As the stock market's losses piled up last year, brokerage executive Charles Schwab began appearing in TV commercials urging individual investors to remain calm.
It's advice not many seem to be heeding.
"You can start to see people get a sense of panic now," Schwab said of Wall Street's latest dive. "You see it in the market, you [hear] it in conversation, you see it in the writings to the letters to the editor. For some investors, it's getting pretty desperate. Of course, that's the time you just got to hold your cool."
Remaining levelheaded is getting tougher for individual investors caught in the maelstrom of accounting scandals, terrorism fears and economic queasiness that last week shoved the stock market to its lowest levels in nearly four years.
Logic says the market should be reaching a bottom, that today should yield great deals for investors with extra cash and the desire to buy blue chip stocks deeply discounted by the waves of selling that have washed over Wall Street.
But emotions might drive even more people out of the market as they ruminate over the losses reflected in their second-quarter investment statements and realize the damage got even worse in the last two weeks, when all of the stock market's bellwether indexes were badly battered.
Since July 5, the Dow Jones Industrial Average got hit the hardest, falling by 1,360 points, or 14.5 percent, to 8,019 by Friday. Meanwhile, the Standard & Poor's 500 index shed 141 points, or 14.3 percent, and the technology-driven NASDAQ composite index dropped by 129 points, or 8.9 percent, by Friday.
The rapid descent, combined with substantial erosion that had already occurred since the stock market's March 2000 peak, is bound to cause a lot of soul searching among investors, said Tom Lydon, president of Global Trend Investments in Newport Beach, California.
"There are going to be a lot of couples sitting across from each their dining room tables this weekend and one spouse is going to say to the other, `That's it. We've had it. Let's get out of the market and take something off the table while we still can.'"
This kind of behavior is known as capitulation -- a phrase used in the stock market to describe a time when exasperated investors throw up their hands and sell all their holdings no matter what the economic circumstances might be.
The reaction is the polar opposite of the giddiness -- famously described by Federal Reserve Chairman Alan Greenspan as "irrational exuberance" -- that propels markets to staggering highs.
Historically, the moment of investor capitulation heralds the end of a bear market. That's the good news. The bad news is no one really knows when the moment of capitulation occurs.
"I've been thinking the market had capitulated for the last three weeks, but it just keeps capitulating," said Richard Del Monte, an investment adviser in Danville, California. He said three more of his clients threw in the towel after Friday's sell-off and told him to sell all their stocks.
Most money managers think this is a time savvy investors should be seeking out bargains. "You might see opportunities out there that you won't see again for years," Lydon said.
But don't tread into the market turbulence unless you have a cast-iron stomach: Investment professionals warn the market might plummet even further in the next few days.
"To buy stocks now, you have to be like the people who traveled across the country during the Gold Rush of 1849. It takes a lot of courage," Del Monte said.
Canan Korustan of Alamo, California, is already on the prowl for bargains. During Friday's sell-off, she picked up stock in General Electric and discount retailer Target. If the market falls further Monday, she is eyeing investments in drug company Pfizer Inc and perhaps a cable company. By buying now, she hopes to offset some of her losses on her past investments in high-tech companies.
‘UPHOLDING PEACE’: Taiwan’s foreign minister thanked the US Congress for using a ‘creative and effective way’ to deter Chinese military aggression toward the nation The US House of Representatives on Monday passed the Taiwan Conflict Deterrence Act, aimed at deterring Chinese aggression toward Taiwan by threatening to publish information about Chinese Communist Party (CCP) officials’ “illicit” financial assets if Beijing were to attack. The act would also “restrict financial services for certain immediate family of such officials,” the text of the legislation says. The bill was introduced in January last year by US representatives French Hill and Brad Sherman. After remarks from several members, it passed unanimously. “If China chooses to attack the free people of Taiwan, [the bill] requires the Treasury secretary to publish the illicit
NO HUMAN ERROR: After the incident, the Coast Guard Administration said it would obtain uncrewed aerial vehicles and vessels to boost its detection capacity Authorities would improve border control to prevent unlawful entry into Taiwan’s waters and safeguard national security, the Mainland Affairs Council (MAC) said yesterday after a Chinese man reached the nation’s coast on an inflatable boat, saying he “defected to freedom.” The man was found on a rubber boat when he was about to set foot on Taiwan at the estuary of Houkeng River (後坑溪) near Taiping Borough (太平) in New Taipei City’s Linkou District (林口), authorities said. The Coast Guard Administration’s (CGA) northern branch said it received a report at 6:30am yesterday morning from the New Taipei City Fire Department about a
A senior US military official yesterday warned his Chinese counterpart against Beijing’s “dangerous” moves in the South China Sea during the first talks of their kind between the commanders. Washington and Beijing remain at odds on issues from trade to the status of Taiwan and China’s increasingly assertive approach in disputed maritime regions, but they have sought to re-establish regular military-to-military talks in a bid to prevent flashpoint disputes from spinning out of control. Samuel Paparo, commander of the US Indo-Pacific Command, and Wu Yanan (吳亞男), head of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) Southern Theater Command, talked via videoconference. Paparo “underscored the importance
IN BEIJING’S FAVOR: A China Coast Guard spokesperson said that the Chinese maritime police would continue to carry out law enforcement activities in waters it claims The Philippines withdrew its coast guard vessel from a South China Sea shoal that has recently been at the center of tensions with Beijing. BRP Teresa Magbanua “was compelled to return to port” from Sabina Shoal (Xianbin Shoal, 仙濱暗沙) due to bad weather, depleted supplies and the need to evacuate personnel requiring medical care, the Philippine Coast Guard (PCG) spokesman Jay Tarriela said yesterday in a post on X. The Philippine vessel “will be in tiptop shape to resume her mission” after it has been resupplied and repaired, Philippine Executive Secretary Lucas Bersamin, who heads the nation’s maritime council, said