More weather models on Friday morning began showing Tropical Storm Doksuri approaching Taiwan in the middle of next week, although meteorologists cautioned that its path is still uncertain.
Doksuri at 8am on Friday became the fifth named cyclone in the Pacific this year, located east of the Philippines moving west-northwest at 15kph.
The Central Weather Bureau early on Friday adjusted the storm’s protected track to show it approaching closer to Taiwan.
Photo courtesy of the Central Weather Bureau
Due to high variability in the models, the bureau said a clearer picture would not be available until Sunday or Monday, although it said it would not rule out issuing a sea warning as soon as Monday next week.
Its intensity could be impacted by a weakening high-pressure system in the Pacific from Monday and thereafter its path is more difficult to determine, bureau forecaster Tseng Chao-cheng (曾昭誠) said on Thursday.
The leading European model has the storm moving through the Bashi Channel through the southern Taiwan Strait, meteorologist Daniel Wu (吳德榮) said.
However, the US model also shifted its path to the right, with the average of the models showing it pass over Japan’s Miyako Island east of Taiwan, he said.
The majority show it passing to the east, with only a few predicting landfall, he added, advising continued observation as the models are still “highly uncertain.”
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