Tue, Feb 03, 2015 - Page 13 News List

PMI accelerates, new measure debuts

RECOVERY:Manufacturers have regained optimism about their business prospects as demand recovers, the Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research president said

By Crystal Hsu  /  Staff reporter

The official purchasing managers’ index (PMI) rose to 53.5 last month while a new non-manufacturing index (NMI) printed 53.9, as firms in most sectors saw business improvement from the previous month, the Chung-Hua Institution for Economic Research (CIER, 中華經濟研究院) said yesterday.

The reading represented an increase from a marginal 50.1 in December last year, as local manufacturers gained new orders and are more upbeat about their business outlook, the CIER report found.

Manufacturing sectors underpinned the economy last quarter, raising GDP growth by 2.12 percentage points, or 66.88 percent of the 3.17 percent increase, the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics (DGBAS) said last week.

That means non-manufacturing sectors contributed the remaining 33.12 percent, the DGBAS said.

“Taiwanese manufacturers are no longer pessimistic about their business prospects,” CIER president Wu Chung-shu (吳中書) told a news conference, with the business outlook subindex rising the fastest — to 58.5 last month, from 49.8 in December.

PMI surveys aim to gauge the health of the manufacturing industry. Values above 50 indicate business expansion and scores below the threshold suggest contraction.

NEW ORDERS

Taiwan, home to the world’s top contract chipmakers, chip designers and laptop and smartphone vendors, resumed the course of stable recovery last month, as global technology giants are soon launching new devices, Wu said.

The new orders subindex bounced to 56.5 last month — the highest in 10 months — from 50.2 in December, reflecting greater demand from clients at home and abroad, the report said.

The Lunar New Year holiday might boost demand for electronic devices as regional companies tend to distribute year-end bonuses, while the upcoming Apple Watch from Apple Inc is also likely to stimulate sales, analysts have said.

The production subindex accelerated from 50.3 in December to 58.5 last month, while the reading on inventories increased from 49.6 to 51.8 in the same time period, the report said.

However, employment slowed from 52.2 in December to 49.9 last month, as some manufacturers in traditional industries conducted annual maintenance, Supply Management Institute Taiwan (中華採購與供應管理協會) executive director Steve Lai (賴樹鑫) said.

HSBC PLC reached similar findings, with its HSBC Taiwan PMI posting 51.7 last month, up from 50 in December.

“Growth of new work contributed to an increased amount of purchasing activity” and growth momentum might sustain given the sharp reduction in inventories and rise in backlogs of work, HSBC Hong Kong-based economist John Zhu (朱日平) said in a statement.

NON-MANUFACTURING

Meanwhile, the institute disclosed for the first time its survey of non-manufacturing sectors, which draws its funding from the National Development Council, as does the PMI.

The NMI reading showed that companies focused on domestic demand are less prone to volatility, given that the NMI score of 53.9 is virtually flat from one month earlier at 53.6, the report indicated.

Hotels and restaurants, which saw business decline in last month, might report a pickup over the Lunar New Year holiday, CIER researcher Chen Shin-hui (陳馨蕙) said.

The business outlook for builders and developers remains bleak, with a value of 38.3 last month, worse than 40 in December, the NMI report said, as unfavorable tax plans continue to weigh.

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