The Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) would likely clash over poll selection as they attempt to negotiate a joint presidential ticket in the coming days, an expert said on Wednesday.
The KMT and the TPP earlier that day announced that a panel of three experts — one each from the KMT and the TPP and one selected by former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) — would assess public polls from Tuesday last week until yesterday.
For each poll where TPP nominee Ko Wen-je’s (柯文哲) favorability exceeds KMT candidate and New Taipei City Mayor Hou You-yi (侯友宜) by a margin beyond the margin of error, Ko would be given one point. However, if the difference falls within the margin of error, Hou would receive the point, the parties said.
Photo: Chang Chia-ming, Taipei Times
National Chengchi University Election Study Center research fellow Hsiao Yi-ching (蕭怡靖), said a lack of details on polling methodology had left him skeptical.
Which polls should be included in the analysis appears unclear in the joint statement, Hsiao said.
“What happens if a poll indicates that a Hou-Ko ticket is favored, but the Ko camp believes it should not be taken into account?” Hsiao said.
Hsiao said that fairness, objectivity and representativeness, as well as sampling and questionnaire design were more significant than sampling errors.
Meanwhile, Gallup analyst Wu Li-yen (吳立嫣) also highlighted the importance of questionnaire design to ensure consistency across polls.
The questionnaire should focus on a Hou-Ko or a Ko-Hou ticket in comparison to the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential nominee Vice President William Lai (賴清德) and his likely running mate, Representative to the US Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴), Wu added.
The favorability for a Hou-Ko or a Ko-Hou ticket is “close,” and the difference between the two falls within a margin of error of 1 to 2 percentage points, Wu said.
Lin Kuan-yu (林寬裕), head of the KMT’s Culture and Communications Committee, said the polling experts would collaboratively identify credible polls and exclude those deemed unreliable, ultimately determining the joint ticket.
Specifics, including considerations such as the ratio of mobile phone calls to landline phone calls and whether to include a comparison with independent candidate and Hon Hai Precision Industry Co founder Terry Gou (郭台銘), would be determined by the polling experts, Lin added.
SAFETY IN REGULATION: The proposal states that Chiayi should assess whether it is viable to establish such a district and draft rules to protect clients and sex workers The Chiayi City Council passed a motion yesterday to assess the viability of establishing a regulated red-light district. The council yesterday held its last session of the year, at which its fiscal 2024 budget was approved, along with 61 other proposals. The proposal to assess the viability of establishing a red-light district was put forward by independent Chiayi City Councilor Molly Yen (顏色不分藍綠支持性專區顏色田慎節). The proposal cited 2011 amendments to the Social Order Maintenance Act (社會秩序維護法), which stipulate that city and county governments can pass autonomous regulations on the sex trade to manage the industry and guarantee industry workers’ rights. A ban on the
STABILITY AND CHANGE: Flagging in recent polls, Ko this week pledged to maintain President Tsai’s foreign policy, with an emphasis on improving China relations Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) Chairman and presidential candidate Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) yesterday reiterated that he is “deep-green at heart” in response to accusations that he is pivoting his campaign to align closer with the ideology of the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) in the face of flagging polls. Ko made the remark at an agricultural policy conference in Taipei, repeating his comments from an interview with CTS News a day earlier. Ko told the CTS host that he would continue to pursue President Tsai Ing-wen’s (蔡英文) national defense and foreign policy in general, but with an emphasis on establishing a rapport with
CHINA illness surge: Of 88 travelers from China, Hong Kong and Macau with respiratory symptoms who were encouraged to get tested upon arrival, 70.6% had the flu Two hundred and sixty people with COVID-19 were hospitalized and 31 deaths related to the virus were reported last week — the highest numbers in four weeks, the Centers for Disease Control (CDC) said yesterday, adding that cases are expected to peak next month. CDC Epidemic Intelligence Center Director Guo Hung-wei (郭宏偉) said that of the 260 people hospitalized last week with moderate to severe COVID-19, 98 percent had not received the Omicron XBB.1.5-adapted COVID-19 vaccine. Among the people hospitalized this year, 78 percent were aged 65 or older, while most of the those who were hospitalized or died have or had
Taiwanese who have recently traveled to China for tourism, to visit friends or relatives or for business reasons have been interrogated, detained and faced other forms of unreasonable treatment from Chinese officials, a source said on Sunday. Among them was a Taiwanese who was detained for eight hours at an airport in China due to their research, which is related to religion, while others have had their travel documents for China canceled for a number of reasons, the source said. In July, China expanded the scope of its counterespionage law, and recently announced a draft amendment to the law on the protection