Sun, Jun 08, 2014 page13

• US regains pre-recession job numbers

  NUMBERS GAME: The addition of 217,000 nonfarm jobs established equity with the nation’s payrolls before the 2008 financial crash, but the workforce has added millions

  • Reuters, WASHINGTON
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  US employment returned to its pre-recession peak last month with a solid pace of hiring that offered confirmation the economy has snapped back from a winter slump.

  Nonfarm payrolls increased 217,000 last month, the US Department of Labor said on Friday, in line with market expectations. Data for March and April were revised to show 6,000 fewer jobs created than previously reported.

  “This was a very solid report with no obvious warts to detract from the underlying message of sustained improvement in economic activity,” said Millan Mulraine, deputy chief economist at TD Securities in New York.

  May marked a fourth straight month of job gains above 200,000, a stretch last witnessed in January 2000, even though it also was a slowdown from the 282,000 jobs created in April, when hiring was still bouncing back from a winter lull.

  The nation has recouped the 8.7 million jobs lost during the recession, with 8.8 million more people working now than at the trough in February 2010. However, the working age population has since increased by 10.6 million people, while 12.8 million have dropped out of the labor force.

  The pace of hiring adds to data from automobile sales, services and factory sector activity that have suggested the US economy will grow at a pace of more than 3 percent this quarter after shrinking at a 1 percent rate in the first three months of the year.

  Other data on Friday showed that consumer credit in April recorded its largest advance since November 2001, a sign interpreted as showing that households were feeling more secure in taking on debt.

  Last month, the unemployment rate held steady at a five-and-a-half-year low of 6.3 percent, as some unemployed US workers who had given up the search for jobs resumed the hunt.

  A measure of underemployment fell to its lowest level since October 2008. The gauge — which includes people who want a job, but have given up searching, and those working part-time because they cannot find full-time jobs — fell to 12.2 percent.

  Economists expect more previously discouraged workers to re-enter the labor force over the year. While that would show confidence in the labor market, it could slow the decline in the jobless rate.

  The long-term unemployed accounted for 34.6 percent of the 9.8 million jobless people in the US last month, down from 35.3 percent in April.

  The median duration of unemployment fell to 14.6 weeks, the shortest stretch in five years and a sharp drop from April.

  “We are making progress, but we still have a very long way to go,” said Ryan Sweet, a senior economist at Goody’s Analytics in West Chester, Pennsylvania.

  The return of discouraged jobseekers and drop in long-term unemployment is likely to be welcomed by the US Federal Reserve, which has cited low workforce participation as one of the reasons for maintaining an extraordinarily easy monetary policy.

  The workforce, which had declined sharply in April, increased by 192,000 people last month. That left the labor force participation rate, or the share of working-age US residents who are employed or at least looking for a job, at 62.8 percent.

  Average hourly earnings — watched for signs of wage pressures that could signal dwindling slack in the labor market — rose US$0.05, or 0.2 percent. On a yearly basis, earnings were up 2.1 percent, suggesting little buildup in wage inflation.

  However, earnings in sectors such as mining and information services are rising at a faster clip.

  “It’s a difficult time for Fed policymakers,” said Peter Molloy, president at Edison Investment Research in New York. He said the central bank normally would be raising interest rates by now — given the level of the jobless rate — but wanted to go slowly because the recovery has been weak by historic norms.
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