As the year draws to a close, the greeting “Happy New Year” might sound implausibly optimistic.
Russian President Vladimir Putin is massing troops near his country’s border with Ukraine. Chinese President Xi Jinping (習近平) broods threateningly about whether now is the right time to invade Taiwan, and the COVID-19 pandemic continues to threaten the lives and well-being of people around the world, with the new Omicron variant of SARS-CoV-2 reminding us of the danger of large populations remaining unvaccinated — especially in the poorest countries.
US President Joe Biden has tried to breathe a little optimism into global politics by holding a virtual summit of the world’s actual and purported democracies. The gathering has elicited predictable hostility from China and Russia, as well as criticism within the US about the choice of invitees.
Some, understandably, have emphasized the overwhelming importance of the democracies in attendance setting an example through their behavior, rather than simply preaching (sometimes a little hypocritically).
However, away from the summit, a tawdry political scandal in the UK — concerning parties held in British Prime Minister Boris Johnson’s official residence and office during lockdowns late last year — has highlighted one of the central virtues of genuinely democratic societies: Their leaders cannot get away indefinitely with bad, corrupt or self-serving behavior. At long last, Johnson now seems to be finding that out.
Although Johnson has a well-deserved reputation for maintaining an arm’s-length relationship with the truth, many voters seem to have priced this in to how they perceive him.
Moreover, Conservative Party insiders and those who previously worked with Johnson in journalism (his career before politics) have always known that he was unlikely to follow any rules that did not suit him.
This rather large personal failing was apparent even in his boyhood, as a remarkably prescient school report by his Eton College housemaster noted.
“I think, he honestly believes that it is churlish of us not to regard him as an exception, one who should be free of the network of obligation which binds everyone else,” Johnson’s teacher wrote.
Of course, problems come thick and fast when one carries that approach to life into government. In particular, Johnson’s allegedly Conservative administration, assisted by allies in the media, has set about trying to weaken many of the checks and balances that should constrain central-government power.
Thus, the UK’s great public-service broadcaster, the BBC, has come under attack for not toeing the government’s line.
The British Electoral Commission and judges are criticized for trying to rein in ministerial and party political actions that contravene the law. Johnson routinely flouts the codes that are supposed to police the behavior of ministers and politicians in general. The government uses parliamentary procedures to circumvent proper legislative scrutiny, and in 2019 even illegally suspended (or prorogued) the British Parliament because it looked as though the legislature might get in the way of Johnson’s Brexit plans.
All this has now crystallized in the “Christmas parties” row, which paints a picture of a government “free of the network of obligation which binds everyone else.”
After all, the gatherings took place while the government was telling the rest of the country that because of the pandemic, parties were banned.
The ban on people congregating went even further than that. People could not visit dying friends or relatives, because meetings of any sort were thought to increase the risk of spreading the deadly virus.
Johnson’s handling of this emerging scandal has not increased confidence in his leadership of the kingdom, to put it mildly.
This is particularly troubling at a time when it is vitally important that citizens should trust the government to take the right public health measures to safeguard the whole of society.
The most serious and generic lesson to take from the affair, at a time of increasing debate about democracy and liberal values, is that in a country that upholds them, public officials cannot reliably hide wrongdoing.
Freedom of the press and accountability to voters mean that bad behavior, on smaller and larger scales, cannot be denied without inquiry.
Contrast this with the situation in China. The world has suffered as much as it has from COVID-19 in part because of the secrecy in which the Chinese government shrouded the early stage of the pandemic as well as the precise origin of the virus.
In a more recent example of unaccountable totalitarianism, Xi’s regime has tried to choke off any investigation of, or knowledge about, former Chinese vice premier Zhang Gaoli’s (張高麗) alleged predatory sexual behavior toward professional tennis player Peng Shuai (彭帥).
Now imagine how far you would get if you were to try to investigate the financial dealings of senior Chinese leaders and their families and friends.
In democracies, leaders’ behavior is constrained by the knowledge that sooner or later, they might have to own up. Totalitarian and authoritarian regimes always cover up. In which sort of society would you prefer to live?
Thousands of Hong Kongers who are now leaving their wonderful and formerly free territory for a new life elsewhere are giving their own answer to this question. I wish all of them an especially happy new year in their new homes, and extend a similar greeting to those who have had to stay behind and to all who are trapped in authoritarian or totalitarian states.
However, their happiness and prosperity will of course depend to some extent on those attending Biden’s summit — including Johnson — behaving like democrats who really do believe in and practice the values of an open society.
Chris Patten, the last British governor of Hong Kong and a former EU commissioner for external affairs, is Chancellor of the University of Oxford.
Copyright: Project Syndicate
The Chinese government on March 29 sent shock waves through the Tibetan Buddhist community by announcing the untimely death of one of its most revered spiritual figures, Hungkar Dorje Rinpoche. His sudden passing in Vietnam raised widespread suspicion and concern among his followers, who demanded an investigation. International human rights organization Human Rights Watch joined their call and urged a thorough investigation into his death, highlighting the potential involvement of the Chinese government. At just 56 years old, Rinpoche was influential not only as a spiritual leader, but also for his steadfast efforts to preserve and promote Tibetan identity and cultural
Former minister of culture Lung Ying-tai (龍應台) has long wielded influence through the power of words. Her articles once served as a moral compass for a society in transition. However, as her April 1 guest article in the New York Times, “The Clock Is Ticking for Taiwan,” makes all too clear, even celebrated prose can mislead when romanticism clouds political judgement. Lung crafts a narrative that is less an analysis of Taiwan’s geopolitical reality than an exercise in wistful nostalgia. As political scientists and international relations academics, we believe it is crucial to correct the misconceptions embedded in her article,
Strategic thinker Carl von Clausewitz has said that “war is politics by other means,” while investment guru Warren Buffett has said that “tariffs are an act of war.” Both aphorisms apply to China, which has long been engaged in a multifront political, economic and informational war against the US and the rest of the West. Kinetically also, China has launched the early stages of actual global conflict with its threats and aggressive moves against Taiwan, the Philippines and Japan, and its support for North Korea’s reckless actions against South Korea that could reignite the Korean War. Former US presidents Barack Obama
The pan-blue camp in the era after the rule of the two Chiangs — former presidents Chiang Kai-shek (蔣介石) and Chiang Ching-kuo (蔣經國) — can be roughly divided into two main factions: the “true blue,” who insist on opposing communism to protect the Republic of China (ROC), and the “red-blue,” who completely reject the current government and would rather collude with the Chinese Communist Party (CCP) to control Taiwan. The families of the former group suffered brutally under the hands of communist thugs in China. They know the CPP well and harbor a deep hatred for it — the two