Liberty Times: On Wednesday, President Chen Shui-bian (
Frank Hsieh (謝長廷): To stabilize Taiwan's political scene, the DPP will make party-to-party cooperation its priority after the elections. The DPP is willing to work with any of the opposition parties. Cooperation, however, between the DPP and KMT does have its difficulties. Although the KMT is now the majority party in the legislature, the party itself is unstable, with various internal factions which greatly contradict each other. They represent two different lines inside the KMT -- the "dove faction" and the "hawk faction."
Although it is difficult for us to ally with the KMT, the possibility still exists. The KMT may split again if it reunites with the New Party after the elections. Reuniting with the New Party, nevertheless, equals accepting Beijing's "one country, two systems" (一國兩制). As a result, some KMT members may leave the party -- since the party will be essentially different than in the past. In that case, the DPP may cooperate with individuals or factions split from the KMT. But we do not rule out the possibility of working with other political parties.
According to our observations, the KMT's strategy is to combine with the New Party and weaken the PFP while it constantly pushes the PFP to openly declare that it will not form an alliance with the DPP. If this plan were to work, the KMT would be thrilled. It would be the "only one," and the PFP would be left with no way out. The PFP should strive to create space for itself.
I predicted in the past that Taiwan would move toward a political system with two major political parties, and developments have unfolded more or less along these lines. The PFP now faces pressure from the KMT to take a stand, but after taking a stand, there is nowhere for them to go. The New Party will necessarily return to the fold of the KMT. As for a "pan-blue" camp in which the KMT, PFP, and New Party all come together, this will be difficult either before or after the elections.
LT: If the post-election political scene is split between two major parties, will the issue that divides them be reunification versus independence?
Hsieh: If the electoral system develops toward having a single representative for each electoral district, then having two major political parties is inevitable. What divides them, however, will depend on how one approaches the problem. If one's approach is from the perspective of stabilizing the political scene and reforming the legislature, then the unification versus independence debate won't be central. But basically, they should divide into two camps along the lines of maintaining the status quo and versus changing it. To maintain the status quo is to strengthen the case for a sovereign nation. Today's mainstream public opinion probably tends toward this side.
LT: How many seats are needed to form the cross-party alliance?
Hsieh: The Presidential Office, the Legislative Yuan and the DPP have reached a consensus that 120 seats or more, 122 to be precise, is the goal.
The process of forming the alliance will definitely be transparent and institutionalized. We will also follow international examples to shape the alliance, such as signing written agreements and reaching a basic consensus. Right now the alignment among opposition parties is only designed to give the ruling party a hard time.
If individuals [from other parties] intend to ally with the DPP, I suggest that they either join in the DPP's legislative caucus or form another party by themselves.
LT: The DPP predicted that it and the KMT can garner around 84 seats each in the legislature. How will you increase the DPP's lead?
Hsieh: There's no way to widen the gap. The DPP's overall support rates are better than those of the KMT, but the DPP actually nominated fewer candidates. If we want to gain more seats, there are four factors.
First, the votes must be spread uniformly between the candidates.
Second, if the crackdown on vote-buying bears fruit, the DPP is expected to enjoy a windfall in the suburbs, rural areas, and central and southern Taiwan.
Third, the DPP must make a good showing in crisis management. And fourth, situations at home and abroad may also influence the elections. Six months ago, people were pessimistic about the DPP's election chances. But now, our election chances are not so gloomy anymore.
Translated by Eddy Chang, Ethan Harkness and Jackie Lin
The CIA has a message for Chinese government officials worried about their place in Chinese President Xi Jinping’s (習近平) government: Come work with us. The agency released two Mandarin-language videos on social media on Thursday inviting disgruntled officials to contact the CIA. The recruitment videos posted on YouTube and X racked up more than 5 million views combined in their first day. The outreach comes as CIA Director John Ratcliffe has vowed to boost the agency’s use of intelligence from human sources and its focus on China, which has recently targeted US officials with its own espionage operations. The videos are “aimed at
STEADFAST FRIEND: The bills encourage increased Taiwan-US engagement and address China’s distortion of UN Resolution 2758 to isolate Taiwan internationally The Presidential Office yesterday thanked the US House of Representatives for unanimously passing two Taiwan-related bills highlighting its solid support for Taiwan’s democracy and global participation, and for deepening bilateral relations. One of the bills, the Taiwan Assurance Implementation Act, requires the US Department of State to periodically review its guidelines for engagement with Taiwan, and report to the US Congress on the guidelines and plans to lift self-imposed limitations on US-Taiwan engagement. The other bill is the Taiwan International Solidarity Act, which clarifies that UN Resolution 2758 does not address the issue of the representation of Taiwan or its people in
US Indo-Pacific Commander Admiral Samuel Paparo on Friday expressed concern over the rate at which China is diversifying its military exercises, the Financial Times (FT) reported on Saturday. “The rates of change on the depth and breadth of their exercises is the one non-linear effect that I’ve seen in the last year that wakes me up at night or keeps me up at night,” Paparo was quoted by FT as saying while attending the annual Sedona Forum at the McCain Institute in Arizona. Paparo also expressed concern over the speed with which China was expanding its military. While the US
SHIFT: Taiwan’s better-than-expected first-quarter GDP and signs of weakness in the US have driven global capital back to emerging markets, the central bank head said The central bank yesterday blamed market speculation for the steep rise in the local currency, and urged exporters and financial institutions to stay calm and stop panic sell-offs to avoid hurting their own profitability. The nation’s top monetary policymaker said that it would step in, if necessary, to maintain order and stability in the foreign exchange market. The remarks came as the NT dollar yesterday closed up NT$0.919 to NT$30.145 against the US dollar in Taipei trading, after rising as high as NT$29.59 in intraday trading. The local currency has surged 5.85 percent against the greenback over the past two sessions, central