US oil prices hit fresh record highs yesterday on nagging concerns over supplies from Russia and Iraq and doubts over OPEC's ability to make up for any shortfalls.
US light crude rallied to US$43.09 a barrel, the highest in the 21-year history of crude oil trade on the New York exchange, before easing to US$42.98, up US$0.23.
It closed US$0.15 lower on Thursday as Moscow backtracked on a threat to halt sales from Yukos, Russia's top oil producer.
PHOTO: AFP
In London, Brent crude jumped US$0.30 to US$39.55 a barrel, just off 14-year peaks, after settling US$0.28 lower.
Timothy Evans, an analyst at IFR Energy Services, said the market was still not convinced crude supplies from Yukos would flow indefinitely and was doubtful about Iraqi crude output.
"The company [Yukos] is still clearly financially strapped by the government's insistence that it pay its US$3.4 billion tax bill and pay it now," he said in a research note.
Yukos has said the company could collapse by the middle of next month because of a freeze on its bank accounts and assets, adding that its rail shipments of oil, which make up a quarter of its total sales, could be affected soon.
"The Yukos tax row has made buyers of Russian crude afraid to buy from Yukos," said David Thurtell, a commodity strategist at Commonwealth Bank of Australia.
The Iraqi oil minister said on Thursday the country's oil exports -- limited to its southern terminals due to sabotage and infrastructure defects -- would average between 1.7 million and 1.8 million barrels per day (bpd) next month, from 1.5 million this month.
Evans said the market was sceptical of Iraq's claim that it was producing a total of 2.4 million bpd.
"But with the ongoing violence there, the suspicion is that it [total output] could be 1.4 million bpd tomorrow, forget about 2.8 million bpd by year-end," he said.
Meantime, OPEC is pumping at more than 95 percent of capacity, the highest for a quarter of a century, and analysts said it had little room to boost output during emergencies. Saudi Arabia is seen as the only OPEC producer with any spare capacity.
Crude oil shipments from all 11 OPEC producers fell 560,000 bpd in the four-week period ending Aug. 7 as exports to the West slip from a peak this month.
This could largely be due to falling demand for sour crudes, an oil shipping analyst said.
The sky-rocketing price of oil has sparked concerns in Japan, which together with South Korea imports all its crude oil needs.
"Asian economies have been doing relatively well. But it [the rise in oil prices] is becoming a worrying factor," Vice Finance Minister for International Affairs Hiroshi Watanabe said.
Benchmark oil futures on the Tokyo Commodity Exchange continued their strong run yesterday after striking record contract highs a day earlier.
The IMF is more sanguine. IMF head Rodrigo Rato said the global economic recovery had gathered enough momentum to weather the effects of rising oil prices, which he said was caused by both economic and political factors.
Rato said he agreed with the Paris-based International Energy Agency that oil prices would stay higher than was expected "only a few months ago."
AIR SUPPORT: The Ministry of National Defense thanked the US for the delivery, adding that it was an indicator of the White House’s commitment to the Taiwan Relations Act Deputy Minister of National Defense Po Horng-huei (柏鴻輝) and Representative to the US Alexander Yui on Friday attended a delivery ceremony for the first of Taiwan’s long-awaited 66 F-16C/D Block 70 jets at a Lockheed Martin Corp factory in Greenville, South Carolina. “We are so proud to be the global home of the F-16 and to support Taiwan’s air defense capabilities,” US Representative William Timmons wrote on X, alongside a photograph of Taiwanese and US officials at the event. The F-16C/D Block 70 jets Taiwan ordered have the same capabilities as aircraft that had been upgraded to F-16Vs. The batch of Lockheed Martin
US President Donald Trump yesterday announced sweeping "reciprocal tariffs" on US trading partners, including a 32 percent tax on goods from Taiwan that is set to take effect on Wednesday. At a Rose Garden event, Trump declared a 10 percent baseline tax on imports from all countries, with the White House saying it would take effect on Saturday. Countries with larger trade surpluses with the US would face higher duties beginning on Wednesday, including Taiwan (32 percent), China (34 percent), Japan (24 percent), South Korea (25 percent), Vietnam (46 percent) and Thailand (36 percent). Canada and Mexico, the two largest US trading
GRIDLOCK: The National Fire Agency’s Special Search and Rescue team is on standby to travel to the countries to help out with the rescue effort A powerful earthquake rocked Myanmar and neighboring Thailand yesterday, killing at least three people in Bangkok and burying dozens when a high-rise building under construction collapsed. Footage shared on social media from Myanmar’s second-largest city showed widespread destruction, raising fears that many were trapped under the rubble or killed. The magnitude 7.7 earthquake, with an epicenter near Mandalay in Myanmar, struck at midday and was followed by a strong magnitude 6.4 aftershock. The extent of death, injury and destruction — especially in Myanmar, which is embroiled in a civil war and where information is tightly controlled at the best of times —
China's military today said it began joint army, navy and rocket force exercises around Taiwan to "serve as a stern warning and powerful deterrent against Taiwanese independence," calling President William Lai (賴清德) a "parasite." The exercises come after Lai called Beijing a "foreign hostile force" last month. More than 10 Chinese military ships approached close to Taiwan's 24 nautical mile (44.4km) contiguous zone this morning and Taiwan sent its own warships to respond, two senior Taiwanese officials said. Taiwan has not yet detected any live fire by the Chinese military so far, one of the officials said. The drills took place after US Secretary