The Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) and the Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) would likely clash over poll selection as they attempt to negotiate a joint presidential ticket in the coming days, an expert said on Wednesday.
The KMT and the TPP earlier that day announced that a panel of three experts — one each from the KMT and the TPP and one selected by former president Ma Ying-jeou (馬英九) — would assess public polls from Tuesday last week until yesterday.
For each poll where TPP nominee Ko Wen-je’s (柯文哲) favorability exceeds KMT candidate and New Taipei City Mayor Hou You-yi (侯友宜) by a margin beyond the margin of error, Ko would be given one point. However, if the difference falls within the margin of error, Hou would receive the point, the parties said.
Photo: Chang Chia-ming, Taipei Times
National Chengchi University Election Study Center research fellow Hsiao Yi-ching (蕭怡靖), said a lack of details on polling methodology had left him skeptical.
Which polls should be included in the analysis appears unclear in the joint statement, Hsiao said.
“What happens if a poll indicates that a Hou-Ko ticket is favored, but the Ko camp believes it should not be taken into account?” Hsiao said.
Hsiao said that fairness, objectivity and representativeness, as well as sampling and questionnaire design were more significant than sampling errors.
Meanwhile, Gallup analyst Wu Li-yen (吳立嫣) also highlighted the importance of questionnaire design to ensure consistency across polls.
The questionnaire should focus on a Hou-Ko or a Ko-Hou ticket in comparison to the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) presidential nominee Vice President William Lai (賴清德) and his likely running mate, Representative to the US Hsiao Bi-khim (蕭美琴), Wu added.
The favorability for a Hou-Ko or a Ko-Hou ticket is “close,” and the difference between the two falls within a margin of error of 1 to 2 percentage points, Wu said.
Lin Kuan-yu (林寬裕), head of the KMT’s Culture and Communications Committee, said the polling experts would collaboratively identify credible polls and exclude those deemed unreliable, ultimately determining the joint ticket.
Specifics, including considerations such as the ratio of mobile phone calls to landline phone calls and whether to include a comparison with independent candidate and Hon Hai Precision Industry Co founder Terry Gou (郭台銘), would be determined by the polling experts, Lin added.
Chinese spouse and influencer Guan Guan’s (關關) residency permit has been revoked for repeatedly posting pro-China videos that threaten national security, the National Immigration Agency confirmed today. Guan Guan has said many controversial statements in her videos posted to Douyin (抖音), including “the red flag will soon be painted all over Taiwan” and “Taiwan is an inseparable part of China,” and expressing hope for expedited reunification. The agency last year received multiple reports alleging that Guan Guan had advocated for armed reunification. After verifying the reports, the agency last month issued a notice requiring her to appear and explain her actions. Guan
GIVE AND TAKE: Blood demand continues to rise each year, while fewer young donors are available due to the nation’s falling birthrate, a doctor said Blood donors can redeem points earned from donations to obtain limited edition Formosan black bear travel mugs, the Kaohsiung Blood Center said yesterday, as it announced a goal of stocking 20,000 units of blood prior to the Lunar New Year. The last month of the lunar year is National Blood Donation Month, when local centers seek to stockpile blood for use during the Lunar New Year holiday. The blood demand in southern Taiwan — including Tainan and Kaohsiung, as well as Chiayi, Pingtung, Penghu and Taitung counties — is about 2,000 units per day, the center said. The donation campaign aims to boost
The Kaohsiung Tourism Bureau audited six hotels in an effort to prevent price gouging ahead of Korean band BTS’ concert tour in the city scheduled for Nov. 19, 21 and 22 this year. The bureau on Friday said that the audits — conducted in response to allegations of unfair pricing posted on social media — found no wrongdoing. These establishments included the local branches of Chateau de Chine, Hotel Nikko, My Humble House, and Grand Hai Lai, it said, adding that the Consumer Protection Commission would have penalized price gougers had the accusations been substantiated. The bureau said the Tourism Development Act
BACK TO WINTER: A strong continental cold air mass would move south on Tuesday next week, bringing colder temperatures to northern and central Taiwan A tropical depression east of the Philippines could soon be upgraded to be the first tropical storm of this year, the Central Weather Administration (CWA) said yesterday, adding that the next cold air mass is forecast to arrive on Monday next week. CWA forecaster Cheng Jie-ren (鄭傑仁) said the first tropical depression of this year is over waters east of the Philippines, about 1,867km southeast of Oluanpi (鵝鑾鼻), and could strengthen into Tropical Storm Nokaen by early today. The system is moving slowly from northwest to north, and is expected to remain east of the Philippines with little chance of affecting Taiwan,
RSS