship with Yukio Hatoyama, the new prime minister. Japan has voiced support for an East Asian community that includes India, Australia and New Zealand, while the Chinese and others question widening the circle. The US should welcome the Japanese initiative and engage with Asia as a whole. Keeping Japan close is a starting point.
Moving onto ASEAN, much attention will be on how Obama interacts with Myanmar’s leader, who will also be present. Obama should stand for democracy and help push for a clean vote in the elections that the junta has promised for next year.
But there are other, broader opportunities. ASEAN has been the hub for Asian regionalism, but some in Australia have proposed focusing only on the larger countries. Southeast Asians have a renewed openness toward US leadership, and meaningful initiatives can be started that would resonate with regional aspirations.
One such initiative is for freer trade. While the US has stood on the sidelines, intra-Asian agreements have run ahead. US Senator Richard Lugar has floated the idea of a free-trade agreement between the US and ASEAN. But, with Myanmar included, this may be too difficult politically and an ASEAN sub-grouping may be more realistic.
Another option is for the US to press for a Trans-Pacific Partnership. This was proposed late in the administration of US president George W. Bush to forge links with some ASEAN members — Singapore, Vietnam and Brunei — as well as others across the Pacific. This could be built up to include other open Southeast Asian economies — Malaysia and Thailand — with the eventual aim being an APEC-wide agreement, which would be an impressive achievement if realized by the end of 2011, when it will be Obama’s turn to play host to all the leaders.
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