Chinese Nationalist Party (KMT) Chairman Lien Chan (
Although Lien and Soong have not taken the defeat lightly and claimed the result of the presidential election was invalid, their loss could be traced from the very first day that they decided to work together to again mount a challenge for the presidency.
PHOTO: SEAN CHAO, TAIPEI TIMES
After Lien and Soong, who were foes in the 2000 presidential election, in April last year announced their collaboration to contend for the presidency, their support exceeded 60 percent at one point. Their ticket took the lead from the beginning of the election campaign, which made the KMT-PFP alliance believe that they will win an easy victory as Lien and Soong's total ballots exceeded the number with which President Chen Shui-bian (陳水扁) won four years ago.
But Lien and Soong seemed to be too optimistic about the election and overestimated the sum of their possible ballots, said Hsu Yung-ming (徐永明), an assistant research fellow with the Institute of Social Sciences at Academia Sinica.
"In fact, the real loyal voters for Lien and Soong were only those who had voted for Soong in 2000, which was about 36 percent of the total votes at that time," Hsu said.
Hsu pointed out that the KMT-PFP alliance and the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) both targeted the ballots that Lien collected in 2000, which was about 20 percent of the total votes.
"The ticket who wins 10 percent of votes from Lien, would win the election," he said.
Hsu said the alliance's misjudgment of the number of possible votes led the KMT-PFP alliance to dream up unsuccessful campaign strategies.
The pan-blue camp's unclear campaign theme was one of its feet of clay, said Chiang Ming-chin (江岷欽), professor of public administration at Taipei University.
"Compared to the DPP's campaign appeal to "Believe in Taiwan, persist in reforms," the KMT-PFP alliance seemed to fail to find an insistent tone since the campaign started," Chiang said.
"Almost all the campaign issues were handled by the pan-green camp, including the referendum and the creation of a new constitution. The pan-blue camp was not sharp nor creative enough in this aspect," Chiang said.
The DPP's landslide victory in Taichung County can be ascribed to the contradictions between the KMT and PFP and a long conflict between them. When it comes to integrating the local power for campaigning purposes, this will be more apparent in the legislative election to be held at the end of the year, Hsu said.
Hsu pointed out that people also worried that the conflict of interests between the two parties would lead the nation to chaos.
Besides, the power succession issue in the KMT has never been really settled, which made the middle generation of the KMT's political figures feel trapped and uncertain about their future development. They were reluctant to give all their efforts to campaign for Lien and Soong.
Throughout the whole campaign, the KMT-PFP alliance tried to score points with Chen's unimpressive performance in the nation's economy, educational reform and improving the employment rate, and it had launched sophisticated nationwide strategies to reinforce the idea that Chen was incompetent for his office.
Although the pan-blue camp's so-called "anti-bian (反扁)" strategies were quite successful judging by the number of ballots it won, Chiang said that, on the other hand, the pan-blue camp failed to promise different approaches to managing the economy that could have persuaded voters.
Knowing it was going to be a tight election, the KMT-PFP alliance has leveled accusations of corruption and put too much emphasis on negative campaigning, Hsu said.
"Lien might have picked up many votes with the help of former Tuntex Group chairman Chen Yu-hao (
At the same time, the alliance did not convince voters that they could root out the "black gold" in their parties, wasting the opportunity to highlight its image of reform, Hsu said.
Hsu also believed that another factor that made Lien and Soong lose the election was that they advocated that voters reject the referendum.
"The pair refused to take a position on the referendum because it was the platforms of the pan-green camp," Hsu said.
"On the contrary, they came out solidly against the referendum, which obviously deviated from the mainstream of public opinion," he said.
Hsu said the strong boycott of the referendum by the pan-blue camp caused the referendum not to be passed and ruined them at the same time.
The pan-blue camp also failed to make the voters believe that it is sincere in fully supporting and nourishing Taiwan's identity, Hsu said.
Hsu said the KMT lawmakers who support localization will definitely say goodbye to the party after this election, because they realize that the KMT was not moving according to the nation's wishes.
It took director Chong Keat Aun (張吉安) nearly a decade to complete Snow in Midsummer (五月雪), a deft chronicle of Malaysia’s May 13 incident told through one woman’s search for her brother and father. Although only his second feature, it led the field at yesterday’s Golden Horse Awards with nine nominations. Chong said it had been a struggle to get people to share their memories of the intercommunal violence following the 1969 national election, known among the country’s ethnic Chinese community as “513.” “My father, for example, would shut the conversation down if my mother or grandma even mentioned the topic,” Chong said
The Centers for Disease Control (CDC) yesterday said that a surge in respiratory illnesses in China has been caused by at least seven types of pathogens, and small children, elderly people and immunocompromised people should temporarily avoid unnecessary visits to China. The recent outbreak of respiratory illnesses in China is mainly in the north and among children, CDC Deputy Director-General Philip Lo (羅一鈞) said on Monday. Data released by the Chinese National Health Commission on Sunday showed that among children aged one to four, the main pathogens were influenza viruses and rhinoviruses, while among children aged five to 14, the main pathogens
A new poll of Taiwanese voters found the top opposition candidate for president jumping past the ruling party’s hopeful into the lead position ahead of January’s election — the latest twist in a drama-filled race. Taiwan People’s Party (TPP) presidential candidate Ko Wen-je (柯文哲) had an approval rating of 31.9 percent versus 29.2 percent for the Democratic Progressive Party’s (DPP) presidential candidate Vice President William Lai (賴清德), the poll released yesterday by the Taiwanese Public Opinion Foundation showed. The Chinese Nationalist Party’s (KMT) presidential candidate, New Taipei City Mayor Hou You-yi (侯友宜), ranked third with 23.6 percent, according to the survey conducted
A New Taipei City hotpot restaurant could be fined after a rat dropped from the ceiling and landed on a customer’s plate last week, the New Taipei City Department of Health said yesterday after conducting an inspection. A woman recently posted on the “I am a Banciao resident” (我是板橋人) social media group saying that she had been eating with a friend at Chien Tu Shabu Shabu Hotpot Restaurant’s Shuangshi B branch in Banciao District (板橋). “While still eating, a big rat suddenly dropped down from the ceiling, landing on a plate next to a hotpot,” she said. “Later on, a member of