Moody’s Investor Service on Tuesday maintained its negative outlook on the nation’s life insurance sector over the next 12 to 18 months, due to lingering challenges of an unfavorable product mix and rising investment risks.
The weakness in product mix among local life insurers, with most still carrying significant legacy policies with high guarantee rates, leads to high average cost of liabilities, the report said.
Supported by a high household savings rate, savings products, which are highly spread-dependent, have remained the main source of premium growth for life insurers, it said.
As a result of the accumulation of spread-dependent products, life insurers have been steering asset allocations to overseas investments, leading to increased exposure to currency, liquidity and reinvestment risks, the report said.
At the same time, most of the yield enhancement from life insurers’ aggressive investment allocations are passed on to policyholders to meet promised return performance, resulting in weaker internal capital generation and margin of safety to withstand market volatility.
As of the end of July, overseas investment accounted for 64 percent of insurers’ invested assets, up from 43 percent at the end of 2013, the report said.
In particular, investments in international bonds have increased markedly since the asset class was exempted from life insurers’ cap on overseas investments in 2014.
Moody’s said that international bonds are a source of currency mismatch risk for the insurers, and the bonds often carry callable options, which adds to reinvestment risks.
“Taiwan life insurers normally do not fully hedge their foreign-currency exposure and instead maintain 20 to 30 percent of total overseas exposure open to reduce overall hedging costs. This unhedged currency risk will grow as companies’ overseas investment portfolios expand,” the report said.
The report said that life insurers have made some progress toward improving their product mix, such as reducing their negative-load burdens and promoting product with longer premium terms and with guarantee rates below 2.5 percent, as well as selling more US dollar-denominated policies and investment-linked policies to mitigate rising asset risks.
However, local firms have been slow in developing products with protection elements, such as health, accident and death insurance, with premium contribution from these products seeing a subdued 2 percent average growth rate between 2012 and last year.
Meanwhile, life insurers saw their combined pretax profits in the first nine months of the year gain 10 percent annually to NT$99.9 billion (US$3.3 billion), helped by gains from stock dividends and higher asset prices, Financial Supervisory Commission data showed.
Life insurers’ foreign-exchange volatility reserves stood at NT$27.9 billion at the end of last month, up from NT$16.9 billion at the end of May, the data showed.
Life insurers’ foreign-exchange related losses in the first nine months were NT$511.1 billion, NT$11 billion higher than the first eight months of the year, of which NT$362.5 billion was offset by hedging, while life insurers produced a NT$16.1 billion write-back to their foreign-exchange volatility reserves.
The commission said that the industry’s foreign-exchange volatility reserves have returned to healthy levels and none of the nation’s life insurers have exhausted their reserves and are not to be barred from using the buffer.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
The Financial Supervisory Commission (FSC) yesterday met with some of the nation’s largest insurance companies as a skyrocketing New Taiwan dollar piles pressure on their hundreds of billions of dollars in US bond investments. The commission has asked some life insurance firms, among the biggest Asian holders of US debt, to discuss how the rapidly strengthening NT dollar has impacted their operations, people familiar with the matter said. The meeting took place as the NT dollar jumped as much as 5 percent yesterday, its biggest intraday gain in more than three decades. The local currency surged as exporters rushed to