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    Giant and Merida shares surging as oil prices skyrocket


    BLOOMBERG
    Tuesday, Jun 10, 2008, Page 12

    Shares in Giant Manufacturing Co (±¶¦w¯S), the world¡¦s largest maker of bicycles, hit a record high in Taipei trading yeterday on speculation that surging oil prices would prompt more consumers to switch to pedal power.

    Giant rose 1.8 percent to NT$89.2 (US$2.94), after earlier adding as much as 3.9 percent to NT$91, its highest intra-day level since the shares debuted in 1994.

    Merida Industry Co (¬ü§Q¹F), the nation¡¦s No. 2 maker of bikes, gained 1.3 percent to NT$71.7.

    DIRECT CORRELATION

    ¡§As oil prices rise, bike makers continue to benefit,¡¨ said Lily Huang, who counts Merida among the NT$900 million in equities she helps to manage at National Investment Trust Co in Taipei.

    ¡§There¡¦s been a direct correlation between the two prices,¡¨ she said.

    Sales at Taichung-based Giant doubled in April to NT$1.1 billion, taking revenue growth for the first four months of the year to 47 percent, compared with a 23 percent increase for all of last year.

    Merida, based in Changhua, has posted a 2.5 percent gain in sales this year.

    EUROPEAN DEMAND

    Demand growth allowed Giant to raise prices in Europe last month, said Elizabeth Lin, who rates Giant a ¡§buy¡¨ in coverage for Deutsche Bank in Taipei and has no rating for Merida.

    China and Australia are among the strongest growth markets for Giant, she said.

    As the world¡¦s largest publicly listed bike manufacturers, finding peer valuations for Giant and Merida is difficult, Lin said.

    Giant¡¦s shares have historically traded at about 10 times to 11-times earnings, a situation that is set to change as the global demand for bicycles picks up, Lin said.

    ¡§Fuel prices are a catalyst for demand, but now it¡¦s become cool to own a bike,¡¨ Lin said in an interview yesterday. ¡§In the future, the trend will go beyond oil prices.¡¨
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