Exports last month spiked 31.5 percent from a year earlier to a record US$41.31 billion, fueled by strong demand for artificial intelligence (AI), frontloading activity and a low base linked to the Lunar New Year, the Ministry of Finance said yesterday.
Exports, a key growth driver in Taiwan, had expanded for 16 months, but might temporarily slip into contraction this month because of a high base and global unease over US trade policy, Department of Statistics Director-General Beatrice Tsai (蔡美娜) said.
“Exports [last month] proved way better than we expected and ran counter to the traditional slow seasonality for the current quarter,” Tsai told an online media briefing.
Photo: CNA
All product categories registered positive growth with information communications technology products soaring 65.5 percent year-on-year to a new peak of US$14.07 billion, the ministry’s report showed.
Active investment by US technology giants to build AI capability accounted for the upward trend and allowed the US to overtake China as Taiwan’s largest export destination, Tsai said.
Shipments to the US swelled 65.6 percent to US$11.77 billion, underpinning 28.5 percent of overall exports, and surpassing the US$11.72 billion destined for China and Hong Kong combined at 28.4 percent, she said.
The US might have long grown into the largest export market if including shipments bound for Mexico, Tsai said, adding that Taiwanese suppliers of electronics and car parts have expanded their presence in Mexico in recent years to take advantage of its favorable tax terms with the US.
That helped explain why exports to Mexico exploded 130 percent to US$939 million, Tsai said.
Meanwhile, South Korea replaced Japan to become Taiwan’s fourth-largest trade partner in terms of imports, as local tech firms rely on its high-bandwidth memory used in AI, Tsai said.
Fast-expanding AI applications are reshaping the world’s technology map and product cycle, she said.
Imports delivered a faster 47.8 percent hike to US$34.76 billion, giving Taiwan a trade surplus of US$6.55 billion, marking a 17.1 percent retreat from a year earlier, the ministry said.
The data came after local tech firms aggressively bought capital equipment, particularly semiconductor equipment, which expanded 140.2 percent and 234.4 percent respectively from the year before, it said.
Taiwan is responsible for manufacturing more than 95 percent of the world’s advanced chips used in AI and high-performance computing, and major local players said they need to expand capacity to meet business needs.
In the first two months of this year, exports increased 16.8 percent to US$11.52 billion and imports rose 9.3 percent to US$63.49 billion, poised for a record showing and above the forecast the Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics set for this quarter, Tsai said.
The US dollar was trading at NT$29.7 at 10am today on the Taipei Foreign Exchange, as the New Taiwan dollar gained NT$1.364 from the previous close last week. The NT dollar continued to rise today, after surging 3.07 percent on Friday. After opening at NT$30.91, the NT dollar gained more than NT$1 in just 15 minutes, briefly passing the NT$30 mark. Before the US Department of the Treasury's semi-annual currency report came out, expectations that the NT dollar would keep rising were already building. The NT dollar on Friday closed at NT$31.064, up by NT$0.953 — a 3.07 percent single-day gain. Today,
‘SHORT TERM’: The local currency would likely remain strong in the near term, driven by anticipated US trade pressure, capital inflows and expectations of a US Fed rate cut The US dollar is expected to fall below NT$30 in the near term, as traders anticipate increased pressure from Washington for Taiwan to allow the New Taiwan dollar to appreciate, Cathay United Bank (國泰世華銀行) chief economist Lin Chi-chao (林啟超) said. Following a sharp drop in the greenback against the NT dollar on Friday, Lin told the Central News Agency that the local currency is likely to remain strong in the short term, driven in part by market psychology surrounding anticipated US policy pressure. On Friday, the US dollar fell NT$0.953, or 3.07 percent, closing at NT$31.064 — its lowest level since Jan.
The New Taiwan dollar and Taiwanese stocks surged on signs that trade tensions between the world’s top two economies might start easing and as US tech earnings boosted the outlook of the nation’s semiconductor exports. The NT dollar strengthened as much as 3.8 percent versus the US dollar to 30.815, the biggest intraday gain since January 2011, closing at NT$31.064. The benchmark TAIEX jumped 2.73 percent to outperform the region’s equity gauges. Outlook for global trade improved after China said it is assessing possible trade talks with the US, providing a boost for the nation’s currency and shares. As the NT dollar
PRESSURE EXPECTED: The appreciation of the NT dollar reflected expectations that Washington would press Taiwan to boost its currency against the US dollar, dealers said Taiwan’s export-oriented semiconductor and auto part manufacturers are expecting their margins to be affected by large foreign exchange losses as the New Taiwan dollar continued to appreciate sharply against the US dollar yesterday. Among major semiconductor manufacturers, ASE Technology Holding Co (日月光), the world’s largest integrated circuit (IC) packaging and testing services provider, said that whenever the NT dollar rises NT$1 against the greenback, its gross margin is cut by about 1.5 percent. The NT dollar traded as strong as NT$29.59 per US dollar before trimming gains to close NT$0.919, or 2.96 percent, higher at NT$30.145 yesterday in Taipei trading