China’s economy has weathered the US financial crisis better than expected but many external concerns remain, the country’s central bank chief said in comments reported yesterday.
“The negative impact of the US subprime crisis on the domestic economy seems so far smaller than originally expected,” the Shanghai Securities News quoted Zhou Xiaochuan (周小川) as saying.
Restructuring in the financial system has made China’s financial institutions healthier and losses caused by the US credit crunch are “controllable and digestible,” Zhou said.
But Zhou, who made the remarks during an IMF meeting in Washington over the weekend, warned that China’s economy is faced with mounting external uncertainties, which makes it harder for policy decisions.
Factors clouding the outlook of the global economy this year include turmoil in financial markets because of the US subprime crisis, inflation pressure and rising protectionism in some developed countries, Zhou said.
Preventing runaway inflation and overheating in the domestic economy remained the two key tasks for the Chinese authorities, he said.
China is scheduled to release key economic data for the first quarter on Thursday.
Zhou said exchange rates had only limited effects in easing trade imbalances and their role should not be overplayed, amid the continued push by the US for China to end controls on the yuan.
“The role of exchange rates in solving the imbalance in global trade is limited. Exaggerating their effects is unrealistic and will mislead the rebalancing process,” Zhou was quoted as saying.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
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