Surely, the current boom cycle cannot last forever, but I don’t spot the need for a big correction in another 20 or 30 years when the low birth-rate may start to impact on the market.
TT: What are Chang Hong Construction Co’s (長虹建設) development plans for this year?
Lee: Since its creation in 1973, Chang Hong has focused its business in Greater Taipei, where most people live and work, and it has no intention of shifting this strategy.
New construction projects total NT$20 billion [US$668.89 million] this year, a big jump from last year’s NT$5 billion. Luxury housing projects in the districts of Nankang (南港) and Neihu (內湖) were sold out in April and May respectively. The two projects would generate about NT$10 billion. We also plan to auction an office building later this year that may contribute an extra NT$10 billion.
The planned launches of new housing projects in Linkou (林口) and Yingge (鶯歌) districts in New Taipei City (新北市) will likely have to wait until the fourth quarter or early next year. It takes a longer time than expected to obtain building permits. The delay has nothing to do with the business cycle.
TT: Some developers and construction firms have expanded into the hospitality and retail sectors to cash in on the influx in Chinese tourists, while others have turned to central and southern Taiwan. Is Chang Hong interested in southward expansion or cross-sector investment?
Lee: I don’t like to enter unfamiliar territory. Running tourist hotels is not my forte and nor is investment outside of Greater Taipei. The building industry is old, but still replete with innovation and opportunity. It is equally challenging and satisfying to reinvent for business sectors that I know well.
I’ve heard housing transactions are gaining momentum in central and southern Taiwan. I have no doubt housing prices are catching up there. However, I don’t think they can match Greater Taipei’s pace, which has outperformed both GDP growth and the rate of inflation.
I think, while real-estate investments in southern Taiwan are generating better returns, they will not be significant enough after factoring in transaction fees, interest expense, inflation and other overheads.
TT: What do you think of the government’s efforts to promote fairness and social justice through tax reforms?
Lee: The business sector is willing to make charitable donations, but it resists heavier tax burdens because taxes do not always benefit disadvantaged groups or enhance corporate image. The government is turning the issue into a war against the rich by proposing capital gains from securities transactions and is likely to do the same with real estate investments later on.
With 80 percent of Taiwanese owning houses, it is not surprising that some own more than one home and also perhaps an expensive home. There will be more resistance if the government seeks to tax properties based on their real prices rather than publicly designated values. The move would affect many people and entails revisions to the Constitution, where land taxes are enshrined.
Hon Hai Precision Industry Co (鴻海精密) chairman Terry Gou (郭台銘) aimed to humor the government when he suggested taxing the nation’s 300 richest people and sparing general stock investors. The government should concentrate on boosting the economy and take steps to allow all to benefit from the growth in GDP.