Instead of threatening tariffs on Taiwan-made chips, the US should try to reinforce cooperation with Taiwan on semiconductor development to take on challenges from the People’s Republic of China (PRC), a Taiwanese think tank said.
The administration of US President Donald Trump has threatened to impose across-the-board import duties of 32 percent on Taiwan-made goods and levy a separate tariff on semiconductors, which Taiwan is hoping to avoid.
The Research Institute for Democracy, Society, and Emerging Technology (DSET), a National Science and Technology Council think tank, said that US efforts should focus on containing China’s semiconductor rise rather than impairing Taiwan.
Photo: EPA-EFE
“Without any measures to take on the challenges from China, the global industrial sector will grow more dependent on Chinese suppliers, which could pose tremendous challenges to the global democratic alliance,” DSET chief executive officer Jeremy Chang (張智程) said on Monday.
Citing a suggestion from the DSET’s Let a Hundred Flowers Blossom report released on Wednesday, Chang said that cooperation between Taiwan and the US should be strengthened.
“Managed capacity planning and joint R&D [research and development] between non-Chinese firms, in combination with restrictions on Chinese imports and promotion policies targeting specialized processes, will be critical for the US and its allies to withstand the China semiconductor challenge,” the report said.
Non-resident DSET fellow Ho Ming-yen (何明彥) said that the way democracies impose precise semiconductor export controls on China — particularly on raw materials used in mature chip production — would be crucial in determining their ability to curb Beijing’s expansion in the sector.
Ho suggested that the US, Europe and East Asian countries such as Taiwan and South Korea reach a sectoral agreement to establish tariffs and outbound investment restrictions, create a free trade mechanism across the supply chain, and coordinate on capacity and specialized process development.
The DSET also warned that China has been aggressively expanding its presence in the global semiconductor market through government subsidies, state-directed investment and long-term strategic planning.
“Analysts project that PRC-based firms may account for nearly half of the world’s new mature-node manufacturing capacity within the next decade,” it said in a research report released in May titled The Great Siege: The PRC’s Comprehensive Strategy to Dominate Foundational Chips.
“This trajectory presents a growing risk to the United States, Taiwan and allied nations that rely on stable, diversified and market-oriented supply chains,” the report said.
China’s presence in the high-end tech arena has become more apparent and allows it to play a key role in the supply chains of the defense industry, Chang said.
Citing data compiled by TrendForce used in the Great Siege report, Chang said China accounted for 34 percent of the global mature chip market in 2023, lower than 43 percent commanded by Taiwan, but much higher than the 5 percent held by the US.
By 2027, China’s market share is projected to rise to 47 percent, while Taiwan’s share is expected to decrease to 36 percent, meaning Beijing would overtake Taipei as the world’s largest producer of mature chips. Meanwhile, Washington’s market share is forecast to drop to just 4 percent, it said.
Yet rather than focusing on strengthening ties with Taiwan for semiconductor development, the US is threatening a tariff on Taiwan-made chips by launching an investigation under Section 232 of the Trade Expansion Act of 1962.
“The Section 232-related investigation could worsen the situation, as this measure is unlikely to curb China’s expansion in the semiconductor industry,” Chang said.
Taiwan has received more than US$70 million in royalties as of the end of last year from developing the F-16V jet as countries worldwide purchase or upgrade to this popular model, government and military officials said on Saturday. Taiwan funded the development of the F-16V jet and ended up the sole investor as other countries withdrew from the program. Now the F-16V is increasingly popular and countries must pay Taiwan a percentage in royalties when they purchase new F-16V aircraft or upgrade older F-16 models. The next five years are expected to be the peak for these royalties, with Taiwan potentially earning
STAY IN YOUR LANE: As the US and Israel attack Iran, the ministry has warned China not to overstep by including Taiwanese citizens in its evacuation orders The Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MOFA) yesterday rebuked a statement by China’s embassy in Israel that it would evacuate Taiwanese holders of Chinese travel documents from Israel amid the latter’s escalating conflict with Iran. Tensions have risen across the Middle East in the wake of US and Israeli airstrikes on Iran beginning Saturday. China subsequently issued an evacuation notice for its citizens. In a news release, the Chinese embassy in Israel said holders of “Taiwan compatriot permits (台胞證)” issued to Taiwanese nationals by Chinese authorities for travel to China — could register for evacuation to Egypt. In Taipei, the ministry yesterday said Taiwan
Taiwan is awaiting official notification from the US regarding the status of the Agreement on Reciprocal Trade (ART) after the US Supreme Court ruled US President Donald Trump's global tariffs unconstitutional. Speaking to reporters before a legislative hearing today, Premier Cho Jung-tai (卓榮泰) said that Taiwan's negotiation team remains focused on ensuring that the bilateral trade deal remains intact despite the legal challenge to Trump's tariff policy. "The US has pledged to notify its trade partners once the subsequent administrative and legal processes are finalized, and that certainly includes Taiwan," Cho said when asked about opposition parties’ doubts that the ART was
If China chose to invade Taiwan tomorrow, it would only have to sever three undersea fiber-optic cable clusters to cause a data blackout, Jason Hsu (許毓仁), a senior fellow at the Hudson Institute and former Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) legislator, told a US security panel yesterday. In a Taiwan contingency, cable disruption would be one of the earliest preinvasion actions and the signal that escalation had begun, he said, adding that Taiwan’s current cable repair capabilities are insufficient. The US-China Economic and Security Review Commission (USCC) yesterday held a hearing on US-China Competition Under the Sea, with Hsu speaking on